Tag Archives: El Niño-Southern Oscillation

California’s new toilet police

Last Thursday in my local newspaper The Chico Enterprise-Record there was an editorial about saving water through bureaucracy: Editorial: Toilet police don’t want job. It was was of those “only in California” type things about a new law with good … Continue reading

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Posted in Drought, PDO, Rainfall, Weather | Tagged , , | 121 Comments

Why The Global Warming ‘Pause’ Hasn’t Gone Away

From the GWPF By Dr David Whitehouse This new paper does not affect the fact that the temperature databases, with their own allowances for data-free regions, show no warming for 16-years, or at the very least no warming for about … Continue reading

Posted in Hiatus in Global Warming | Tagged , , , , , , , | 67 Comments

New study: ‘…climate system is only about half as sensitive to increasing CO2 as previously believed’

Warming since 1950s partly caused by El Niño HUNTSVILLE, Ala. (Nov. 11, 2013) – A natural shift to stronger warm El Niño events in the Pacific Ocean might be responsible for a substantial portion of the global warming recorded during … Continue reading

Posted in Climate sensitivity, Modeling | Tagged , , , | 191 Comments

Claim: El Nino events get more extreme as globe warms

From the University of New South Wales  and the “chicken or the egg” department comes this claim that El Niño events will increase in intensity. Meanwhile the milquetoast La Nada of the present continues. New method shows how historical ENSO … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News, ENSO, Global warming | Tagged , , | 71 Comments

Statistical proof of ‘the pause’ – Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years

Commentary from Nature Climate Change, by John C. Fyfe, Nathan P. Gillett, & Francis W. Zwiers Recent observed global warming is significantly less than that simulated by climate models. This difference might be explained by some combination of errors in … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 348 Comments

Another paper blames ENSO for global warming pause, calling it ‘… a major control knob governing Earth’s temperature.’

UPDATE: Chris de Freitas responds to comments with an addendum below – Anthony Readers may recall the recent paper that blamed “the pause” in global temperature on ENSO changes in the Pacific Ocean. Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , | 211 Comments

To NCDC: We Haven’t Seen an El Nino since 2009/10, What Do You Expect?

This desperate sounding tweet came in a few minutes ago and will be sure to get the peccatogenesists all stirred up with laughable claims of “poisoned weather” etc. June 11 U.S. Drought Monitor Update: moderate to exceptional #drought covers 44.1% of … Continue reading

Posted in Drought, ENSO | Tagged , , , , , , , | 46 Comments

Does the Pacific Decadal Oscillation have predictive skill for global temperature?

Reader Eric Worrall writes: I was playing with Wood For Trees, looking at the relationship between Pacific Decadal Oscillation vs global temperature (Hadcrut 4), when the following graph appeared. The interesting thing is PDO in this graph appears to have … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data, PDO | Tagged , , , , , , , | 102 Comments

Study: warming of Antarctic peninsula due to ocean and atmospheric circulation patterns

From the University of Washington, something we covered earlier in WUWT from the BAS, but UW is now just getting around to press releases. The Antarctic peninsula is essentially a different Koppen climate class than the main continent, and is … Continue reading

Posted in Antarctic, Southern Annular Mode | Tagged , , , , | 29 Comments

A Different Perspective of the Equatorial Pacific and ENSO Events

by Bob Tisdale It’s difficult to express how enormous El Niño and La Niña events are. Often, when discussing them, I’ll display a map of the tropical Pacific (see example here) and write something to the effect of, the equatorial … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Ocean Heat Content, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 32 Comments

NOAA’s Ever-Changing Definition of La Niña Years

UPDATE: I’ve added two illustrations to the end of the post. At the request of blogger “Kurt in Switzerland”, I plotted a comparison of the new and old versions of the Oceanic NINO Index data and posted it in a … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, NCDC, NOAA | Tagged , , , , , , , | 36 Comments

