The Picasso Problem

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [See update at the end.] Let me start explaining the link from Picasso to climate science by looking at what Dr. Nir Shaviv called “the most boring graph I have ever plotted in my life”. This is the graph of the changes in the best estimate of the range of…

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Forest Fires in the Golden State

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [See update at end] [Note correction under Figure 1.] Our charmingly incompetent California Governor, Jerry “Moonbeam” Brown, has announced that all climate-change deniers are “definitely contributing” to the wildfires in the northern and southern parts of the state over the past few days, as well as blazes “in the coming…

Nitrogen Dioxide Sense and Nonsense

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach According to the National Center for Biotechnology information, we have: “Nitrogen dioxide (NO2). A highly poisonous gas. Exposure produces inflammation of lungs that may only cause slight pain or pass unnoticed, but resulting edema several days later may cause death. (From Merck, 11th ed) Nitrogen dioxide is a major atmospheric…

Scottish Sunspots

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [See Update At End] In a recent post, Anthony published Leif Svalgaard’s new paper showing 9,000 years of reconstructed solar activity. Svalgaard paper: Reconstruction of 9000 years of Solar Activity In the discussion, someone pointed out that the “Maunder Minimum”, a time of very low solar activity, corresponds with the…

Climate Beer Goggles

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [See update at the end] There’s a new entry in the competition for the top spot in the “Climate Change Ruins Everything” competition. This is the claim that “Severe climate events could cause shortages in the global beer supply”, as discussed here on WUWT. YIKES! If true, that is more serious…

The High Cost Of Weather

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I saw a few headlines today that got me to thinking. One said: THIRD-STRONGEST HURRICANE AT LANDFALL IN RECORDED U.S. HISTORY The second said: HURRICANE MICHAEL PROJECTED TO CAUSE $30 BILLION IN DAMAGES The third said: 155 MPH WINDS, 490,000 WITHOUT POWER, TWO DEAD Two dead? Two? I was reminded…

Warming Up The Poor and Vulnerable

Well, the new report is out from the IPCC, the Indefatigable Predictors of Climate Catastrophe. It’s our last-chance must act now warning of upcoming Thermageddon … I think we’re up to Last Chance Warning Number Thirty-Seven or something like that. And the UNFCCC, the United Nations Foundation for Collecting Climate Cash, point out that the…

Was Extreme Ultraviolet an Andy Warhol Actress?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach When folks tell me that the sunspot-related changes in total solar irradiance make changes down here on the surface of our amazing planet, I suggest that they take a look at the numbers. From peak to trough over the sunspot cycle, the top-of-atmosphere total solar irradiance varies by about 1.2…

What’s Absorbing The Sun?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In considering how the energy flows around the planet, I got to thinking about the amount of solar energy that is absorbed rather than transmitted by the atmosphere and the clouds. As with many other such questions, I turned to the wonderful CERES satellite data. Figure 1 shows what CERES…