El Niño WATCH cancelled; ENSO neutral likely for 2017

From the “now the warmest year on record hopes are dashed” department: Via Bloomberg: All eight climate models surveyed by Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology suggest tropical Pacific Ocean temperatures are likely to remain neutral for the second half, it said on its website on Tuesday. That reverses a June 6 report that showed four models predicting temperatures…

Advertisements

Where did the 2016 El Niño's heat come from?

Guest essay by Mike Jonas 1. The basic physics 2016 was claimed as the “hottest year ever”. Well, the hottest for a few centuries, anyway, if the global temperature measures are to be believed. Let’s suppose that they are. It is known that 2016 was an El Niño year, and that the “hottest year ever”…

Do over: The 1997/98 Super El Niño via latest computer animation

From the UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES Extraordinary animation reveals ocean’s role in El Niños Ocean model data generated by Australia’s most powerful supercomputer, Raijin, shows 97/98 El Nino unfolding Sydney, Australia: Australian researchers from the National Computational Infrastructure (NCI) and the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science have produced a remarkable high-resolution…

Quicky October 2016 ENSO Update

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale Weekly NINO3.4 Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies from NOAA Are Approaching the Threshold of a Moderately Strong La Niña.  Australia’s Southern Oscillation Index from BOM is in La Niña values.  And NOAA’s Multivariate ENSO Index is Still in ENSO Neutral Territory. NOAA’S WEEKLY NINO3.4 REGION SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES   NOAA’s…