Category Archives: Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature

Monthly Averages, Anomalies, and Uncertainties

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I have long suspected a theoretical error in the way that some climate scientists estimate the uncertainty in anomaly data. I think that I’ve found clear evidence of the error in the Berkeley Earth Surface … Continue reading

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Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , | 266 Comments

On Muller et al (2013) “Decadal variations in the global atmospheric land temperatures”

I received an email yesterday morning advising me that Muller et al (2013) had been published. (Thanks, Marc.) The title of the paper is “Decadal variations in the global atmospheric land temperatures”. The abstract is here and a preprint version … Continue reading

Posted in AMO, Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, ENSO, PDO | 85 Comments

NWS station at Corinna, Maine: same old problems, now with global impact

In Anthony’s recent post about the new snowfall records, the record high at Jal, New Mexico caught his eye. I live in New Hampshire, so the lonely red dot in Maine caught my eye. I’ve never been fond of this … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Climate data, Climate FAIL, Weather_stations | Tagged , , | 43 Comments

Berkeley Earth finally makes peer review – in a never before seen journal

After almost two years and some false starts, BEST now has one paper that has finally passed peer review. The text below is from the email release sent late Saturday. It was previously submitted to JGR Atmospheres according to their … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 247 Comments

Little Ice Age Thermometers- Historic variations in temperatures Part 3 -BEST confirms extended period of warming.

Guest post by Tony Brown This short paper is a preliminary examination of BEST data to 1753, as compared to the Central England Temperature Record (CET) to 1660 (instrumental record) and 1538 (Extended by Tony Brown using thousands of contemporary … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Climate data, UHI | Tagged , , , , , , | 68 Comments

BEST, Volcanoes and Climate Sensitivity

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve argued in a variety of posts that the usual canonical estimate of climate sensitivity, which is 3°C of warming for a doubling of CO2, is an order of magnitude too large. Today, at the … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Climate sensitivity, Volcanoes | Tagged , , , , , , | 89 Comments

A fascinating new interview with Prof Richard Muller, quote: On Climategate – “What they did was, I think, shameful. And it was scientific malpractice”

Guest Post by Barry Woods The Progressive Radio Network website had a fascinating interview with Prof Richard Muller last week following his ‘man of the moment’ opinion piece - “The Conversion of a Climate Change Sceptic” in the New York Times … Continue reading

Posted in Al Gore, Alarmism, Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Climategate, heat wave, hurricanes, tornadoes, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , | 77 Comments

An uncorrected assumption in BEST’s station quality paper

I noted with a chuckle today, this statement over at the California Academy of Sciences “Climate Change Blog”: I think that we all need to be careful of not falling into the unqualified and inexpert morass characterized by vessels like … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Surfacestations paper | Tagged , , , , , | 132 Comments

Muller on MSNBC – what he didn’t say was interesting

I just watched this video interview on MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow show (h/t to Poptech) Despite the tacky caption, it was what Dr. Muller didn’t talk about that was, ahem, the best part.

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , | 113 Comments

My response to NCDC’s op-ed in the New York Times

Andrew Revkin asked me to provide comments on this article of his where the National Climatic Data Center was asked to respond to Watts et al 2012: A Closer Look at Climate Studies Promoted Before Publication Here is what I … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 121 Comments

Quote of the week – Judith Curry weighs in on BEST

Whoo boy. Judith writes: Muller bases his ‘conversion’ on the results of their recent paper?

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Quote of the Week | Tagged , , , | 49 Comments

The Myth of Settled Science

Guest post by Donald R. Baucom A key defense of AGW and now climate change is that the science is settled.  Historically and philosophically, this statement is unsustainable.                         Who would dare assert that we know all there is to … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, media, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , | 132 Comments

Why BEST Will Not Settle the Climate Debate

By S. Fred Singer (first published in American Thinker) Global warming has re-entered public consciousness in recent days, partly because of the buzz surrounding the release of warming results from the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project. The reaction of … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , | 142 Comments

Quote of the week – “an anticlimactic climate hearing”

It seems there was darned little interest in the Waxman-Markey circus aka “An End of Climate Change Skepticism”. Even one of the scientists speaking, William Chameides aka “The Green Grok” lamented the fact that nobody came. He writes at HuffPo

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Politics | 36 Comments

The Waxman-Markey Circus is coming to town – Dr. Richard Muller to showcase BEST under the bigtop

You have to laugh at the dueling statements in this circus event, its almost like a fire and brimstone speech from Rep. Edward Markey, who thinks this will be the “End of Climate Change Skepticism” as if he were casting … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , | 77 Comments

IBD picks up my article on the US cooling trend

Readers may recall earlier this week when I pointed out an inconvenient truth, the continental USA has no warming trend for the past decade, in fact it is cooling. And, going back 15 years, the data is flat. Investors business … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , | 156 Comments

NCDC data shows that the contiguous USA has not warmed in the past decade, summers are cooler, winters are getting colder

