Category Archives: ENSO

Crowdsourced Climate Complexity – Compiling the WUWT Potential Climatic Variables Reference Page

By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” With the help of an array of WUWT reader comments, which began on this thread on January, 15th 2011, and grew on January 22nd, 2011, February 10th, 2011, February 28th, 2011, June 30th, 2011 … Continue reading

Posted in AMO, Announcements, Antarctic, Arctic, Carbon dioxide, carbon sequestration, Citizen science, climate data, clouds, cosmic rays, dust storms, earth, education, energy, ENSO, Environment, feedbacks, flooding, forecasting, geothermal energy, global warming, hurricanes, Land use land cover change, lightning, measurement, Methane, modeling, oceans, PDO, Science, sea ice, snowfall, Temperature, tornadoes, UHI, weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 113 Comments

Tamino Once Again Misleads His Followers

Guest post by Bob Tisdale My blog post October to December 2011 NODC Ocean Heat Content Anomalies (0-700Meters) Update and Comments was cross posted by at WattsUpWithThat here. (As always, thanks, Anthony.) Starting at the January 27, 2012 at 8:44 am … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, oceans | Tagged , , , | 164 Comments

October to December 2011 NODC Ocean Heat Content Anomalies (0-700Meters) Update and Comments

Guest post by Bob Tisdale SAME INTRODUCTION AS ALWAYS The National Oceanographic Data Center’s (NODC) Ocean Heat Content (OHC) anomaly data for the depths of 0-700 meters are available through the KNMI Climate Explorer Monthly observations webpage. The NODC OHC … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, oceans, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 86 Comments

The Ridiculousness Continues – Climate Complexity Compiled

By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” With the help of an array of WUWT reader comments on this thread and several others documented within, I’ve been compiling a summary of all potential climatic variables in order to build a conceptual … Continue reading

Posted in aerosols, AMO, Antarctic, Arctic, climate data, clouds, cosmic rays, dust storms, earth, Earthquakes, energy, ENSO, feedbacks, geothermal energy, Gravity, hurricanes, Methane, oceans, PDO, petroleum, Science, sea ice, snow, solar, solar power, thorium power, tornadoes, wind power | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 264 Comments

Tisdale on Foster and Rahmstorf – take 2

Bob has asked me to carry this post, and I’m happy to do so. For those who want to criticize without contributing anything but criticism, I offer this insight: The only real mistake is the one from which we learn … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 147 Comments

Finally, a population crash NOT blamed on global warming

From Stanford University , a realization that El Niño an La Niña play far greater roles than any global warming does in ocean populations. Squid mystery in Mexican waters unraveled by Stanford biologist and a class of students While shorter … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, oceans | Tagged , , , , , , , | 24 Comments

ENSO, a bigger climate driver than once thought

From the University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine & Atmospheric Science University of Miami study rethinks the ocean’s role in Pacific climate The new study can aid scientists in better understanding regional and global effects of climate change in … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , | 58 Comments

The Texas ENSO Bassmaster Classic

A bit of a tiff developed over at Dr. Roger Pielke’s place over disagreements on the recent Texas heatwave being attributed to AGW or to ENSO. Bob Tisdale has something to say about that. Bob writes: “In one email, Roger referred … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , , , , | 102 Comments

Mid-October 2011 SST Anomaly Update

by Bob Tisdale NINO3.4 NINO3.4 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies (a commonly used El Niño-Southern Oscillation Index) are still hovering within weak La Niña range. For the week centered on October 12, 2011, NINO3.4 SST anomalies are approximately -0.77 deg … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , | 18 Comments

NCEP ensemble forecast shows deep La Niña coming

We know that we are currently in a La Niña pattern by the various maps and graphs we have on the WUWT ENSO page, for example this one: But have a look at the ensemble forecast, updated yesterday. The average … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , | 145 Comments

Where is Science?

