97_percent_busted

New paper: Fraud, Bias & Public Relations – The 97% ‘Consensus’ And Its Critics

Claims of 97% consensus on global warming depend on research described as fraudulent and biased London, 8 September: A new briefing note published today by the Global Warming Policy Foundation examines claims made by a great many commentators across the world, including President Obama and Ed Davey, of an overwhelming consensus on climate change. These depend on research…

Swedish farmers reject the 97% climate change consensus

From ScienceNordic: Researchers the world over almost unanimously agree that our climate is changing … But many farmers – at least Swedish ones – have experienced mild winters and shifting weather before and are hesitant about trusting the scientists. The researcher who discovered the degree of scepticism among farmers was surprised by her findings. Therese…

The disagreement over what defines ‘endorsment of AGW’ by Cook et al. is revealed in raters remarks, and it sure isn’t a 97% consensus

The Cook ratings document contains some incredible remarks, one of which is documented here.  According to it, “the training period in the initial stages of the rating period” covered more than half the ratings they did.  What kind of training period covers half of your project?! Guest post by Brandon Schollenberger Last month, I highlighted…

Surprise! No 97% consensus down under

Marc Hendrickx tips me to this story in the Australian: Earth scientists split on climate change statement AUSTRALIA’S peak body of earth scientists has declared itself unable to publish a position statement on climate change due to the deep divisions within its membership on the issue.

The myth of the 97% climate change consensus

What is the origin of the false belief – constantly repeated by President Obama, the media and others – that almost all scientists agree about global warming? Claims continue to be made that “97% of scientists agree that climate change is real, man-made and dangerous.” That’s what Secretary of State John Kerry told graduating Boston…

Friday Funny – 97% sticky science

Josh writes: There is so much to cartoon this week it is difficult to choose what to start with. I went for Brandon’s brilliant 97% data discovery. Apparently all you need to do if you want to be part of the 97% consensus that global warming is a real and present danger is just add…

97% of pictures are worth 1000 climate words

Guest essay by By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley The Guardian, one of the fastest-collapsing “legacy” news media in Britain, is bleeding circulation more rapidly than almost any other national newspaper. One reason, perhaps, is that on the question of the climate it has long ceased to be even remotely credible. A recent piece by Ketan…

An oopsie in the Doran/Zimmerman 97% consensus claim

David Burton writes: I just realized the obvious answer to a question that has been nagging in the back of my mind for nearly a year and a half. In 2008 Margaret Zimmerman asked two questions of 10,257 Earth Scientists at academic and government institutions. 3146 of them responded. That survey was the original basis for…

The 97% consensus myth – busted by a real survey

We’ve all been subjected to the incessant “97% of scientists agree …global warming…blah blah” meme, which is nothing more than another statistical fabrication by John Cook and his collection of “anything for the cause” zealots. As has been previously pointed out on WUWT, when you look at the methodology used to reach that number, the…

Join my crowd-sourced complaint about the ‘97% consensus’

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley Three-quarters (rounded up to 97.1%) of all commenters expressing an opinion on my recent post about Dana Nuccitelli’s attempt at ex-post-facto justification of the false assertion in the lamentable Cook et al. paper of a non-existent 97.1% “scientific consensus” that turned out on peer-reviewed inspection to be 0.3%, enjoyed the…

The IPCC’s new certainty is 95% What? Not 97%??

Just 2% short of the magic 97% number, I’m sure the SkS kidz will be devastated. From Reuters: Drafts seen by Reuters of the study by the U.N. panel of experts, due to be published next month, say it is at least 95 percent likely that human activities – chiefly the burning of fossil fuels…

Global Warming theory has failed all tests, so alarmists return to the ‘97% consensus’ hoax

 Guest essay by Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, Weatherbell Analytics National Academies of Science defines a scientific theory as “a well-substantiated explanation of the natural world that can incorporate facts, laws, inferences, and tested hypotheses.” Dr Richard Feynman, Cornell Physicist in a lecture explained how theorys that failed the test of data or experiment are falsified (“wrong”)…

The madness of 97% 98% consensus herds

UPDATE: comments welcome on Dr. Richard Tol’s draft paper on this issue, see below. This will be a top post for a day, new posts will appear below this one – Anthony “Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover…

Tol statistically deconstructs the 97% Consensus

Dr. Richard Tol has been tweeting a statistical destruction of the “97% consensus” study, Cook et al. (2013) by educating co-author Dana Nuccitelli as to why his “sample” is not representative. “In his defense, [Dana] has had limited exposure to stats at uni” – Richard Tol

The 97% consensus paper is starting to fall apart

Two developments suggest that Cook et al 2013 Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature may be soon be headed for “retraction watch”, since serious problems with the data are becoming evident, which when accounted for bring the 97% consensus figure into question. First, there are new issues with the search…

Cook’s 97% consensus study falsely classifies scientists’ papers according to the scientists that published them

UPDATE: More inconsistency: Cook survey included 10 of my 122 eligible papers. 5/10 were rated incorrectly. 4/5 were rated as endorse rather than neutral. — Richard Tol (@RichardTol) May 22, 2013 =========================================== When asked about the categorizations of Cook et al, – “It would be incorrect to claim that our paper was an endorsement of…

Friday Funny – great moments in 97% beliefs

Heh, this is from a commenter at Slashdot on Cook’s fatally flawed 97% consensus paper. While a bit harsh, it’s also funny. He responds to: Yeah! It’s like saying that 97% of priests believe in god anyway. by Razgorov Prikazka (1699498) on Friday May 17, 2013 @11:52AM (#43753313) says: I agree, and it goes further…

Skeptical Science conspiracy theorist John Cook runs another survey trying to prove that false “97% of climate scientists believe in global warming” meme

People send me stuff. Even though I’m supposed to be on break, I thought this worth a few minutes to post up. I have redacted the recipient address as well as the exact time stamp, and the suffix code in the URL to prevent the sender from being identified by Cook, and face possible retaliation…

What else did the ‘97% of scientists’ say?

Guest Post by Barry Woods I wonder just how many politicians, environmentalists or scientists who use the phrase ‘97% of scientists’ (or those who more carefully use ‘active climate scientists’) to give weight to their arguments regarding climate change to the public, have any idea of the actual source of this soundbite.   Perhaps a few may say the ‘Doran Survey’, which is…

GMU on climate scientists: we are the 97%

More Durban PR ramp-up, this time from GMU, recycling old news and old claims. Widespread Public Misperception about Scientific Agreement on Global Warming Undermines Climate Policy Support FAIRFAX, Va.-People who believe there is a lot of disagreement among scientists about global warming tend to be less certain that global warming is happening and less supportive…

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Friday Funny – You’re a climate denier if:

By Mark Heyer – You’re a climate denier if: – You believe that the atmosphere has continued to warm for the last 17+ years despite rapid growth of CO2. 97% of real climate scientists acknowledge that it hasn’t. They call it the “pause” or “hiatus” although there is no scientific evidence that warming will pick…

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Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #151

The Week That Was: 2014-09-27 (September 27, 2014) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, Executive Vice President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) Climate Pep Rally: According to the organizers, the UN Rally in New York to “save the planet” was a success. Others…

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NCSE: Texas schoolbooks should stick to the climate dogma

Story submitted by Eric Worrall | The National Center for Science Education (NCSE) has published a critique which expresses deep concerns about the latest McGraw Hill Education, World Cultures & Geography [Teacher Version] (Grade 6) school textbook. According to the critique; “This book has a deeply concerning section comparing the Heartland Institute with the Intergovernmental…