2019 Hurricane season forecast: below average

Dr. Philip Klotzbach of Colorado State University writes on Twitter: Seasonal #hurricane forecast from @ColoradoStateU predicts slightly below-average season: 13 named storms, 5 hurricanes & 2 major (Cat 3+, >=111 mph) hurricanes. Primary reason for slightly below-avg forecast is anticipated continuation of weak #ElNino. We anticipate that the 2019 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have…

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The Genius of Crowd Weather Forecasting

Reposted from The Cliff Mass Weather and Forecasting Blog Last quarter I taught Atmospheric Sciences 101 and as a fun extra-credit activity students had the opportunity to participate in a forecasting competition in which they predicted temperatures and probability of precipitation at Sea-Tac Airport.   The National Weather Service forecast is scored as well to provide…

Claim: Climate changes make some aspects of weather forecasting increasingly difficult

Stockholm University The ongoing climate changes make it increasingly difficult to predict certain aspects of weather, according to a new study from Stockholm University. The study, focusing on weather forecasts in the northern hemisphere spanning 3- 10 days ahead, concludes that the greatest uncertainty increase will be regarding summer downfalls, of critical importance when it…

The GWPF 2019 Temperature Prediction Competition

Benny Peiser writes: It would be great if you would encourage your readers to participate in our 2019 Global Temperature Prediction Competition. Here the the description from The GWPF website Date: 08/02/19 Global Warming Policy Forum With GWPF readers having trounced the Met Office at predicting temperatures for 2018, it will very interesting to see…

Forecast suggests Earth’s warmest period on record

From the good ol’ UEA  <—- I suggest you check out link~ctm  Public Release: 6-Feb-2019 Forecast suggests Earth’s warmest period on record University of East Anglia Temperature figures table  Credit: Met Office The forecast for the global average surface temperature for the five-year period to 2023 is predicted to be near or above 1.0 °C…

NO EVIDENCE’: Experts Continue To Debunk WaPo’s Claim About The Shutdown And Weather Forecasts

From The Daily Caller Michael Bastasch | Energy Editor There’s no evidence the government shutdown is making weather forecasts less accurate, according to experts. The Washington Post reported the shutdown has impacted the accuracy of NOAA’s flagship weather model. However, NOAA and other meteorologists who fact-checked the claim found no evidence to back it up.…

New GOES-16 weather data could improve tornado-warning times

From the “not Mann” department. UNIVERSITY PARK, Pa. — Penn State researchers are the first to use data obtained from recent next-generation satellites in a numerical weather-prediction model used to provide guidance for tornadic thunderstorm forecasting. GOES-16, which was launched in 2016, recently became fully operational but methods for incorporating the data, until now, did…

New radar method makes weather forecasts right as rain

New method makes weather forecasts right as rain MU researchers harness modern radar capabilities to account for evaporation, create more accurate rain forecasts COLUMBIA, Mo. – Meteorologists have known for some time that rainfall forecasts have flaws, as failure to take into account factors such as evaporation can affect their accuracy. Now, researchers from the University of…