Guest post by Erl Happ The Southern Oscillation Index is a reference point for the strength of the Trade winds. It represents the difference in atmospheric pressure between Tahiti and Darwin. In figure 1 the SOI is the red line … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 146 Comments

Climate clam chowder has a spicy ENSO rhythm from an old recipe

From the Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research comes word that the climate varied before, just like it does today, and we won’t be stuck with a permanent El Niño. Imagine that. 50-million-year-old clam shells provide indications of … Continue reading

Posted in Antarctic, Arctic, ENSO, paleoclimatology | Tagged , , , , , , | 27 Comments

A Note Regarding The NOAA ENSO Meter

UPDATE: Ric Werme is graciously producing a new updated meter for the WUWT sidebar, see comments. – Anthony by Bob Tisdale There have been a number of comments at WattsUpWithThat wondering if the NOAA ENSO Meter, Figure 1, is broken. … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , | 36 Comments

It’s official: NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says La Niña is back

As we reported on WUWT on August 24th, La Niña is now officially “back” with this press release from NOAA. Hopefully NOAAwatch will finally move the ENSO meter they produce (in the WUWT sidebar) from neutral to something that reflects … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , | 49 Comments

Red-shifting the oceans

Unisys Is Changing Their Color Scaling On Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Maps by Bob Tisdale A couple of weeks ago, Unisys announced they are changing the color scaling on their daily Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomaly maps. The new Unisys SST … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , | 61 Comments

That darned warm-mongering El Niño

From the warm-mongers at The Earth Institute at Columbia University, a study that says El Niño drives civil war. Perhaps we can get Bob Tisdale to plot temperature anomalies along the Mason-Dixon line. It seems however that these warm-mongers at … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, post-normal science | Tagged , , | 59 Comments

More evidence La Niña will return

Following WUWT’s story on 8/22, we have this from the University of Arizona Evidence Suggests La Niña Will Return This Winter By Zack Guido and Mike Crimmins, CLIMAS, August 23, 2011 A return of La Nina, which historically delivers dry … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged | 25 Comments

NASA notes sea level is falling in press release – but calls it a “Pothole on Road to Higher Seas”

From the NASA Jet Propulsion Lab NASA Satellites Detect Pothole on Road to Higher Seas An Update from NASA’s Sea Level Sentinels: Like mercury in a thermometer, ocean waters expand as they warm. This, along with melting glaciers and ice … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, sea level, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , | 126 Comments

La Niña returns

While we wait for NOAA to update their ENSO meter on the WUWT sidebar, Bob Tisdale is way ahead of them. Visually, the La Niña seems rather obvious in the image below: More is available at the WUWT ENSO page … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , | 65 Comments

Another GISS miss, Tisdale calls out Hansen and Sato on failed predictions

A Memo To Hansen and Sato Guest commentary by Bob Tisdale Date:August 21, 2011 Subject:A Request About Your El Niño Predictions And A Question About Anthropogenic Global Warming To: James E. Hansen and Makiko Sato Dear Makiko and James: I am … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Opinion | Tagged , , | 71 Comments

Global warming – step changes driven by ENSO?

Story submitted by Jens Raunsø Jensen The IPCC dismisses in its AR4 report of 2007 natural climate variability as a major reason for the global temperature increase in the second half of the 20th century. The basic arguments are “greenhouse … Continue reading

Posted in climate data, ENSO, IPCC | 55 Comments

Montana’s new big sky discovery – El Niño casts a wide net

From Montana State University  and the “weather is not climate” department: Montana State researcher discovers link between Montana weather, ocean near Peru BOZEMAN, Mont. – A Montana State University researcher who analyzed 100 years of data has found a significant … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Obvious science | Tagged , , | 19 Comments

Climate variability in East Africa & El Niño Southern Oscillation

From the Helmholtz Association of German Research Centres  another reason why Mount Kialmanjaro isn’t controlled by CO2 as Al Gore and Lonnie Thompson think. La Ninas distant effects in East Africa Droughts and floods are remote-controlled climate effects 5 August … Continue reading

Posted in Al Gore, ENSO | Tagged , , , | 15 Comments

Bastardi: Just Say No to El Nino, at least till 2012

Guest post by Joe Bastardi I  did not say boo at some of the “shoot the messenger  posts”  on my “Say No to El Nino”, including one person who wanted to throw out everything I said simply because of my … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, forecasting | Tagged | 173 Comments

NOAA plays the sea level card with El Niño

Strong El Niño could bring increased sea levels, storm surges to U.S. East Coast New study examines how El Niño in cold months affected water levels over past 50 years A new NOAA study found coastal areas along the East … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , | 51 Comments