NOAA Winter Outlook favors mild winter temperatures for much of U.S.

Wet southern states to contrast drought in West – weak El Nino expected A mild winter could be in store for much of the United States this winter according to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. In the U.S. Winter Outlook for December through February, above-average temperatures are most likely across the northern and western U.S., Alaska…

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New GOES-16 weather data could improve tornado-warning times

From the “not Mann” department. UNIVERSITY PARK, Pa. — Penn State researchers are the first to use data obtained from recent next-generation satellites in a numerical weather-prediction model used to provide guidance for tornadic thunderstorm forecasting. GOES-16, which was launched in 2016, recently became fully operational but methods for incorporating the data, until now, did…

New radar method makes weather forecasts right as rain

New method makes weather forecasts right as rain MU researchers harness modern radar capabilities to account for evaporation, create more accurate rain forecasts COLUMBIA, Mo. – Meteorologists have known for some time that rainfall forecasts have flaws, as failure to take into account factors such as evaporation can affect their accuracy. Now, researchers from the University of…

Claim: general public can't read hurricane forecast tracks

From the “another failure of public education” department and the UNIVERSITY OF UTAH: Interpreting hurricane forecast displays can be difficult for general public Utah study finds the two commonly used methods are often misunderstood by novice viewers The 2017 hurricane season has highlighted the critical need to communicate a storm’s impact path and intensity accurately, but…

House tells NOAA in new bill – focus on weather, not climate research

From the ECMWF is kicking your butt department: This legislation directs NOAA to prioritize its research House Approves Weather Forecasting Bill Apr 4, 2017 Press Release WASHINGTON- The U.S House of Representatives today unanimously approved the Senate amendment to H.R. 353, the Weather Research and Forecasting Innovation Act, introduced by Science, Space, and Technology Committee Vice…

Reality-based climate forecasting

Continuing to focus on carbon dioxide as the driving force will just bring more bogus predictions Guest essay by Paul Driessen These days, even shipwreck museums showcase evidence of climate change. After diving recently among Key West’s fabled ship-destroying barrier reefs, I immersed myself in exhibits from the Nuestra Senora de Atocha, the fabled Spanish…

How lightning strikes can improve storm forecasts

From the UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON Humans have always been frightened and fascinated by lightning. This month, NASA is scheduled to launch a new satellite that will provide the first nonstop, high-tech eye on lightning over the North American section of the planet. University of Washington researchers have been tracking global lightning from the ground for more…