The 2021 Hurricane Season Has Begun

The extremely active 2020 Atlantic hurricane season burned through the alphabet with 30 named storms including 14 Hurricanes and 7 Majors. The two seasonal hurricane forecasts that I trust the…

NOAA predicts another active Atlantic hurricane season

For 2021, a likely range of 13 to 20 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 6 to 10 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or…

Atlantic hurricane season starts June 1 – here’s what forecasters are watching right now

As summer in the Northern Hemisphere approaches, forecasters begin watching every bout of rainy weather between the Gulf of Mexico and Africa. Each counterclockwise swirl of wind or burst of…

Fake Hurricane News Exposed: Average Day Of First Hurricane Formation “Contrary To Media Reports”

Overall Maue called the “fixation on ‘named storms’ and lengthening the season” a “waste of time.” He notes that the data for the first hurricane is “highly variable data” and…

Increasing Hurricane Frequency Due To Better Observation, Not Climate Change–BBC

There is the usual nonsense about hurricanes getting stronger, for which there is absolutely no evidence. As we can see below, major hurricanes were just as frequent as now back…

Increasing Hurricane Intensity Study Fatally Flawed

The data shows that the global results are driven largely by a single basin, the North Atlantic. The proportion of major wind speeds increased by 72% in the North Atlantic,…

Record Atlantic Hurricane Season?

There has been much alarum about last year being a “record Atlantic hurricane season”. As I pointed out at the time, the claim was based on the number of named…

North Pacific “Hurricanes”

The north Pacific Ocean will never experience a hurricane: a tropical storm with a sustained wind speed of 74 mph or more. They aren’t called hurricanes not because north Pacific…

Global Hurricane Activity Below Average In 2020

As the year draws to a close, we can note that, despite a busy Atlantic hurricane season, global hurricane activity has actually been well below average:

How Busy Was the 2020 Hurricane Season?

But the raw data for hurricane history is contaminated by changes in observing tools, in our understanding, and in the philosophy of whether a storm should be named. What explains…

HURRICANE SEASON 2020 UPDATE (11/29/2020)

The 2020 hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin is the most active in history with 30 named storms, breaking the previous record set in 2005 (which had 28). 6 storms…

Roger Pielke Jr.’s 2020 Hurricane Season Recap

2020 Atlantic hurricane season ends today Here are updated CONUS normalized losses through 2020 2020 ranks 15th of 121 years Based on @JessicaWeinkle et al https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-018-0165-2 And CONUS landfalling hurricanes…

Slower decay of landfalling Hurricanes in a warmer world — really?

The outcome of L&C 2020 is very overconfident when it comes to the dependency of the decay time on the SST. The R²=0.53 found in LC 2020 vanishes to an…

Claim: Climate change causes landfalling hurricanes to stay stronger for longer

Climate change is causing hurricanes that make landfall to take more time to weaken, reports a study published 11th November 2020 in leading journal, Nature.

Hurricane Laura was the latest storm to strengthen fast, but is rapid intensification really becoming more common?

Chris Slocum, Colorado State University Hurricane Laura blew up quickly as it headed for the Louisiana coast, intensifying from a tropical storm to a major hurricane in less than 24…

Hurricane Laura and the Wind Speed Dilemma

But here is the issue. What were the maximum sustained winds that occurred last night as Laura made landfall? Looking at all available stations, the highest sustained wind was 98…

Even with Laura, Louisiana Hurricanes Have Not Increased Since 1851

If we examine all of the hurricanes affecting Louisiana in the last 170 years in the National Hurricane Center’s HURDAT database (as summarized on Wikipedia) we find that there has…

FAIL: Despite Media Alarm, Back-to-Back Gulf Hurricanes Have Happened Before

Over the past few days, there’s been a persistent media buzz over the National Hurricane Center’s prediction of two hurricanes to hit New Orleans. Jason Dunning, a TV meteorologist at NBC2…

Hurricane trend detection

Hurricane and major hurricane landfall counts exhibited no significant overall trend over 167 years of available data, nor did accumulated cyclone energy over the continental USA over 119 years of…

NOAA claims: “Extremely active” hurricane season possible for Atlantic Basin

Atmospheric and oceanic conditions are primed to fuel storm development in the Atlantic, leading to what could be an “extremely active” season, according to forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center,…

Busy Atlantic hurricane season predicted for 2020

From the “remember, thou art model” department.Multiple climate factors indicate above-normal activity is most likely An above-normal 2020 Atlantic hurricane season is expected, according to forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction…

Climate goalpost migration: if you can’t prove more hurricanes, say it’s making them relocate

From NOAA HEADQUARTERS (via EurekaAlert) and the “Climate Refugees” department comes this inane claim that can easily be explained by natural ocean current pattern changes such as the Pacific Decadal…

No, Hurricanes Are Not Bigger, Stronger and More Dangerous

From Forbes Roger Pielke Contributor Energy I research and write about science, policy and politics. Earlier this week a paper published by the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences…

Hurricane Dorian: Just Weather, Not Climate Change

Reposted from Chris Martz Weather We’ve made it three weeks without extreme weather and/or climate change hysteria making rounds on social media. Unfortunately, that streak has come to an end,…