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Tag Archives: El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Study: warming of Antarctic peninsula due to ocean and atmospheric circulation patterns
From the University of Washington, something we covered earlier in WUWT from the BAS, but UW is now just getting around to press releases. The Antarctic peninsula is essentially a different Koppen climate class than the main continent, and is … Continue reading
A Different Perspective of the Equatorial Pacific and ENSO Events
by Bob Tisdale It’s difficult to express how enormous El Niño and La Niña events are. Often, when discussing them, I’ll display a map of the tropical Pacific (see example here) and write something to the effect of, the equatorial … Continue reading
NOAA’s Ever-Changing Definition of La Niña Years
UPDATE: I’ve added two illustrations to the end of the post. At the request of blogger “Kurt in Switzerland”, I plotted a comparison of the new and old versions of the Oceanic NINO Index data and posted it in a … Continue reading
Dr. Roy Spencer’s Sea Surface Temperatures
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Over at Roy Spencer’s excellent web site, Dr. Roy has a post up showing a sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly calculated from AMSR-E, TMI, and WindSat. Here’s his post of the results: Figure 1. Global … Continue reading
Posted in Sea Surface Temperature
Tagged AMSR-E, Dr. Roy Spencer, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Reynolds OI, Sea Surface Temperature, SST, TMI, WindSat
55 Comments
New paper from NOAA demonstrates that El Niño has more impacts than climate on winter weather in the USA
While AP’s Seth Borenstein cites opinions of activist scientists in erroneously claiming that ‘climate change’ increasing atmospheric moisture is the main driver for winter weather events, it turns out that El Niño patterns are strongly associated with winter weather impacts. … Continue reading
Posted in ENSO, NOAA, snowfall, Weather
Tagged El Niño-Southern Oscillation, National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration
22 Comments
New video from Bob Tisdale explains The Impact of Manmade Global Warming on a Blizzard Called Nemo and on Hurricane Sandy
Guest post by Bob Tisdale The following video is an examination and discussion of the sea surface temperature data associated with the recent blizzard called Nemo, and with hurricane Sandy. There’s nothing unusual about those temperatures, and there’s no evidence … Continue reading
Bob Tisdale shows how ‘Forecast the Facts” Brad Johnson (and now Dr. Heidi Cullen) are fecklessly factless about ocean warming and the blizzard
UPDATE2: Gosh. Shouldn’t Dr. Cullen know more than McKibben and Brad Johnson?! (h/t to Marc Morano) – Anthony Here’s the SST anomaly map she cites as proof in her post about the issue at Climate Central. Note that actual temperatures … Continue reading
Emergent Climate Phenomena
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In a recent post, I described how the El Nino/La Nina alteration operates as a giant pump. Whenever the Pacific Ocean gets too warm across its surface, the Nino/Nina pump kicks in and removes the … Continue reading
NOAA corrects ‘State of the Climate’ – offers no credit
NOAA Corrects Their 2012 State of the Climate Report – 2012 Was NOT the Warmest La Niña Year on Record Guest post by Bob Tisdale With as little fanfare as possible, NOAA has corrected their erroneous claim in their 2012 State … Continue reading
UAH Global temperature for January, up significantly, but other data doesn’t match
UAH Global Temperature Update for January, 2013: +0.51 deg. C By Dr. Roy Spencer Our Version 5.5 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for January, 2013 is +0.51 deg. C, a substantial increase from December’s +0.20 deg. C. (click … Continue reading
New ebook: The Manmade Global Warming Challenge
Guest post by Bob Tisdale INTRODUCTION Many bloggers are very active in the climate change debate around the globe. In advance of an expected intensification of that debate this year, I’ve written a new essay about the natural warming of … Continue reading
The Tao of El Nino
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I was wandering through the graphics section of the TAO buoy data this evening. I noted that they have an outstanding animation of the most recent sixty months of tropical sea temperatures and surface heights. … Continue reading
Global Temperature Updates – 2012
By Paul Homewood While Obama is imploring us to stop the global warming that is bringing us “the devastating impact of raging fires, and crippling drought, and more powerful storms”, it would seem to be a good idea to see … Continue reading
NOAA SOTC Claim that 2012 Was Warmest La Nina Year is Wrong
NOAA’s Definition and Data Contradict Their Claim That 2012 Was The Warmest La Niña Year Guest post by Bob Tisdale In the 2012 State of the Climate Report, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) stated (my boldface): 2012 ranked as … Continue reading
Analysis shows tidal forcing is a major factor in ENSO forcing
ENSO forecast based on tidal forcing with an Artificial Neural Network Investigation submitted by Per Strandberg Here on this page, you are going to find evidence that tidal forcing is one of the most important, if not the most important … Continue reading
Posted in ENSO
Tagged Artificial Neural Network, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, ENSO, Tidal force
136 Comments
ENSO 2013 – Boy or Girl?
We’re Expecting: Will it be a Boy, a Girl, or ENSO-Neutral in 2013? by Bob Tisdale There was lots of interest in the short-lived El Niño conditions in 2012. Recently, they very quickly transformed into the present weak La Niña conditions. … Continue reading
Posted in ENSO
Tagged El Niño, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, La Nina, Pacific Ocean, Sea Surface Temperature
77 Comments
Why El Niño and not the AMO?
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach On another thread, a poster got me thinking about the common practice of using the El Nino 3.4 Index to remove some of the variability from the historical global average surface temperature record. The theory, … Continue reading
Quote of the week – Hansen concedes the age of flatness
Dr. James Hansen and Reto Ruedy of NASA GISS have written a paper (non peer reviewed) with a remarkable admission in it. It is titled Global Temperature Update Through 2012. Here is the money quote, which pretty much ends the caterwauling … Continue reading
Warming Rate in the US Slowed during the Recent Warming Period
The Contiguous U.S. Surface Air Temperature Data Through 2012 – Is the Recent Warming Trend Unusual? Guest post by Bob Tisdale There’s going to be a press conference today with James Hansen of GISS and Tom Karl of NOAA. According to … Continue reading
Posted in Climate data
Tagged NOAA, Global warming, La Nina, Google, United States, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, James Hansen, Sea Surface Temperature, El Niño, NASA GISS, Tom Karl
49 Comments
Drought, Hurricanes and Heat Waves – 2012 in Perspective
Guest post by Bob Tisdale Drought, Hurricanes and Heat Waves – Climate Change and Global Warming in the United States – 2012 in Perspective In this video, we’ll examine the exceptional and historic nature of the recent drought in the … Continue reading

























