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Tag Archives: El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Do underwater volcanoes have an effect on ENSO?
I found this post interesting, especially after looking at some of the images that show what appears to be a tight hot spot upwelling off the coast of Costa Rica. But I simply can’t see enough energy in this venting … Continue reading
Do Latest Solar Studies Confirm Upcoming Global Cooling?
Guest post by Matti Vooro I fully support the findings of Jan –Erik Solheim , Kjell Stordahl and Ole Humlum and their very recent paper called The long sunspot cycle 23 predicts a significant temperature decrease in cycle 24 dated … Continue reading
Posted in solar
Tagged El Niño, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Pacific, Solar cycle, Solar cycle 23, Solar minimum, Solar variation, sun
189 Comments
2010 Snowmageddon explained, sans global warming/climate change
The 2010 Snowmageddon event was quickly seized upon in an NYT op-ed by global warming zealot Al Gore as yet more proof of…climate…warming…mumble.. something. Yet in this NASA article highlighting a new peer reviewed paper, global warming/climate change isn’t even … Continue reading
Jason and the Argo Notes
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Like Jason, I proceed into the unknown with my look at the Argo data, and will post random notes as I voyage. Come, my friends, ‘Tis not too late to seek a newer world. Push … Continue reading
Global temps in a Crash as AGW proponents Crash the Economy
By Joe Bastardi, Weatherbell Analytics When the PDO turned cold, most of the meteorological and climate community understood that the pattern was turning very similar the last time of the PDO reversal, the 1950s, and it was a matter of … Continue reading
Posted in climate data, PDO, weather
Tagged Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit, climate, El Niño, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Joe Bastardi, La Nina, Roy Spencer
313 Comments
La Niña and flu
From the Columbia University’s Mailman School of Public Health Does the La Niña weather pattern lead to flu pandemics? Worldwide pandemics of influenza caused widespread death and illness in 1918, 1957, 1968 and 2009. A new study examining weather patterns … Continue reading
Tisdale on Foster and Rahmstorf – take 2
Bob has asked me to carry this post, and I’m happy to do so. For those who want to criticize without contributing anything but criticism, I offer this insight: The only real mistake is the one from which we learn … Continue reading
Tisdale takes on Tamino’s Foster & Rahmstorf 2011
On Foster and Rahmstorf 2011 – Global temperature evolution 1979–2010 Guest post by Bob Tisdale UPDATE 2 (January 5, 2012): PLEASE READ. Three things: First, I did not understand that a “linear time trend” used by Foster and Rahmstorf (2011) is … Continue reading
Tisdale on IPCC Models Versus Sea Surface Temperature Observations During The Recent Warming Period
Guest post by Bob Tisdale OVERVIEW This post compares satellite-based Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies to the hindcasts and projections of the multi-model mean of CMIP3 models. CMIP3 is the archive the IPCC used as the source of their models … Continue reading
Frank Lansner on Foster and Rahmstorf 2011
This is a repost from Lansner’s website, since Tamino aka Grant Foster won’t allow it to be discussed on his own website, I thought I’d give a forum for discussion here. – Anthony The real temperature trend given by Foster … Continue reading
CSU’s Klotzbach and Gray Suspend December Hurricane Forecast
UPDATE: note to readers, Gray and Klotzbach are only discontinuing December forecasts for the season ahead due to limited predictive skill — for the time being. A main reason is the well-known “Spring barrier” in El Nino Southern Oscillation forecasts … Continue reading
The November AMO index goes negative, first time since 1996
Joe D’Aleo reports via email that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) Index has gone negative for this past month, see the graph below: Source:http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/correlation/amon.us.data This is the first time the November value has been negative since about 1996. It appears … Continue reading
Finally, a population crash NOT blamed on global warming
From Stanford University , a realization that El Niño an La Niña play far greater roles than any global warming does in ocean populations. Squid mystery in Mexican waters unraveled by Stanford biologist and a class of students While shorter … Continue reading
ENSO, a bigger climate driver than once thought
From the University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine & Atmospheric Science University of Miami study rethinks the ocean’s role in Pacific climate The new study can aid scientists in better understanding regional and global effects of climate change in … Continue reading
The Texas ENSO Bassmaster Classic
A bit of a tiff developed over at Dr. Roger Pielke’s place over disagreements on the recent Texas heatwave being attributed to AGW or to ENSO. Bob Tisdale has something to say about that. Bob writes: “In one email, Roger referred … Continue reading
Mid-October 2011 SST Anomaly Update
by Bob Tisdale NINO3.4 NINO3.4 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies (a commonly used El Niño-Southern Oscillation Index) are still hovering within weak La Niña range. For the week centered on October 12, 2011, NINO3.4 SST anomalies are approximately -0.77 deg … Continue reading
NCEP ensemble forecast shows deep La Niña coming
We know that we are currently in a La Niña pattern by the various maps and graphs we have on the WUWT ENSO page, for example this one: But have a look at the ensemble forecast, updated yesterday. The average … Continue reading
Plants gobbling up CO2 – 45% more than thought
From the Helmholtz Association of German Research Centres a clear indication for those “CO2 is plant food” scoffers that the plants don’t care what they think. Productivity of land plants may be greater than previously thought Researchers recommend the reworking … Continue reading
Where is Science?
Guest post by Erl Happ The Southern Oscillation Index is a reference point for the strength of the Trade winds. It represents the difference in atmospheric pressure between Tahiti and Darwin. In figure 1 the SOI is the red line … Continue reading
Posted in ENSO, Uncategorized
Tagged Atmospheric pressure, Darwin Northern Territory, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Tahiti
146 Comments
Climate clam chowder has a spicy ENSO rhythm from an old recipe
From the Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research comes word that the climate varied before, just like it does today, and we won’t be stuck with a permanent El Niño. Imagine that. 50-million-year-old clam shells provide indications of … Continue reading
A Layman’s Paper: Pneumatic Effects on Thermohaline Flow
Guest post by Caleb Shaw Possible links between thermohaline circulation and the ENSO cycle were suggested by Bill Grey as early as the late 1970’s. I became interested in this linkage when I learned Gore and Hansen, (who at that … Continue reading
A Note Regarding The NOAA ENSO Meter
UPDATE: Ric Werme is graciously producing a new updated meter for the WUWT sidebar, see comments. – Anthony by Bob Tisdale There have been a number of comments at WattsUpWithThat wondering if the NOAA ENSO Meter, Figure 1, is broken. … Continue reading
It’s official: NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says La Niña is back
As we reported on WUWT on August 24th, La Niña is now officially “back” with this press release from NOAA. Hopefully NOAAwatch will finally move the ENSO meter they produce (in the WUWT sidebar) from neutral to something that reflects … Continue reading
Posted in ENSO
Tagged Climate Prediction Center, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, La Nina, Pacific Ocean
49 Comments
Red-shifting the oceans
Unisys Is Changing Their Color Scaling On Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Maps by Bob Tisdale A couple of weeks ago, Unisys announced they are changing the color scaling on their daily Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomaly maps. The new Unisys SST … Continue reading
Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature
Tagged El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Sea Surface Temperature, Unisys
61 Comments
That darned warm-mongering El Niño
From the warm-mongers at The Earth Institute at Columbia University, a study that says El Niño drives civil war. Perhaps we can get Bob Tisdale to plot temperature anomalies along the Mason-Dixon line. It seems however that these warm-mongers at … Continue reading
Posted in ENSO, post-normal science
Tagged Civil war, Columbia University, El Niño-Southern Oscillation
59 Comments























