New Met Office study suggests natural factors, including the sun, are the biggest reason behind “the pause”

More excuses for “the pause”. A team of researchers from the U.K. Met Office, Sweden and Australia has found that three periods of global warming slowdown since 1891 were likely due to natural causes rather than disruptions to the factors causing global warming. In their paper published on the open access site Science Advances, the group…

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Topsy-turvy climate science: 'Global Warming Hiatus' blamed for more intense hurricanes

From the UNIVERSITY OF HAWAII AT MANOA and the “but. but, warming is the cause of more intense hurricanes” comes this interesting study. La Niña-like ocean cooling patterns intensify northwestern Pacific tropical cyclones Another piece in the climate puzzle The intensity and frequency of strong tropical cyclones, as well as cyclone landfalls, has increased in recent…

Proof that the recent slowdown is statistically significant (correcting for autocorrelation)

Guest essay by Sheldon Walker Introduction In my last article I attempted to present evidence that the recent slowdown was statistically significant (at the 99% confidence level). Some people raised objections to my results, because my regressions did not account for autocorrelation in the data. In response to these objections, I have repeated my analysis…

Proof that the recent global warming slowdown is statistically significant (at the 99% confidence level)

Guest analysis by Sheldon Walker NOTE: An update to this article is here: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/01/17/proof-that-the-recent-slowdown-is-statistically-significant-correcting-for-autocorrelation/ Introduction In this article I will present convincing evidence that the recent slowdown was statistically significant (at the 99% confidence level). I will describe the method that I used in detail, so that other people can duplicate my results. By definition,…

Another paper confirms "the pause" in global warming – cites issues with methods of obtaining average temperature

Spatiotemporal Divergence of the Warming Hiatus over Land Based on Different Definitions of Mean Temperature Chunlüe Zhou & Kaicun Wang Abstract Existing studies of the recent warming hiatus over land are primarily based on the average of daily minimum and maximum temperatures (T2). This study compared regional warming rates of mean temperature based on T2 and T24 calculated from hourly observations…

How They airbrushed out the Inconvenient Pause

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley In November 2015, just before the faithful gathered around their capering, gibbering witch-doctors and shamans in Paris for the New Superstition’s annual festival of thanks and praise, hugs and back-slapping, the Inconvenient Pause lengthened to 18 years 9 months. One-third of Man’s entire influence on climate since the Industrial Revolution…