La Nina is Collapsing

These rapid changes out of La Nina conditions are good news for California, which has experienced two dry winters in a row, since neutral conditions should bring increased chances of…

Sunspots and El Nino Part Two

Guest post by Willis Eschenbach In my last post, The Sun Also Sets, I looked at a study that I’ll continue to call L2021. It claimed a correlation between what…

Under The Equator

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Inspired by my previous posts, Boy Child Girl Child and Sea Levels in the Nino-Nina Cycle, I decided to take a look at what is…

Sea Levels in the Nino Nina Cycle

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [UPDATE: Grrr … thanks to an alert commenter, I find that my previous numbers were out by a factor of ten. I love the web…

Boy Child, Girl Child

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve said before that I consider myself a climate heretic rather than a climate skeptic. A skeptic doubts parts of things. A heretic questions the…

After nearly a decade away, La Niña weather system is back…

According to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), La Niña is back in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, after nearly a decade’s absence.

Fidelity of El Niño simulation matters for predicting future climate

A new study led by University of Hawai’i at Mānoa researchers, published in the journal Nature Communications this week, revealed that correctly simulating ocean current variations hundreds of feet below…

Upcoming La Nina Winter: Cooler and Wetter than Normal

There comes a point during mid-summer when the veil of uncertainty lifts regarding the nature of the upcoming winter season and we are at that point now.

Coral tells own tale about El Niño’s past

Rice, Georgia Tech study in Science reveals Pacific temperatures over a millennium Rice University Georgia Tech climate scientist Kim Cobb samples an ancient coral for radiometric dating. She is part…

La Nina may form in the equatorial Pacific Ocean later this year and, if so, it could have wide-ranging ramifications

By Paul Dorian NOAA’s CFS v2 computer forecast model is predicting relatively strong La Nina conditions by later this summer (August/September/October); SST anomalies plot courtesy NOAA *La Nina may form…

A Weak El Nino Transitioning to La Nada

Reposted from the Cliff Mass Weather Blog Friday, February 14, 2020 A Weak El Nino Transitioning to La Nada During the past few months we have moved from near neutral…

Half of 21st Century Warming Due to El Nino

Reposted from Dr Roy Spencer’s Blog May 13th, 2019 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. A major uncertainty in figuring out how much of recent warming has been human-caused is…

Curious Correlations

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Grrrrr … gotta pull this one. The effect I found was due to the interaction of the El Nino with the seasons. Once I removed…

Impossible research produces 400-year El Niño record, revealing startling changes

Ph.D. student extracts world-first centuries long seasonal record of El Niños from coral cores University of New South Wales Melbourne: Australian scientists have developed an innovative method using cores drilled…

The La Nina Pump

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Sometimes a chance comment sets off a whole chain of investigation. Somewhere recently, in passing I noted the idea of the slope of the temperature…

MLO and MEI

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In my last post, which was about the Mauna Loa Observatory (MLO) in Hawaii, Dr. Richard Keen and others noted that for a good comparison,…

The North Atlantic Seesaw

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In my peripatetic meandering through the CERES satellite data, I’ve been looking at the correlation between the temperatures in the NINO3.4 region and the temperatures…

Rainfall and El Niño

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In a recent post here on WattsUpWithThat, the claim was made that the El Nino influences rainfall. They showed a correlation between various historical proxies…

Is the 2015/16 El Niño an El Niño Modoki?

AND Is that the Reason Why This El Niño is Not Suppressing the California Drought as Expected? Guest Post by Bob Tisdale El Niño events come in different flavors, and…

Has the PDO flipped?

Guest post by David Middleton Cyclical changes in the Pacific Ocean have thrown earth’s surface into what may be an unprecedented warming spurt, following a global warming slowdown that lasted…

How Strong Was That El Niño or La Niña? – No One Knows For Sure

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale We recently discussed and illustrated how the differences between sea surface temperature datasets prevented us from knowing which of the recent strong El Niño events…

Weather Two Months From Now

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach A while back, folks noticed that a couple of months after the El Nino kicked in across the Pacific, the earth would warm up a…

NASA: El Niño driven 'stagnant upper-air pattern spread numerous storms and heavy rains [into] central Texas' no mention of 'climate change'

The climate zealots were out in force this week trying to link the rains in Texas to ‘climate change’. The press release from NASA makes no such connections, but instead…

The Recent Westerly Wind Burst in the Western Equatorial Pacific Could Help to Strengthen the 2015/16 El Niño

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale The graphics at the NOAA GODAS website were running a few pentads (5-day periods) behind when I published the May 2015 ENSO Update. They’re caught…