Back to the hurricane drought? Forecast: Below-average hurricane activity in 2018

UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA says this year is among the lowest of all published hurricane forecasts Hurricane season didn’t officially start until June 1, but Subtropical Storm Alberto made an appearance early, causing more than $50 million in damage as it made its way inland and up the coast in late May. Twelve people — seven…

Advertisements

New radar method makes weather forecasts right as rain

New method makes weather forecasts right as rain MU researchers harness modern radar capabilities to account for evaporation, create more accurate rain forecasts COLUMBIA, Mo. – Meteorologists have known for some time that rainfall forecasts have flaws, as failure to take into account factors such as evaporation can affect their accuracy. Now, researchers from the University of…

Claim: general public can't read hurricane forecast tracks

From the “another failure of public education” department and the UNIVERSITY OF UTAH: Interpreting hurricane forecast displays can be difficult for general public Utah study finds the two commonly used methods are often misunderstood by novice viewers The 2017 hurricane season has highlighted the critical need to communicate a storm’s impact path and intensity accurately, but…

House tells NOAA in new bill – focus on weather, not climate research

From the ECMWF is kicking your butt department: This legislation directs NOAA to prioritize its research House Approves Weather Forecasting Bill Apr 4, 2017 Press Release WASHINGTON- The U.S House of Representatives today unanimously approved the Senate amendment to H.R. 353, the Weather Research and Forecasting Innovation Act, introduced by Science, Space, and Technology Committee Vice…

Reality-based climate forecasting

Continuing to focus on carbon dioxide as the driving force will just bring more bogus predictions Guest essay by Paul Driessen These days, even shipwreck museums showcase evidence of climate change. After diving recently among Key West’s fabled ship-destroying barrier reefs, I immersed myself in exhibits from the Nuestra Senora de Atocha, the fabled Spanish…

How lightning strikes can improve storm forecasts

From the UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON Humans have always been frightened and fascinated by lightning. This month, NASA is scheduled to launch a new satellite that will provide the first nonstop, high-tech eye on lightning over the North American section of the planet. University of Washington researchers have been tracking global lightning from the ground for more…

New tools for predicting severe hail storms

While climate models tend to be open-ended and impossible to verify for the future they predict until the future becomes the measured present, weather models can and have been verified, and they keep getting better. Here is one such example. NSF-supported research at the University of Oklahoma uses supercomputers and simulations to improve storm forecasts…