What’s the worst case? Emissions/concentration scenarios

Reposted from Climate Etc. Posted on March 28, 2019 by curryja | by Judith Curry Is the RCP8.5 scenario plausible? This post is Part II in the possibility series (for an explanation of the possibilistic approach, see previous post link).  This paper also follows up on a recent series of posts about RCP8.5 [link]. 3.…

About the corruption of climate science

By Larry Kummer. Summary: Today’s post tells about the corruption of yet another vital American institution – climate science. See how RCP8.5, a valuable worst-case scenario, has been misrepresented to incite fear in the American public. This is a large change for me, but this outrage has gone on too long to excuse or ignore.…

Reassessing the RCPs

From Judith Curry’s Climate Etc Posted on January 28, 2019 by curryja | by Kevin Murphy A response to: “Is RCP8.5 an impossible scenario?”. This post demonstrates that RCP8.5 is so highly improbable that it should be dismissed from consideration, and thereby draws into question the validity of RCP8.5-based assertions such as those made in…

“Terrifying Sea-Level Prediction Now Looks Far Less Likely”… But “marine ice-cliff instability” is “just common sense”

Guest AEUHHH???? by David Middleton A Terrifying Sea-Level Prediction Now Looks Far Less Likely But experts warn that our overall picture of sea-level rise looks far scarier today than it did even five years ago. ROBINSON MEYER JAN 4, 2019 One of the scariest scenarios for near-term, disastrous sea-level rise may be off the table…

Sea Level to Rise 50 Feet by 2300… Oh noes!!!

Guest commentary by David Middleton Global Sea Level Could Rise 50 Feet by 2300, Study Says Characterizing what’s known and what’s uncertain is key to managing coastal risk October 6, 2018 Global average sea-level could rise by nearly 8 feet by 2100 and 50 feet by 2300 if greenhouse gas emissions remain high and humanity…