Why does climate sensitivity increase over time in models? A look at two possibilities

Guest analysis by Alberto Zaragoza Comendador Note: if the terms used in this article seem confusing, check out the previous one. Introduction It’s well known that climate models show increasing sensitivity over time: for a given forcing, the true long-term temperature increase (ECS) is higher than what you’d estimate if you simply extrapolated from the past…

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Stacking Up Volcanoes

  Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [See Update at end] As readers of my posts know, I’ve held for many years that there are a variety of emergent phenomena that regulate the earth’s temperature. See my posts The Thermostat Hypothesis and Emergent Climate Phenomena for an overview of my hypothesis. One of the predictions derivable…

Symmetry and Balance

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach The CERES satellite dataset is a never-ending source of amazement and interest. I got to thinking about how much energy is actually stoking the immense climate engine. Of course, virtually all the energy comes from the sun. (There is a bit of geothermal, but it’s much less than a watt…

Game over

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley Skeptics 1, Fanatics 0. That’s the final score. The corrected mid-range estimate of Charney sensitivity, which is equilibrium sensitivity to doubled CO2 in the air, is less than half of the official mid-range estimates that have prevailed in the past four decades. Transient sensitivity of 1.25 K and Charney sensitivity…

The DIY Climate Sensitivity Toolkit

Guest disalarmism by David Middleton Do you ever watch the DIY Network?  The TV network where they have all the “Do It Yourself” home improvement shows?  I don’t watch it because I can’t do anything like that myself.  If a home improvement or repair project is much beyond duct tape and bungee cords, I’m on…