Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’m a visual guy. I understand numbers, but not in tables. I make them into graphs and charts and maps so I can understand what’s…
Category: Emergence
Putting It Into Reverse
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach We have an experiential understanding of the effect of radiation on objects. Oh, not nuclear radiation, that’s something different. I’m talking about things like solar…
Some Models Are Useless
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach There’s an old saying about models—“All models are wrong, but some models are useful.” It’s often used to justify the existence of climate models. However,…
A Request For Peer Preview
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Well, for my sins I’ve been working on a paper with the hope of getting it published in a journal. Now that it’s nearly done,…
Clouds From Both Sides Now
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Clouds are said to be the largest uncertainty in climate models, and I can believe that. Their representation in the models is highly parameterized, each…
Boy Child, Girl Child
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve said before that I consider myself a climate heretic rather than a climate skeptic. A skeptic doubts parts of things. A heretic questions the…
The Picasso Problem
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [See update at the end.] Let me start explaining the link from Picasso to climate science by looking at what Dr. Nir Shaviv called “the…
Clouds and El Nino
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach After the turn of the century, I became interested in climate science. But unlike almost everyone else, I wasn’t surprised by how much the global…
Where The Warmth Is
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I got to thinking about the “hiatus” in warming in the 21st Century, and I realized that the CERES satellite dataset covers the period since…
Watching Thunderstorms Chase The Hot Spots
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Once on a lovely hot August day in eastern Oregon, my gorgeous ex-fiancee and I sat entranced and watched a parade of dust devils. I’ve…
Glimpsed Through The Clouds
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [See Update at the end.]Â [See Second Update at the end.] In a recent post, I discussed the new CERES Edition 4.0 dataset. See that post…
Into The Vortex
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I came across a lovely photograph of a “fire devil”, also called a “fire whirl”. I liked it because the photo perfectly exemplified what is…
How Thunderstorms Beat The Heat
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I got to thinking again about the thunderstorms, and how much heat they remove from the surface by means of evaporation. We have good data…
Tropical Evaporative Cooling
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve been looking again into the satellite rainfall measurements from the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM). I discussed my first look at this rainfall data…
Cooling and Warming, Clouds and Thunderstorms
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Following up on a suggestion made to me by one of my long-time scientific heroes, Dr. Fred Singer, I’ve been looking at the rainfall dataset…
TAO Buoys Go Hot And Cold
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I got to thinking about how I could gain more understanding of the daily air temperature cycles in the tropics. I decided to look at…
The Daily Albedo Cycle
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I discussed the role of tropical albedo in regulating the temperature in two previous posts entitled Albedic Meanderings and An Inherently Stable System. This post…
An Inherently Stable System
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach At the end of my last post , I said that the climate seems to be an inherently stable system. The graphic below shows ~2,000…
Albedic Meanderings
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve been considering the nature of the relationship between the albedo and temperature. I have hypothesized elsewhere that variations in tropical cloud albedo are one…
Evidence that Clouds Actively Regulate the Temperature
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I have put forth the idea for some time now that one of the main climate thermoregulatory mechanisms is a temperature-controlled sharp increase in albedo…
Michael Mann – the 'accidental' warmist
With each passing day, Dr. Mann’s Q score becomes stranger and stranger. Mark Steyn (whom Dr. Mann is suing for libel) observes an emergent phenomenon – Mann’s accidental emergence into…
Air Conditioning Nairobi, Refrigerating The Planet
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve mentioned before that a thunderstorm functions as a natural refrigeration system. I’d like to explain in a bit more detail what I mean by…
Science, Surfing, Stratification, Overturning, and Timing
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Surfing When I was a kid, swimming in the ocean was a rarity. We kids spent summers with my Dad, and once, maybe twice over…
Slow Drift in Thermoregulated Emergent Systems
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In my last post, “Emergent Climate Phenomena“, I gave a different paradigm for the climate. The current paradigm is that climate is a system in…
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