Arctic sea ice–air interactions weaken El Niño–Southern Oscillation

… although many other factors may also play a role in the real world.

With a cooling La Niña gone, media will go into “Global Warming Overdrive” as El Niño hits.

March 2023 ENSO update: no more La Niña! BY EMILY BECKER – originally published on NOAA’s Climate.gov La Niña—the cool phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) climate pattern—has left the building!…

Australia Sees Coldest and Wettest Spring in Decades Amid Third La Niña in A Row

The result was rare late spring snow as far north as Central West NSW and the coldest November on record for some towns, including Forbes and Ivanhoe, where maximums were…

Scientists Warn of a Rare Third Year La Nina

“Nonetheless, we should be aware of the risk of intense cold surges in Eurasia, which could also produce more cold extremes either in eastern or northeastern China,” Fang warns.

ENSO Impact on the Declining CO2 Sink Rate

This is contrary to multiple previous studies that claimed to account for ENSO.

Reanalysis datasets used to analyze Equatorial Pacific Ocean heat content diverge more after strong El Niño events

Peer-Reviewed Publication INSTITUTE OF ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS, CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Meteorologists frequently use ocean reanalysis data to study the evolution of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) over time. These datasets are…

How Natural Oscillations Affect Arctic Climate & Predict Future Climate Change: Part 4

The degree that natural quasi-cycles, or oscillations, generate dramatic changes in the Arctic must be determined before scientists can blame rising CO2. Natural oscillations have highly significant effects on global…

Tokyo’s Coolest September In Over 30 Years…Hachijojima No Warming In 107 Years…Latest Forecast: Sharp La Niña!

Nothing that unusual is happening to our climate. Claims of increasingly extreme weather due to mankind’s activities are largely false. The data clearly show it.

La Nina: Globe Expected To Continue Cooling Into Next Year, Extending Cooling Streak To 7 Years

From The NoTricksZone By P Gosselin on 24. September 2021 Snowfan rreports here of how parts of western Germany have had 4 nights in a row of surface frost and how new models are…

Signs of a resurgence in La Nina and the potential implications on global temperatures and the upcoming winter season

In fact, there are signs right now that suggest the resurgence may already be underway in the central Pacific Ocean. The return of La Nina could have implications on global…

Study: Global Warming Could Resurrect the Ice Age Indian Ocean El-Nino

Guest essay by Eric Worrall Global warming models have predicted the emergence of an Indian Ocean version of the Pacific El-Nino / La-Nina cycle. Paleo climate research suggests this was…

ENSO predictions based on solar activity

From Dr. Judith Curry’s Climate Etc. Posted on September 1, 2019 by curryja by Javier By knowing or estimating where in the solar cycle we are we can get an…

Does NASA’s Latest Study Confirm Global Warming?

Some heated claims were made in a recently published scientific paper, “Recent Global Warming as Confirmed by AIRS,” authored by Susskind et al. One of the co-authors is NASA’s Dr. Gavin Schmidt,…

Curious Correlations

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Grrrrr … gotta pull this one. The effect I found was due to the interaction of the El Nino with the seasons. Once I removed…

El Niño Conditions Persist in the Pacific Ocean

An El Niño that began to form last fall has matured and is now fully entrenched across the Pacific Ocean. Changes in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) brought about by an…

2019 ENSO forecast

Reposted from Climate Etc. by Judith Curry and Jim Johnstone CFAN’s 2019 ENSO forecast is for a transition away from El Niño conditions as the summer progresses. The forecast for…

Does The Climate-Science Industry Purposely Ignore A Simple Aspect of Strong El Niño Events That Causes Long-Term Global Warming?

PREFACE It was a little more than 10 years ago that I published my first blog posts on the obvious upward steps in the sea surface temperatures of a large…

Is the forecasted El Niño for this year fading away? It sure looks that way.

In late 2018, there were some predictions that there would be a significant El Niño event in 2019. There were strong hints of an El Niño event in both SST…

NOAA: El Niño is expected to form and continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2018-19

EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society 13 December 2018 ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch Synopsis: El…

El Niño development looking more likely now

ENSO-neutral conditions still reign as of the beginning of the month, but we’re starting to see some clearer signs of the development of El Niño. Forecasters estimate that El Niño…

Claim: global warming will make El Niño and La Niña event impacts worse

From the “tail wagging the dog and AGW affects everything, it’s omnipotent “department, they seem to forget that El Niño induced temperature events are significantly larger than the posited AGW signal…

August 2018 ENSO update: ‘game show edition’

From climate.gov by Emily Becker By nearly all measurements, the tropical Pacific is comfortably gliding along in ENSO-neutral conditions, and forecasters expect that will continue through the rest of the summer. The chance…

Solar minimum and ENSO prediction

By Javier Two solar physicists, Robert Leamon from NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, and Scott McIntosh from the High Altitude Observatory at Boulder, CO, have made an interesting observation that…

NOAA says La Niña in the Pacific is over

Adios, La Niña by Rebecca Lindsey, NOAA  The La Niña event that overtook the tropical Pacific this past winter is officially over, according to the latest update from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. La…