See update below: New comparison graph of US temperatures in 1999 to present added – quite an eye opener – Anthony There’s been a lot of buzz and conflicting reports over what the BEST data actually says, especially about the … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Climate data | Tagged , , | 224 Comments

Cooling Warming by the numbers

I get featured in this WSJ piece from “The Numbers Guy” Carl Bialik, but there’s a curious sentence in the first paragraph. At first I thought it was an editorial device or maybe a pun. Then I saw this:

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, media | Tagged , , | 46 Comments

A Considered Critique of Berkeley Temperature Series

Guest post by Jeff Id I will leave this alone for another week or two while I wait for a reply to my emails to the BEST group, but there are three primary problems with the Berkeley temperature trends which … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , | 145 Comments

The BEST flavor of the day

Via Tom Nelson: Muller: “I never said you shouldn’t be a skeptic. I never said that.” Richard Muller interview, Part 1 – YouTube Interviewed by Rob Nikolewski of Capitol Report New Mexico, 10/31/11. Around the 2:45 mark of Part 1, … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , | 113 Comments

Pre-Prints and Pre-Data

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Folks have said that I’m far too hard on Dr. Richard Muller of the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST Project). So let me stick to the facts. I fear I lost all respect for the … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | 73 Comments

Monday Mirthiness – the BEST team

Josh thinks climate science is BEST left to rough and tumble experts. The next installment may best this one.

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Humor, Satire | Tagged , , | 27 Comments

The BEST whopper ever

I was over at Judy Curry’s place, reading her update to the Mail on Sunday story, and noticed she referenced URLs to the updated FAQs at the BEST website. I followed and was totally shocked to read this FAQ: (bold … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , | 94 Comments

Uh oh: It was the BEST of times, it was the worst of times

Alternate title: Something wonky this way comes I try to get away to work on my paper and the climate world explodes, pulling me back in. Strange things are happening related to the BEST data and co-authors Richard Muller and … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 409 Comments

Explaining Muller vs. Muller: is BEST blissfully unaware of cosmic-ray-cloud theory?

Guest post by Alec Rawls Here is the puzzle, as noted by Nigel Calder and others: how can BEST insist that a modicum of additional evidence of late 20th century warming should put skepticism of the CO2-warming theory to rest, … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , | 136 Comments

Singer’s letter to WaPo on BEST

The scientific finding that does not settle the climate-change debate S. Fred Singer      Letter to WashPost  Oct 25, 2011** Before you write off Bachmann, Cain, and Perry as cynical diehards, deniers, idiots, or whatever, [WashPost Oct 24] consider this: Why … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Opinion | Tagged , , | 81 Comments

Real Climate pans BEST and Muller

In a shocking development that may represent a singularity, I find myself in agreement* with parts of an opinion piece posted on Real Climate today called Berkeley Earthquake Called Off. Dr. Eric Steig writes: Anybody expecting earthshaking news from Berkeley, … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , | 64 Comments

What the BEST data actually says

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach My theory is that the BEST folks must have eaten at a Hollywood Chinese restaurant. You can tell because when you eat there, an hour later you find you’re hungry for stardom. Now that the … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , | 191 Comments

Sunday Silliness – the new crop

Josh has a handle on the “best” practices for farming data and producing crops out of season. See below.

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Humor, Satire | 43 Comments

A preliminary assessment of BEST’s decline

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach With altogether far too much fanfare for my taste, the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project has not released its preliminary results. Or at least I can’t find them. I just wanted the month-by-month data … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | 202 Comments

My thanks to Mike Roddy for helping with BEST review

Eh, even when I try to get away from it on weekends it follows me via email. But, I decided I’d take a moment to post this comment from Joe Romm’s Climate Progress somebody sent me that popped up on … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Climate ugliness, Humor, Satire | Tagged , , , , | 92 Comments

World is warming. Pope is Catholic.

Guest post by Maurizio Morabito Quite an effort has been made by many people (including Dr Richard Muller) to portray the BEST pre-pre-pre-papers as some kind of death blow against climate skepticism, as if the whole debate had been a sports … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , | 116 Comments

BEST: What I agree with and what I disagree with – plus a call for additional transparency to prevent “pal” review

There’s lots of hay being made by the usual romminesque flaming bloggers, some news outlets and the like, over my disagreement with the way data was handled in one of the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) papers, the only one … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Peer review | Tagged , , , | 171 Comments

A mathematician’s response to BEST

Doug Keenan, who readers may remember doggedly pursued and won some tree ring data that Queens University held back, was asked to comment of the BEST papers by the Economist. He posted up the full correspondence, including his critiques. There’s … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , | 114 Comments

Sceptical Berkeley Scientists Say, “Human Component Of Global Warming May Be Somewhat Overstated”

From Dr. Benny Peiser and the Global Warming Policy Foundation via email. The Observatory, 21 October 2011 David Whitehouse The Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature Project has released its preliminary findings though not in a research journal but to the scientific … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, Uncategorized | 105 Comments