correlation-sst-sunspots-first-half

Chinese Sunspots

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [See also the new Update at the end of the post.] I see that there is a new paper from China causing a great disturbance in the solar force … as discussed here on WUWT, the claim is that the El Nino Modoki Index, which is an index of sea…

average-erl-temperature

Effective Radiation Level (ERL) Temperature

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Lord Monckton has initiated an interesting discussion of the effective radiation level. Such discussions are of value to me because they strike off ideas of things to investigate … so again I go wandering through the data. Let me define a couple terms I’ll use. “Radiation temperature” is the temperature…

correl net cre temp

Cloud Feedback

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In the comments to Christopher Monckton’s latest post, Nick Stokes drew attention to Soden and Held’s analysis of feedback in the climate models. I reproduce their Table 1 below: Figure 1. Soden and Held’s Table 1, showing all of the feedback parameters calculated from the models. I found several amazing things in…

the killer in the back seat

Urbane Legends

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach So we were sitting around the fire at the fish camp on the Colombia a few days ago, and a man said “Did you hear about the scientific study into meat preservatives?” We admitted our ignorance, and he started in. The story was like this: “A few years ago there…

Johnny record king

Pushing the Adventure Button

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach My good fortune this week was to drive with my gorgeous ex-fiancee up to go fishing on the Columbia River. My mad friend John Whitlatch and his lovely wife Allie have their Buoy 10 fish camp there at the mouth of the Columbia every year. So we jumped in the wheels,…

average energy advection

Putting It On The Line

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Thanks to an alert commenter, half of my last post was shown to be in error. Like most folks, I really, really hate to be publicly wrong, and of course I do my utmost to avoid it. But sometimes I overlook something, or my logical staircase is missing some steps,…

toa olr vs sst ceres

Pre- and Post-Feedback Sensitivity

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [UPDATE TWO: Rather than trying to cooper up the errors, I have simply removed the incorrect sections and left the calculation of the Planck feedback intact. I think that it is right … however, as events remind me too frequently … I could be wrong … ] [UPDATE: As Jan Kjetil Andersen…