Forecast For 22nd June 2050

The Met Office has taken to sending out forecasts of weather in three decades time, despite the fact that they are useless at forecasting more than a couple of days…

A Critical Gap in Tornado Warning Technology: Lessons of the Recent Tornado Outbreak

The smartphone could not only provide a warning of imminent tornado passage but could provide information on the best direction to flee if no sheltering location is available–generally at right…

BBC and Met Office at War over ‘Deep Freeze’ Winter Weather Forecasts

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT By Paul Homewood Get the popcorn out! A rare clash has emerged between the two ‘big boys’ of UK weather forecasting after…

We Trust Meteorology To Save Lives. Is The Same Possible For Climate Science?

Sorry, the suggestion that passing policy based on 50-year climate science forecasts is somehow supported by the success of weather forecast models is mis-guided at best.

Disaster Hits the New York Metropolitan Area. We Need to Do Better.

There is no reason why so many people had to die last night from an event we knew was coming and which we could watch unfold with weather radar and…

Why Models Can’t Predict Temperature: A History Of Failure

The bottom line is that climatology is simply wrong about the magnitude of future global warming. No government should pay the slightest attention to anything it says.

Friday Funny: nature makes a mockery of month-ahead model forecasts.

Sometimes, you just have to laugh. Earth is a complex system, and forecasting weather events in such a complex system is no easy task due to the built in entropy…

Assessment of climate change risk to the insurance sector

Apart from the slow creep of sea level rise which in recent decades has been tracking the low end of the RCP4.5 scenario, there is little justification for expecting a…

U.S. Numerical Weather Prediction is Crippled by the Division between NOAA and the Academic Community. But a Rare Opportunity Beckons.

U.S. global weather prediction run by NOAA/National Weather Service is now in fourth place among national centers and FAR behind what one would expect from the world-leading U.S. weather research…

5G wireless may lead to inaccurate weather forecasts

Upcoming 5G wireless networks that will provide faster cell phone service may lead to inaccurate weather forecasts, according to a Rutgers study on a controversial issue that has created anxiety…

Storm Forecast This Week Could End Some West Coast Wildfires

Last week, computer weather forecast models were hinting at the possibility of a weather system pattern change that could result in significant precipitation for California and the West Coast. While…

Upcoming La Nina Winter: Cooler and Wetter than Normal

There comes a point during mid-summer when the veil of uncertainty lifts regarding the nature of the upcoming winter season and we are at that point now.

U.S. Navy Weather and Ocean Prediction: A Conversation with Rear Admiral John Okon

The U.S. Navy plays a huge role in global environmental monitoring and prediction, ranging from taking observations in the world’s oceans and monitoring Arctic sea ice, to running highly sophisticated…

Chaos and Weather

The pioneering study of Lorenz in 1963 and a follow-up presentation in 1972 changed our view on the predictability of weather by revealing the so-called butterfly effect, also known as…

Forecasting Bird Migration with Weather Radar and Models

From The Cliff Mass Weather Blog We are now in the midst of the big bird migration time of the year and weather radar can help documents the huge flux…

Will the Coronavirus Outbreak Affect Weather Forecasting?

Reposted from the Cliff Mass Weather Blog Weather prediction is an essential technology that both protects the economy and saves lives. National Weather Service personnel are considered critical personnel and…

Why Should the U.S. Be the Leader in Numerical Weather Prediction?

Reposted from The Cliff Mass Weather Blog Tuesday, February 25, 2020 Why Should the U.S. Be the Leader in Numerical Weather Prediction? During the past several years, I have written…

U.S. Operational Weather Prediction is Crippled By Inadequate Computer Resources

Reposted from the Cliff Mass Weather Blog U.S. Operational Weather Prediction is Crippled By Inadequate Computer Resources U.S. global numerical weather prediction has now fallen into fourth place, with national…

Extended Forecasts are Not Reliable

Reposted from the Cliff Mass Weather and Climate Blog We are constantly exposed to extended forecasts in the media and online, with predictions extending through the next month and more.…

Using artificial intelligence to better predict severe weather

Researchers create AI algorithm to detect cloud formations that lead to storms Penn State When forecasting weather, meteorologists use a number of models and data sources to track shapes and…

NOAA predicts near-normal 2019 Atlantic hurricane season

El Nino and warmer-than-average Atlantic help shape this season’s intensity From NOAA press release: NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is predicting that a near-normal Atlantic hurricane season is most likely this…

Will 5G Undermine Weather Prediction?

Reposted from Cliff Mass Weather and Climate Blog   HT/RonPE Saturday, May 18, 2019 There have been a number of media stories this week about a major threat to weather prediction: …

2019 Hurricane season forecast: below average

Dr. Philip Klotzbach of Colorado State University writes on Twitter: Seasonal #hurricane forecast from @ColoradoStateU predicts slightly below-average season: 13 named storms, 5 hurricanes & 2 major (Cat 3+, >=111…

The Genius of Crowd Weather Forecasting

Reposted from The Cliff Mass Weather and Forecasting Blog Last quarter I taught Atmospheric Sciences 101 and as a fun extra-credit activity students had the opportunity to participate in a…