Analysis shows tidal forcing is a major factor in ENSO forcing

ENSO forecast based on tidal forcing with an Artificial Neural Network Investigation submitted by Per Strandberg Here on this page, you are going to find evidence that tidal forcing is…

ENSO 2013 – Boy or Girl?

We’re Expecting: Will it be a Boy, a Girl, or ENSO-Neutral in 2013? by Bob Tisdale There was lots of interest in the short-lived El Niño conditions in 2012. Recently, they…

Why El Niño and not the AMO?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach On another thread, a poster got me thinking about the common practice of using the El Nino 3.4 Index to remove some of the variability…

Quote of the week – Hansen concedes the age of flatness

Dr. James Hansen and Reto Ruedy of NASA GISS have written a paper (non peer reviewed) with a remarkable admission in it. It is titled Global Temperature Update Through 2012. Here…

Warming Rate in the US Slowed during the Recent Warming Period

The Contiguous U.S. Surface Air Temperature Data Through 2012 – Is the Recent Warming Trend Unusual? Guest post by Bob Tisdale There’s going to be a press conference today with James…

Drought, Hurricanes and Heat Waves – 2012 in Perspective

Guest post by Bob Tisdale Drought, Hurricanes and Heat Waves – Climate Change and Global Warming in the United States – 2012 in Perspective In this video, we’ll examine the…

NOAA Mixing Their Niños

Guest post by Paul Homewood In their attempts to disguise the fact that 2012 will likely turn out to be one of the colder years this century, NOAA have made…

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 3: ENSO Has No Trend and Cannot Contribute to Long-Term Warming

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the 3rd part of a series of posts that present myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves during El…

Dr. David Whitehouse on the AR5 figure 1.4

Dr. David Whitehouse of the GWPF expounds on the “prime statistic of global warming” graph and its failure, as first reported here. The Leaked AR5 Report And Global Temperature Whatever…

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 2: A New Myth – ENSO Balances Out to Zero over the Long Term

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the second part in a series of posts about El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). They address many of the myths and misunderstandings about the…

Once again, reality trumps models – Pacific SST's are flat

Model-Data Comparison: Pacific Ocean Satellite-Era Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Guest post by Bob Tisdale I’ll be adding the Pacific Ocean (60S-65N, 120E-80W) sea surface temperature anomalies to my monthly updates. See…

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 1: El Niño and La Niña Events are Cyclical

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the first of a series of posts that address many of the myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves…

Mythbusting Rahmstorf and Foster

Rahmstorf et al (2012) Insist on Prolonging a Myth about El Niño and La Niña Guest post by Bob Tisdale Anthony Watts of WattsUpWithThat forwarded a link to a newly published…

An Inconvenient Truth: Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies along Sandy’s Track Haven’t Warmed in 70+ Years

Guest post by Bob Tisdale I was visiting family in the Northeast U.S. when Sandy came ashore, so I was without power for most of last week. Since my return…

Fading El Niño complicates NOAA's winter forecast

Press release:  Elusive El Niño challenges NOAA’s 2012 U.S. Winter Outlook The western half of the continental U.S. and central and northern Alaska could be in for a warmer-than-average winter,…

Tisdale: Where’s The Anthropogenic Global Warming Signal in the NODC Ocean Heat Content Data (0-700Meters)?

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is a deviation from my typical presentation of a subdivided dataset. Usually, I divide the dataset in a way that is intended to illustrate…

Another model failure – seeing a sea of red where there is none

Seeing red just took on a whole new meaning – Anthony Model-Data Comparison – Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies – November 1981 through September 2012 Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is…

Resolving the biases in century-scale sea surface temperature measurements reveals some interesting patterns

This new paper in GRL takes on the well-known buckets-vs-inlets issue (Steve McIntyre also visited the issue several times) related to ship based sea surface temperature measurements and as a…

New paper predicts SST temperature based on Pacific Centennial Oscillation

Here’s figure 18, which I found interesting, especially the red line. – Anthony Guest post by Bob Tisdale Today, blogger “slimething” left me a link to the Karnauskas et al…

Tisdale's September 2012 Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Update

PRELIMINARY Guest Post by Bob Tisdale STANDARD OPENING PARAGRAPH The September 2012 Reynolds OI.v2 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) data through the NOAA NOMADS website won’t be official until Monday, September…

Tisdale asks: Hey, Where’d The El Niño Go?

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This post will serve as the mid-September 2012 sea surface temperature anomaly update. Sea surface temperature anomalies for the NINO3.4 region of the eastern equatorial…

Tisdales' Blog Memo to Kevin Trenberth at NCAR

Guest post by Bob Tisdale Date:  September 20, 2012 Subject:  Trenberth and Fasullo (2012) paper “Climate extremes and climate change: The Russian heat wave and other climate extremes of 2010”…

Tisdale: The Warming of the Global Oceans – Are Manmade Greenhouse Gases Important or Impotent?

Note: this post was two weeks in the making, and well worth your time to read – Anthony Guest post by Bob Tisdale Global sea surface temperatures have warmed over…

Tisdale's August 2012 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomaly Update

Guest post by Bob Tisdale MONTHLY SST ANOMALY MAP The following is a Global map of Reynolds OI.v2 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies for August 2012. It was downloaded from…