“Climate models have not ‘exaggerated’ global warming” except when they do…

Guest “double take” by David Middleton September 2017 21 September 2017 Factcheck: Climate models have not ‘exaggerated’ global warming ZEKE HAUSFATHER A new study published in the Nature Geosciences journal this week…

Quantifying CMIP6 Model Uncertainties in Extreme Precipitation Projections

Despite the overestimated inter-model spread, our results show a robust enhancement of extreme precipitation with more than 90% of models simulating an increase of RV20.

Interpreting extreme climate impacts from large ensemble simulations—are they unseen or unrealistic?

Consequently, conventional evaluation and correction methods cannot determine whether simulations outside observed variability are correct for the right physical reasons.

Inside Climate News Confuses Models with Reality

If the current models used for temperature prediction are not accurate, then the food production models that rely on them cannot be expected to be accurate either.

Atmospheric Fingerprint

By Andy May The IPCC believes that the change in solar radiation over the past 60 years nets to zero and has no trend beyond the normal ~11-year solar cycle.…

Climate Models Don’t

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [see update at end] Over at the marvelous KNMI website, home of all kinds of climate data, they’re just finishing their transfer to a new…

Satellite and Surface Temperatures

By Andy May In the Great Climate Change Debate between Professor David Karoly and Professor Will Happer, Glenn Tamblyn was called upon to finish the consensus side of the debate…

Comparing AR5 to AR6

By Andy May The IPCC AR5 report was published in 2013 and the CMIP5 climate models they used, have been shown to predict faster warming than observed in the tropical…

Climate tipping might not always be disastrous

Crossing a tipping point may lead to many other situations than the generally assumed catastrophic outcome

Climate Model Democracy

By Andy May In my last post, I explained how the IPCC attempts to use climate models to show humans have caused the recent global warming. Models are useful for…

German Paper: “A Mild Additional Temperature Rise Of Around 1°K”… Drop Not Excluded By 2100!

The results point to only a moderately warming planet up to the year 2150.

Meandering Through A Climate Muddle

Guest Post By Willis Eschenbach One reason that I’m always hesitant to speculate on other peoples’ motives is that half the time I have no clue about my own motives.…

Claim: “Blue Blob” Near Iceland Could Slow Glacial Melting

Chilly seawater may slow ice loss on the island until 2050, then warming and melting may acceleratePeer-Reviewed Publication AMERICAN GEOPHYSICAL UNION American Geophysical Union15 February 2022AGU Release No. 22-11For Immediate…

UCL Professor: “Modelling climate change is much easier” than Weather

The diverse predictions produced by 20 major research centres represent “strength in numbers”, according to UCL Professor of Earth System Science Mark Maslin.

Joe Rogan, Jordan Peterson Slam Climate Predictions

Climate Blasphemy! Jordan Peterson, whose podcasts have had over 285 million views, and famous Actor / Comedian Joe Rogan who hosts the wildly popular Joe Rogan Experience, have triggered the…

Crossing (or not) the 1.5 and 2.0C Thresholds

The bottom line is that uncertainty in global temperature projections to 2050 is skewed towards lower values, as uncertainty in near term scenarios of emissions is decreasing.

Claim: More Work Required to Study “Settled” Climate Science

Last Halloween, Naomi Oreskes unsettled the climate community by suggesting the work of WG1 scientists is done, and that they should move on to other fields. Climate scientist have now…

Arctic Ocean Started Getting Warmer Decades Earlier Than We Thought – Study

“Climate simulations generally do not reproduce this kind of warming in the Arctic Ocean, meaning there’s an incomplete understanding of the mechanisms driving Atlantification,” said Tommaso. “We rely on these…

Why Aren’t Journalists and Politicians More Sceptical About the ‘Net Zero’ Policy, Given that it’s Based on the Outputs of Unreliable Models?

mainstream media, politicians, activists, state-sponsored scientists and subsidy-hungry industrialists, we are embarking on net zero with little idea, or seemingly care, of the disastrous effect it will have on human…

Climate tipping might be predicted using algebraic topology

Do we risk the same today from anthropogenic climate change? Frankly, climate models cannot answer that question yet.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac Seasonal Forecasts

By Andy May The Old Farmer’s Almanac has been making yearly long-term weather forecasts for 230 years. We pay attention to them because they are normally 80% accurate. They did…

IPCC AR6: Breaking the hegemony of global climate models

Well, I’ve been reading the fine print of the IPCC AR6 WG1 Report. The authors are to be congratulated for preparing a document that is vastly more intellectually sophisticated than…

The Emperor Penguin Extinction Scam & Sea Ice Dynamics

Despite climate model predictions that Emperor Penguins face imminent extinction due to rising CO2, observations and scientific evidence reveal Emperors are thriving and increasing, as sea ice and Antarctic temperatures…

Study: Climate Models can Predict Life in the Year 2500

According to the authors of a study, if we don’t mend our wicked ways, in 500 years people in India will have to wear space suits when they want to…