Category Archives: ENSO

Multidecadal Variations and Sea Surface Temperature Reconstructions

UPDATE: I’ve added a link at the end of the post for those interested in a copy of it in .pdf format. ########### OVERVIEW This is a somewhat lengthy blog post. There’s lots of information for newcomers, and there are … Continue reading

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Posted in AMO, ENSO, PDO, Sea Surface Temperature | 29 Comments

SkepticalScience Still Misunderstands or Misrepresents the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

The author of the recent SkepticalScience post Distinguishing Between Short-Term Variability and Long-Term Trends, Dana Nuccitelli, still misunderstands or misrepresents El Niño and La Niña processes. Either way, he’s missed something. The instrument temperature record indicates that La Niñas and … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Lower Troposphere Temperature, Ocean Heat Content, Sea Surface Temperature, Temperature | 59 Comments

Updates to and ENSO Observations from the WUWT Ocean Reference Page

Image Credit: Monterey Marine Meteorology Division – HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” In making several updates to the WUWT Ocean Reference Page I observed something in the Sea Surface Temperature animation above, that I’ve … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Oceans, Reference Pages, Salinity, Sea level, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , | 59 Comments

Dana Nuccitelli Misleads and Misinforms in His First Blog Post at The Guardian

The Guardian has a new blog called Climate Consensus – The 97%. The two primary authors are to be Dana Nuccitelli, a regular contributor at SkepticalScience, and John Abraham, Associate Professor at the University of St. Thomas. Dana Nuccitelli’s first … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, ENSO, Global warming, Ocean Heat Content, Sea Surface Temperature | 136 Comments

Hawaiians ‘won’t know what rainfall is’

Apologies in advance for the Vinerism. From the University of Hawaii ‑ SOEST, something that doesn’t seem to be a problem based on the past data I’ve found: Source: USGS It seems clear when you look at the peaks of … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Modeling, Rainfall, Weather | Tagged | 83 Comments

Another “escalator“

Guest post by Jan Zeman Some CAGW proponents argument against the recent stall in the global warming trends with this graph called “escalator”. Source: http://www.skepticalscience.com But one of my favorite “escalators” is this one: Source: http://www.woodfortrees.org The beginnings and the … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Solar | 104 Comments

A Different Perspective of the Equatorial Pacific and ENSO Events

by Bob Tisdale It’s difficult to express how enormous El Niño and La Niña events are. Often, when discussing them, I’ll display a map of the tropical Pacific (see example here) and write something to the effect of, the equatorial … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Ocean Heat Content, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 32 Comments

ENSO Myth 5 – ENSO Only Adds Noise to the Instrument Temperature Record…

…and We Can Determine its Effects through Linear Regression Analysis, Then Remove Those Effects, Leaving the Anthropogenic Global Warming Signal This is the 5th post in the series about myths and failed arguments about the El Niño-Southern Oscillation—myths that were … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | 25 Comments

The Blatant Errors in the SkepticalScience Video “Global Warming over the Last 16 Years”

David Rose’s October 2012 article in the MailOnline generated a multitude of responses around the blogosphere. The article was titled Global warming stopped 16 years ago, reveals Met Office report quietly released… and here is the chart to prove it. … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, ENSO, Global warming, Sea Surface Temperature | 69 Comments

ENSO Myth Number 4 – The Variations in the East Pacific and the East Indian-West Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures Counteract One Another

OVERVIEW This is the fourth post in a series that presents myths and failed arguments created by proponents of manmade global warming about the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). A list of the earlier (with links) and future posts follows the … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Global warming, Sea Surface Temperature | 24 Comments

On Dana1981’s Meaningless ENSO Exercise at SkepticalScience

Dana Nuccitelli (Dana1981) of SkepticalScience has redefined El Niño and La Niña years in a meaningless exercise to show that the warming trends of El Niño, La Niña and ENSO-neutral years are comparable. It confirms his limited understanding of El … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Global warming | 70 Comments

Study: natural variation still rules monsoons

From the University of Hawaii ‑ SOEST Natural climate swings contribute more to increased monsoon rainfall than global warming Natural swings in the climate have significantly intensified Northern Hemisphere monsoon rainfall, showing that these swings must be taken into account … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Oceans | Tagged , , , , | 20 Comments

Why Do El Niño and La Niña Events Peak in Boreal Winter?

In December 2012, I had begun a series of posts about El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This post starts the return to them. El Niño and La Niña events typically peak in strength in December and January. Refer to Figure Intro-1. … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | 32 Comments

NOAA’s Ever-Changing Definition of La Niña Years

UPDATE: I’ve added two illustrations to the end of the post. At the request of blogger “Kurt in Switzerland”, I plotted a comparison of the new and old versions of the Oceanic NINO Index data and posted it in a … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, NCDC, NOAA | Tagged , , , , , , , | 36 Comments

Is Ocean Heat Content Data All It’s Stacked Up to Be?

Figure 1 Ocean Heat Content data represents the heat stored of the oceans to specified depths. As such, it is an important global warming metric. The Introduction to Levitus et al (2005) begins: Based on the physical properties and mass … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Gavin Schmidt, NCDC, Ocean Heat Content, Oceans | 35 Comments

Blog Memo to Lead Authors of NCADAC Climate Assessment Report

Date: March 4, 2013 Subject: Upcoming NCADAC Climate Assessment Report From: Bob Tisdale – Climate Observations To: Lead Authors of NCADAC Report Dear Lead Authors: The draft of your upcoming NCADAC Climate Assessment Report was recently released for comment. Thank … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, NCADAC, NOAA, Oceans, Sea Surface Temperature | 36 Comments

Snowjobs are just a thing of the past…er, present

While we have a major winter snowstorm barreling through the USA Midwest, we know that the usual suspects will jostle for position to tell the media that this is just another signature of global warming climate change climate disruption extreme … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, ENSO, Snow, Weather | Tagged , , , , , | 36 Comments

New paper from NOAA demonstrates that El Niño has more impacts than climate on winter weather in the USA

While AP’s Seth Borenstein cites opinions of activist scientists in erroneously claiming that ‘climate change’  increasing atmospheric moisture is the main driver for winter weather events, it turns out that El Niño patterns are strongly associated with winter weather impacts. … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, NOAA, snowfall, Weather | Tagged , | 22 Comments

NOAA corrects ‘State of the Climate’ – offers no credit

NOAA Corrects Their 2012 State of the Climate Report – 2012 Was NOT the Warmest La Niña Year on Record Guest post by Bob Tisdale With as little fanfare as possible, NOAA has corrected their erroneous claim in their 2012 State … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, NCDC, NOAA | Tagged , , , , , , , | 26 Comments

The Tao of El Nino

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I was wandering through the graphics section of the TAO buoy data this evening. I noted that they have an outstanding animation of the most recent sixty months of tropical sea temperatures and surface heights. … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , | 64 Comments