Does the Pacific Decadal Oscillation have predictive skill for global temperature?

Reader Eric Worrall writes: I was playing with Wood For Trees, looking at the relationship between Pacific Decadal Oscillation vs global temperature (Hadcrut 4), when the following graph appeared. The…

On Hartmann and Wendler 2005 “The Significance of the 1976 Pacific Climate Shift in the Climatology of Alaska.”

Note: this is a companion article for the story: The Guardian’s Suzanne Goldenberg takes a fossil fueled trip to a remote Alaskan village to tell us recent global warming caused…

Multidecadal Variations and Sea Surface Temperature Reconstructions

UPDATE: I’ve added a link at the end of the post for those interested in a copy of it in .pdf format. ########### OVERVIEW This is a somewhat lengthy blog…

The Shifts Hypothesis – an alternative view of global climate change

Guest post by Pavel Belolipetsky The IPCC, Bob Tisdale and others have presented hypotheses to explain 20th century warming. This article presents another. My co-workers and I call it the…

Coralline Algae and the Case for Natural Climate Change

Guest post by Jim Steele Director Sierra Nevada Field Campus, emeritus, San Francisco State University There was a very revealing 2012 paper demonstrating the power and interconnections of natural ocean…

Cooling in the near future?

Global Cooling – Climate and Weather Forecasting. Guest post by Dr. Norman Page Introduction. Over the last 10 years or so as new data have accumulated the general trend and…

Muscheler retracts? Offers a NEW excuse for why solar activity can't be responsible for post-70's warming

Guest post by Alec Rawls Technically Dr. Muscheler is asking me to retract the title of my post, “Raimund Muscheler says that a steady high level of forcing can’t cause warming“:…

Linking the ENSO and PDO induced rainfall of the Pacific Northwest to proxy data in tree rings and lake sediments

From Penn State , another Mann paper with proxy sets, and a divergence problem. At least they are talking about the MWP, or as they call it, the Medieval Climate…

Tisdale on the Curious Northern Hemisphere Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Patterns

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This post will serve as the Preliminary Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Update for June 2012, since we’ll be using preliminary June 2012 data in it.…

More data fiddling – this time in NOAA's ENSO data

Plot below showing ONI -vs- Aqua Channel 5 Temperature from lukewarmplanet (not Tisdale) to illustrate what he is talking about in his upcoming book. – Anthony Comments on NOAA’s Recent…

Crowdsourced Climate Complexity – Compiling the WUWT Potential Climatic Variables Reference Page

By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” With the help of an array of WUWT reader comments, which began on this thread on January, 15th 2011, and grew on January 22nd,…

The Ridiculousness Continues – Climate Complexity Compiled

By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” With the help of an array of WUWT reader comments on this thread and several others documented within, I’ve been compiling a summary of…

Global temps in a Crash as AGW proponents Crash the Economy

By Joe Bastardi, Weatherbell Analytics When the PDO turned cold, most of the meteorological and climate community understood that the pattern was turning very similar the last time of the…

Yet Even More Discussions About The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)

Guest post by Bob Tisdale INTRODUCTION I’ve written numerous posts that describe the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), what the PDO represents, and, just as important, what it does not represent.…

New WUWT Oceanic Oscillation Page – With Link Tutorial

Introducing WUWT’s newest addition, the Oceanic Oscillation Page, which includes graphs and graphics,on Oceanic Oscillations including the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), El Niño/La Niña and the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation (AMO).…

Arctic Cycles – AMO+PDO corresponds to Arctic station group

The following figure shows the AMO+PDO (black line above changed to red below) superimposed on the Arctic average annual temperature shown at the beginning of this document.

Interannual Terrestrial Oscillations

There’s a saying, “timing is everything”. After reading this, I think it is more true than ever. In other news. Paul Vaughn is giving Bob Tisdale serious competition in the…

Nenana 2011 Ice Classic result

In case you missed it, the official result for 2011 is in: The Tanana River officially broke up on May 4, 2011 at 4:24 PM and here’s the clock Here’s…

Stockwell asks: Is the Atmosphere Still Warming?

Guest post by Dr. David Stockwell I suspect that the only really convincing evidence against global warming is a sustained period of no global warming or cooling — climate sensitivity…

Arctic Temperatures and Ice – Why it is Natural Variability

By Joe D’Aleo, CCM On October 21st the Associated Press hit the wires with a story entitled ”Sea Ice Melting as Arctic Temperatures Rise.” The temperatures in the arctic have…

Update And Changes To NODC Ocean Heat Content Data

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale, As noted in the post October 2010 Update to NODC Ocean Heat Content Data, the National Oceanographic Data Center has updated itsOCEAN HEAT CONTENT (OHC) data. This…

AMO+PDO= temperature variation – one graph says it all

Joe D’Aleo and Don Easterbrook have produced a new paper for SPPI. This graph of US Mean temperature versus the AMO and PDO ocean cycles is prominently featured: I particularly…

Ocean cooling contributed to mid-20th century global warming hiatus (and so did the PDO)

NOTE: As is typical these days, and in keeping with co-author Phil Jones tradition of not giving up anything, the publicly funded scientific paper is not included with the news,…

The North Pacific & Solar Cycle Change

Guest post by Paul Vaughan, M.Sc. Awhile back I drew attention to temporal patterns shared by the <i>rate of change</i> of solar cycle length (SCL’) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation…