Friday Funny: nature makes a mockery of month-ahead model forecasts.

Sometimes, you just have to laugh. Earth is a complex system, and forecasting weather events in such a complex system is no easy task due to the built in entropy…

Assessment of climate change risk to the insurance sector

Apart from the slow creep of sea level rise which in recent decades has been tracking the low end of the RCP4.5 scenario, there is little justification for expecting a…

U.S. Numerical Weather Prediction is Crippled by the Division between NOAA and the Academic Community. But a Rare Opportunity Beckons.

U.S. global weather prediction run by NOAA/National Weather Service is now in fourth place among national centers and FAR behind what one would expect from the world-leading U.S. weather research…

5G wireless may lead to inaccurate weather forecasts

Upcoming 5G wireless networks that will provide faster cell phone service may lead to inaccurate weather forecasts, according to a Rutgers study on a controversial issue that has created anxiety…

Storm Forecast This Week Could End Some West Coast Wildfires

Last week, computer weather forecast models were hinting at the possibility of a weather system pattern change that could result in significant precipitation for California and the West Coast. While…

Upcoming La Nina Winter: Cooler and Wetter than Normal

There comes a point during mid-summer when the veil of uncertainty lifts regarding the nature of the upcoming winter season and we are at that point now.

U.S. Navy Weather and Ocean Prediction: A Conversation with Rear Admiral John Okon

The U.S. Navy plays a huge role in global environmental monitoring and prediction, ranging from taking observations in the world’s oceans and monitoring Arctic sea ice, to running highly sophisticated…

Chaos and Weather

The pioneering study of Lorenz in 1963 and a follow-up presentation in 1972 changed our view on the predictability of weather by revealing the so-called butterfly effect, also known as…

Forecasting Bird Migration with Weather Radar and Models

From The Cliff Mass Weather Blog We are now in the midst of the big bird migration time of the year and weather radar can help documents the huge flux…

Will the Coronavirus Outbreak Affect Weather Forecasting?

Reposted from the Cliff Mass Weather Blog Weather prediction is an essential technology that both protects the economy and saves lives. National Weather Service personnel are considered critical personnel and…

Why Should the U.S. Be the Leader in Numerical Weather Prediction?

Reposted from The Cliff Mass Weather Blog Tuesday, February 25, 2020 Why Should the U.S. Be the Leader in Numerical Weather Prediction? During the past several years, I have written…

U.S. Operational Weather Prediction is Crippled By Inadequate Computer Resources

Reposted from the Cliff Mass Weather Blog U.S. Operational Weather Prediction is Crippled By Inadequate Computer Resources U.S. global numerical weather prediction has now fallen into fourth place, with national…

Extended Forecasts are Not Reliable

Reposted from the Cliff Mass Weather and Climate Blog We are constantly exposed to extended forecasts in the media and online, with predictions extending through the next month and more.…

Using artificial intelligence to better predict severe weather

Researchers create AI algorithm to detect cloud formations that lead to storms Penn State When forecasting weather, meteorologists use a number of models and data sources to track shapes and…

NOAA predicts near-normal 2019 Atlantic hurricane season

El Nino and warmer-than-average Atlantic help shape this season’s intensity From NOAA press release: NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is predicting that a near-normal Atlantic hurricane season is most likely this…

Will 5G Undermine Weather Prediction?

Reposted from Cliff Mass Weather and Climate Blog   HT/RonPE Saturday, May 18, 2019 There have been a number of media stories this week about a major threat to weather prediction: …

2019 Hurricane season forecast: below average

Dr. Philip Klotzbach of Colorado State University writes on Twitter: Seasonal #hurricane forecast from @ColoradoStateU predicts slightly below-average season: 13 named storms, 5 hurricanes & 2 major (Cat 3+, >=111…

The Genius of Crowd Weather Forecasting

Reposted from The Cliff Mass Weather and Forecasting Blog Last quarter I taught Atmospheric Sciences 101 and as a fun extra-credit activity students had the opportunity to participate in a…

Claim: Climate changes make some aspects of weather forecasting increasingly difficult

Stockholm University The ongoing climate changes make it increasingly difficult to predict certain aspects of weather, according to a new study from Stockholm University. The study, focusing on weather forecasts…

The GWPF 2019 Temperature Prediction Competition

Benny Peiser writes: It would be great if you would encourage your readers to participate in our 2019 Global Temperature Prediction Competition. Here the the description from The GWPF website…

Forecast suggests Earth’s warmest period on record

From the good ol’ UEA  <—- I suggest you check out link~ctm  Public Release: 6-Feb-2019 Forecast suggests Earth’s warmest period on record University of East Anglia Temperature figures table  Credit:…

NO EVIDENCE’: Experts Continue To Debunk WaPo’s Claim About The Shutdown And Weather Forecasts

From The Daily Caller Michael Bastasch | Energy Editor There’s no evidence the government shutdown is making weather forecasts less accurate, according to experts. The Washington Post reported the shutdown…

NOAA Winter Outlook favors mild winter temperatures for much of U.S.

Wet southern states to contrast drought in West – weak El Nino expected A mild winter could be in store for much of the United States this winter according to…

New GOES-16 weather data could improve tornado-warning times

From the “not Mann” department. UNIVERSITY PARK, Pa. — Penn State researchers are the first to use data obtained from recent next-generation satellites in a numerical weather-prediction model used to…