Dr. Roy Spencer’s Sea Surface Temperatures

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Over at Roy Spencer’s excellent web site, Dr. Roy has a post up showing a sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly calculated from AMSR-E, TMI, and WindSat. Here’s his post of the results: Figure 1. Global … Continue reading

Posted in Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 55 Comments

New paper from NOAA demonstrates that El Niño has more impacts than climate on winter weather in the USA

While AP’s Seth Borenstein cites opinions of activist scientists in erroneously claiming that ‘climate change’  increasing atmospheric moisture is the main driver for winter weather events, it turns out that El Niño patterns are strongly associated with winter weather impacts. … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, NOAA, snowfall, Weather | Tagged , | 22 Comments

New video from Bob Tisdale explains The Impact of Manmade Global Warming on a Blizzard Called Nemo and on Hurricane Sandy

Guest post by Bob Tisdale The following video is an examination and discussion of the sea surface temperature data associated with the recent blizzard called Nemo, and with hurricane Sandy. There’s nothing unusual about those temperatures, and there’s no evidence … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | Tagged , , , , , , , | 29 Comments

Bob Tisdale shows how ‘Forecast the Facts” Brad Johnson (and now Dr. Heidi Cullen) are fecklessly factless about ocean warming and the blizzard

UPDATE2: Gosh. Shouldn’t Dr. Cullen know more than McKibben and Brad Johnson?!  (h/t to Marc Morano) – Anthony Here’s the SST anomaly map she cites as proof in her post about the issue at Climate Central. Note that actual temperatures … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, Oceans, Sea Surface Temperature, Snow | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 81 Comments

Emergent Climate Phenomena

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In a recent post, I described how the El Nino/La Nina alteration operates as a giant pump. Whenever the Pacific Ocean gets too warm across its surface, the Nino/Nina pump kicks in and removes the … Continue reading

Posted in Emergence | Tagged , , , , , , , | 151 Comments

NOAA corrects ‘State of the Climate’ – offers no credit

NOAA Corrects Their 2012 State of the Climate Report – 2012 Was NOT the Warmest La Niña Year on Record Guest post by Bob Tisdale With as little fanfare as possible, NOAA has corrected their erroneous claim in their 2012 State … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, NCDC, NOAA | Tagged , , , , , , , | 26 Comments

UAH Global temperature for January, up significantly, but other data doesn’t match

UAH Global Temperature Update for January, 2013: +0.51 deg. C By Dr. Roy Spencer Our Version 5.5 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for January, 2013 is +0.51 deg. C, a substantial increase from December’s +0.20 deg. C. (click … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data | Tagged , | 69 Comments

New ebook: The Manmade Global Warming Challenge

Guest post by Bob Tisdale INTRODUCTION Many bloggers are very active in the climate change debate around the globe. In advance of an expected intensification of that debate this year, I’ve written a new essay about the natural warming of … Continue reading

Posted in Book Review, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , , , | 23 Comments

The Tao of El Nino

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I was wandering through the graphics section of the TAO buoy data this evening. I noted that they have an outstanding animation of the most recent sixty months of tropical sea temperatures and surface heights. … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , | 64 Comments

Global Temperature Updates – 2012

By Paul Homewood While Obama is imploring us to stop the global warming that is bringing us “the devastating impact of raging fires, and crippling drought, and more powerful storms”, it would seem to be a good idea to see … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data | Tagged , , , , , , , | 23 Comments

NOAA SOTC Claim that 2012 Was Warmest La Nina Year is Wrong

NOAA’s Definition and Data Contradict Their Claim That 2012 Was The Warmest La Niña Year Guest post by Bob Tisdale In the 2012 State of the Climate Report, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) stated (my boldface): 2012 ranked as … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Government idiocy, NCDC, NOAA | Tagged , , , , , , , | 18 Comments

Analysis shows tidal forcing is a major factor in ENSO forcing

ENSO forecast based on tidal forcing with an Artificial Neural Network Investigation submitted by Per Strandberg Here on this page, you are going to find evidence that tidal forcing is one of the most important, if not the most important … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , | 136 Comments

ENSO 2013 – Boy or Girl?

