Tropical Storm Hermine officially reached hurricane status on Thursday, Sept. 1, 2016, at 1:55 p.m. EDT. NOAA’s GOES-East satellite captured a visible image of the hurricane at 3:15 p.m. EDT (1915 UTC). The image shows a much more organized Hermine with bands of thunderstorms wrapping around its low-level center and blanketing the entire state of…
A clear demonstration of model uncertainty in predicting ahead 7 days is evident in the difference in output for two highly used forecast models, one says we’ll have a signicant tropical storm (Hermine if it reaches that level) the other says it will dissipate. Which one is right? Who knows at this point. Tropical Weather…
Yesterday on Twitter, Chip Knappenberger coined the term “landicane” to describe the low pressure center that has been gyrating over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico for days has now dropped very heavy precipitation over southeastern Louisiana. Dr. Roger Pielke Sr. has added in the exchange that his previous research points out that wet and marshy…
Forecasters now expect 70-percent chance of 12 to 17 named storms In its updated 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook, NOAA calls for a higher likelihood of a near-normal or above-normal season, and decreases the chance of a below-normal season to only 15 percent, from the initial outlook issued in May. The season is still expected…
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale During the hurricane season, I’ll be adding the sea surface temperatures and anomalies of the Main Development Region of hurricane development in the North Atlantic to the Monthly Sea Surface Temperature Updates. This post will serve as a reference. OVERVIEW The Main Development Region of the North Atlantic (10N-20N, 80W-20W)…
Op-ed says hurricane drought will end at some point, and man-made climate change is to blame either way. Guest opinion by Steven Capozzola The New York Times ran an op-ed today by Adam Sobel, an “atmospheric scientist at Columbia.” The gist of Sobel’s article: Since 2005, the United States has been experiencing a hurricane “drought”…
From THE EARTH INSTITUTE AT COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY Tropical cyclones on track to grow more intense as temperatures rise Aerosols have compensated for greenhouse gases, but won’t in future Powerful tropical cyclones like the super typhoon that lashed Taiwan with 150-mile-per-hour winds last week and then flooded parts of China are expected to become even stronger…
