Madness at #AGU2018 – probability based tornado warnings

Do You Want More Complex Tornado Warnings?? Guest essay by Mike Smith, CCM This is the story of a bad idea: probabilistic storm warnings.  Under the current storm warning system, you are either in a storm warning or not. For example, in the radar illustration below, the red area is a tornado warning which is nested…

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2018 US tornadoes lowest in 65 years of record-keeping

From the NOAA Storm Prediction Center comes this inconvenient data that pretty much kills the “climate is making weather more severe” claim. Get this – a record-low 759 tornadoes formed in the U.S. so far this year, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Storm Prediction Center (SPC). According to the SPC data, there were…

New GOES-16 weather data could improve tornado-warning times

From the “not Mann” department. UNIVERSITY PARK, Pa. — Penn State researchers are the first to use data obtained from recent next-generation satellites in a numerical weather-prediction model used to provide guidance for tornadic thunderstorm forecasting. GOES-16, which was launched in 2016, recently became fully operational but methods for incorporating the data, until now, did…

Pielke Jr. – U.S. Tornado damage continues to fall, 2018 activity near record lows

For those that are sure there’s global warming driving tornadoes and other severe weather events, here’s some inconvenient news. Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. has updated his tornado loss data via his Twitter account. He writes: 2017 update to our normalized US tornado losses based on our 2013 paper: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/17477891.2012.738642 … Past 5 yrs have 2nd lowest…

Inconvenient: NOAA data shows U.S. Tornadoes on the decline since 1970

We’ve been told time and again by climate alarmists that global warming would make more severe weather. In fact, the opposite is true according to recently released tornado data from NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center. By Paul Homewood https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/2017/torngraph-big.png 2017 was a relatively busy year for tornadoes in the US, ranking third since 2005 on preliminary…

New drought record- no tornadoes so far this year in Oklahoma

Oklahoma tornado drought to start 2018.  By Tom Di Liberto If there is one state in the country that immediately conjures up images of tornadoes, it has to be Oklahoma. After all, it’s the home to NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center and the National Severe Storms Laboratory, and it’s located in the heart of “Tornado Alley.” Oklahoma…