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El Nino collapse appears to be underway

Change in sea surface temperature anomalies in the last month; courtesy NOAA This naturally occurring oceanic cycle that produces warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the equatorial region of the Pacific Ocean began in earnest early in 2015 and strengthened throughout the year to comparable intensity levels of the strong El Nino episodes of 1982-1983…

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Once Again El Nino Didn’t Do What Was Forecast. Why?

Guest Opinion: Dr. Tim Ball Mark Albright, who reportedly lost his job as Oregon State Climatologist in 2003 apparently because of his views on global warming, drew attention to the failed El Nino based forecast for Oregon. Here is the official prediction. Most of the state remains in drought conditions, and climatologists expect a strong…

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January 2016 ENSO Update – It Appears the El Niño Has Peaked

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of last year’s 2014-15 El Niño Series.  For the series about the 2015/16 El Niño, we’ve used the evolution years of different El Niños as references to the goings-on in 2015.  This month we’re including…

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Weather Two Months From Now

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach A while back, folks noticed that a couple of months after the El Nino kicked in across the Pacific, the earth would warm up a bit. Since then, people have engaged in what they describe as “removing the El Nino signal” from the global temperature record. A while back I…