Propagation of Error and the Reliability of Global Air Temperature Projections, Mark II.

Guest post by Pat Frank Readers of Watts Up With That will know from Mark I that for six years I have been trying to publish a manuscript with the post title. Well, it has passed peer review and is now published at Frontiers in Earth Science: Atmospheric Science. The paper demonstrates that climate models…

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Remystifying Climate Feedback

By Joe Born 1. Introduction By presenting actual calculation results from a specific feedback-system example, the plots below will put some graphical meat on the verbal bones of Nick Stokes’ recent “Demystifying Feedback” post. I heartily agree with the main message I took from Mr. Stokes’ post: although some climate equations may be similar to…

A Third Look at Radiation versus Temperature

Guest post by KEVIN KILTY Introduction In a post on June 8, 2019, Willis Eschenbach showed an interesting plot of monthly average surface temperature against total irradiance absorbed at the ground surface. He has updated this original post. His original figure is at the top of this post. He made no hypothesis about the meaning…

Earth As A Solar Collector

Guest post by Kevin Kilty Introduction Within the past week or two we have read posts from Dr. Spencer (6/7/2019), Nick Stokes (6/6/2019), Lord Monckton (6/8/2019), and Willis Eschenbach (6/8/2019) covering a variety of topics involving simple block models; and each one involving, in one way or another, climate feedback. I have had a few…

New global warming model highlights strong impact of social learning

?????????????????????????~ctm Researchers account for feedback between climate change and human behavior PLOS A new climate modeling approach suggests that social processes strongly affect global warming predictions, and mitigation efforts should account for this influence. Thomas Bury of the Universities of Waterloo and Guelph, Canada, and colleagues present these findings in PLOS Computational Biology. Human behavior…

Modelling the Climate of Noonworld: A New Look at Venus.

Guest Post by Philip Mulholland “Study hard what interests you the most in the most undisciplined, irreverent and original manner possible.” Richard P. Feynman. 1. Introduction: The Science of Climate. A planetary climate consists of a dynamic mobile-fluid mass-transport and energy delivery system, organised in the form of closed loops or cells, that advects mass…

Model-land, Butterflies and Hawkmoths

Guest Essay by Kip Hansen   Welcome to Model-Land, ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls!  “Model-land is a hypothetical world in which our simulations are perfect, an attractive fairy-tale state of mind in which optimizing a simulation invariably reflects desirable pathways in the real world.”  Here in Model-Land you’ll see fabulous “computational simulations and associated…