Study: Global Warming Could Resurrect the Ice Age Indian Ocean El-Nino

Guest essay by Eric Worrall Global warming models have predicted the emergence of an Indian Ocean version of the Pacific El-Nino / La-Nina cycle. Paleo climate research suggests this was…

ENSO predictions based on solar activity

From Dr. Judith Curry’s Climate Etc. Posted on September 1, 2019 by curryja by Javier By knowing or estimating where in the solar cycle we are we can get an…

Does NASA’s Latest Study Confirm Global Warming?

Some heated claims were made in a recently published scientific paper, “Recent Global Warming as Confirmed by AIRS,” authored by Susskind et al. One of the co-authors is NASA’s Dr. Gavin Schmidt,…

Curious Correlations

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Grrrrr … gotta pull this one. The effect I found was due to the interaction of the El Nino with the seasons. Once I removed…

El Niño Conditions Persist in the Pacific Ocean

An El Niño that began to form last fall has matured and is now fully entrenched across the Pacific Ocean. Changes in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) brought about by an…

2019 ENSO forecast

Reposted from Climate Etc. by Judith Curry and Jim Johnstone CFAN’s 2019 ENSO forecast is for a transition away from El Niño conditions as the summer progresses. The forecast for…

Does The Climate-Science Industry Purposely Ignore A Simple Aspect of Strong El Niño Events That Causes Long-Term Global Warming?

PREFACE It was a little more than 10 years ago that I published my first blog posts on the obvious upward steps in the sea surface temperatures of a large…

Is the forecasted El Niño for this year fading away? It sure looks that way.

In late 2018, there were some predictions that there would be a significant El Niño event in 2019. There were strong hints of an El Niño event in both SST…

NOAA: El Niño is expected to form and continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2018-19

EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society 13 December 2018 ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch Synopsis: El…

El Niño development looking more likely now

ENSO-neutral conditions still reign as of the beginning of the month, but we’re starting to see some clearer signs of the development of El Niño. Forecasters estimate that El Niño…

Claim: global warming will make El Niño and La Niña event impacts worse

From the “tail wagging the dog and AGW affects everything, it’s omnipotent “department, they seem to forget that El Niño induced temperature events are significantly larger than the posited AGW signal…

August 2018 ENSO update: ‘game show edition’

From climate.gov by Emily Becker By nearly all measurements, the tropical Pacific is comfortably gliding along in ENSO-neutral conditions, and forecasters expect that will continue through the rest of the summer. The chance…

Solar minimum and ENSO prediction

By Javier Two solar physicists, Robert Leamon from NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, and Scott McIntosh from the High Altitude Observatory at Boulder, CO, have made an interesting observation that…

NOAA says La Niña in the Pacific is over

Adios, La Niña by Rebecca Lindsey, NOAA  The La Niña event that overtook the tropical Pacific this past winter is officially over, according to the latest update from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. La…

The 60-year oscillation revisited

Guest Post by Javier It is a well-known feature of climate change that since 1850 multiple climate datasets present a ~ 60-year oscillation. I recently wrote about it in the…

Finding: North Pacific climate patterns influence El Nino occurrences

From the INSTITUTE OF ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS, CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES and the “tail wagging the dog” department. For decades, the world’s leading scientists have observed the phenomena known as El Nino…

Some overheated rhetoric from Jonathan Overpeck

From the UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA and the “El Nino is just a heat vent for greenhouse gases” department. Record jump in 2014-2016 global temperatures largest since 1900 Heat generated by…

Study: strong El Niño events increase height and mass of Antarctic ice shelves

From UCSD/Scripps Institution of Oceanography New study reveals strong El Niño events cause large changes in Antarctic ice shelves A new study published Jan. 8 in the journal Nature Geoscience reveals that…

Dad, Why Are You A Global Warming Denier?: A Short Story That’s Right for the Times

Dad, Why Are You A Global Warming Denier? by Bob Tisdale is only available, and will only be available, from Amazon in Kindle reader format. Its introduction begins: I penned…

New mechanism for El Nino enhanced storm systems

From the INSTITUTE OF ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS, CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES New mechanism to explain how El Niño influences East Asian and WN Pacific climate Western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone (WNPAC, or…

NOAA: La Niña is officially back

November 2017 La Niña update: She’s back! Author:  Emily Becker Well, it’s November, and the CPC/IRI ENSO forecast is declaring the presence of La Niña conditions! I could just link…

Cooler Global Temperatures Ahead: Indications are that La Niña is returning

Paul at Vencore Weather notes the ENSO forecast models and the data seem to be in alignment Overview Earlier this year, there were signs that a weak El Nino in…

Report: Ocean Cycles, Not Humans, May Be Behind Most Observed Climate Change

An eminent atmospheric scientist says that natural cycles may be largely responsible for climate changes seen in recent decades.  In a new report published by the Global Warming Policy Foundation, Anastasios…

El Niño WATCH cancelled; ENSO neutral likely for 2017

From the “now the warmest year on record hopes are dashed” department: Via Bloomberg: All eight climate models surveyed by Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology suggest tropical Pacific Ocean temperatures are…