We’re Expecting: Will it be a Boy, a Girl, or ENSO-Neutral in 2013? by Bob Tisdale There was lots of interest in the short-lived El Niño conditions in 2012. Recently, they very quickly transformed into the present weak La Niña conditions. … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , | 77 Comments

Why El Niño and not the AMO?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach On another thread, a poster got me thinking about the common practice of using the El Nino 3.4 Index to remove some of the variability from the historical global average surface temperature record. The theory, … Continue reading

Posted in AMO, ENSO | Tagged , , , , , , , | 154 Comments

Quote of the week – Hansen concedes the age of flatness

Dr. James Hansen and Reto Ruedy of NASA GISS have written a paper (non peer reviewed) with a remarkable admission in it. It is titled Global Temperature Update Through 2012. Here is the money quote, which pretty much ends the caterwauling … Continue reading

Posted in James Hansen, NASA GISS | Tagged , , , , , , , | 215 Comments

Warming Rate in the US Slowed during the Recent Warming Period

The Contiguous U.S. Surface Air Temperature Data Through 2012 – Is the Recent Warming Trend Unusual? Guest post by Bob Tisdale There’s going to be a press conference today with James Hansen of GISS and Tom Karl of NOAA. According to … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 49 Comments

Drought, Hurricanes and Heat Waves – 2012 in Perspective

Guest post by Bob Tisdale Drought, Hurricanes and Heat Waves – Climate Change and Global Warming in the United States – 2012 in Perspective In this video, we’ll examine the exceptional and historic nature of the recent drought in the … Continue reading

Posted in Drought, Global warming, heat wave, hurricanes | Tagged , , , , , , | 12 Comments

NOAA Mixing Their Niños

Guest post by Paul Homewood In their attempts to disguise the fact that 2012 will likely turn out to be one of the colder years this century, NOAA have made the ludicrous, and frankly dishonest, claim that this year will … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 86 Comments

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 3: ENSO Has No Trend and Cannot Contribute to Long-Term Warming

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the 3rd part of a series of posts that present myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves during El Niño and La Niña events. In the posts, I’m simply … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 86 Comments

Dr. David Whitehouse on the AR5 figure 1.4

Dr. David Whitehouse of the GWPF expounds on the “prime statistic of global warming” graph and its failure, as first reported here. The Leaked AR5 Report And Global Temperature Whatever one’s view about the leaking of the draft IPCC AR5 … Continue reading

Posted in IPCC, IPCC AR5 leak | Tagged , , , , , , , | 107 Comments

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 2: A New Myth – ENSO Balances Out to Zero over the Long Term

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the second part in a series of posts about El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). They address many of the myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves during El Niño and … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , | 121 Comments

Once again, reality trumps models – Pacific SST’s are flat

Model-Data Comparison: Pacific Ocean Satellite-Era Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Guest post by Bob Tisdale I’ll be adding the Pacific Ocean (60S-65N, 120E-80W) sea surface temperature anomalies to my monthly updates. See Figure 1 for the area covered by those coordinates. Why … Continue reading

Posted in Modeling, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , | 77 Comments

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 1: El Niño and La Niña Events are Cyclical

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the first of a series of posts that address many of the myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves during El Niño and La Niña events. Most of the … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , | 142 Comments

Mythbusting Rahmstorf and Foster

Rahmstorf et al (2012) Insist on Prolonging a Myth about El Niño and La Niña Guest post by Bob Tisdale Anthony Watts of WattsUpWithThat forwarded a link to a newly published peer-reviewed paper by Stefan Rahmstorf, Grant Foster (aka Tamino of … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, ENSO | Tagged , , , , , , | 188 Comments