Evaluating The Model Projections

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach (Image above shows the Cray Ecoplex NOAA GAEA supercomputer, which can generate improbable future climate scenarios far faster than we simple humans …) Someone on…

Arctic sea ice–air interactions weaken El Niño–Southern Oscillation

… although many other factors may also play a role in the real world.

Traffic Lights and Roundabouts

in the style of {van gogh, picasso, chagall, norman rockwell, Edvard Munch, Duchamp, russian propaganda posters, 60’s psychedelic posters}

Climate Model Bias 7: WGIII

By Andy May In the previous report, part 6 of this series, I discussed the bias in AR6 WGII. The major bias in the report stemmed from ignoring the benefits…

Climate Model Bias 6: WGII

The IPCC AR6 WGII report examines the impact of climate change but ignores the benefits of warming and additional CO2.

Climate Model Bias 5: Storminess

By Andy May In part 4 the impact of convection and atmospheric circulation on climate was discussed. When circulation patterns change, they change the speed and efficiency of the transport…

Climate Model Bias 4: Convection and atmospheric circulation

By Andy May In part 3 we discussed the relationship between changes in solar activity and climate changes. Exactly how solar changes affect climate is not understood. It isn’t the…

Climate Model Bias 3: Solar Input

By Andy May In part 2 we discussed the IPCC hypothesis of climate change that assumes humans and our greenhouse gas emissions and land use choices are the climate change…

Climate Model Bias 2: Modeling Greenhouse Gases

By Andy May Since the late 19th century, with the work by Svante Arrhenius, climate models have been used to estimate the amount of global warming due to human greenhouse…

Climate Model Bias 1: What is a Model?

By Andy May There are three types of scientific models, as shown in figure 1. In this series of seven posts on climate model bias we are only concerned with…

Proof that the Spencer & Christy Method of Plotting Temperature Time Series is Best

I hope this is sufficient evidence of the superiority of our way of plotting different time series when the intent is to reveal differences in long-term trends, rather than hide those differences.

Gavin’s Plotting Trick: Hide the Incline

In fact, as the evidence above shows, it is our accusers who are engaged in “trickery” and deception by “hiding the incline”

Spencer vs. Schmidt: Spencer Responds to RealClimate.org Criticisms

…he seems to be trying too hard to refute my claims while using weak (and even non-existent) evidence.

Dr. Roy Spencer: New Article on Climate Models vs. Observations

…here’s a comparison between models and observations for the U.S. Corn Belt near-surface air temperatures in summer:

Models Wrong Again: “Hotter Weather Not Diminishing Runoff, River Discharge”!

These results are somewhat in contrast to climate projections, where runoff is expected to decrease only over southern Europe.

A Test of Skill for Climate Models

Do climate models offer a firm basis for attempting to re-engineer the entire global economy?

AI Researchers Pushing Their Value to Climate Activists

According to advocates, AI can generate better flood predictions than physics and geography. But is this just more magic box thinking?

Junk Science Alert: Met Office Set to Ditch Actual Temperature Data in Favour of Model Predictions

…using this highly politicised method would indicate that reality is rapidly departing from the Met Office station.

Modeling HadCRUT5 with CO2 and without CO2

By Andy May I hate statistics, as many of you know. Some people think statistics and/or statistical models that meet standard statistical criteria are facts. The IPCC can be like…

Models Vs. Reality: Sea Turtle Edition

Sea turtles in Florida are handling the climate crisis quite well.

The Marathon of Misguided Climate Alarmism: A Review of “Feasibility of the Olympic marathon under climatic and socioeconomic change”

The paper, shrouded in the guise of scientific inquiry, seems more like an exercise in creative speculation, leveraging the universal appeal of the Olympics to propagate the narrative of climate…

Testing A Constructal Climate Model

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach ABSTRACT A simple constructal model of the operation of the climate system was created by Dr. Adrian Bejan and several others. It posits that the…

Climate Models Wrong on East Pacific… “We Don’t Know Why This Cooling Is Happening”

The East Pacific Ocean’s progressive cooling over the past 30 years contradicts climate models predicting warming due to greenhouse gas emissions. This discrepancy impacts global agriculture, as the ocean’s temperature…

The Myth of “Settled” Climate Science: A Revelatory Study on Cloud Formation

Trees, Clouds, and the Unsettling Truth about Climate Science In a recent revelation from the international CLOUD project at the nuclear research center CERN, researchers have identified sesquiterpenes—gaseous hydrocarbons released…