Uncertain Certainty: Germany’s Potsdam Climate Institute Humiliated After One-Year El Nino Forecast Model Flops

Last year Germany’s Potsdam Institute (PIK) boasted that it had a superior El Niño one-year forecasting model, claiming 80% certainty. Today, a year later, its forecast emerges totally wrong and…

After nearly a decade away, La Niña weather system is back…

According to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), La Niña is back in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, after nearly a decade’s absence.

Upcoming La Nina Winter: Cooler and Wetter than Normal

There comes a point during mid-summer when the veil of uncertainty lifts regarding the nature of the upcoming winter season and we are at that point now.

La Nina may form in the equatorial Pacific Ocean later this year and, if so, it could have wide-ranging ramifications

By Paul Dorian NOAA’s CFS v2 computer forecast model is predicting relatively strong La Nina conditions by later this summer (August/September/October); SST anomalies plot courtesy NOAA *La Nina may form…

A Weak El Nino Transitioning to La Nada

Reposted from the Cliff Mass Weather Blog Friday, February 14, 2020 A Weak El Nino Transitioning to La Nada During the past few months we have moved from near neutral…

Scientists link La Niña climate cycle to increased diarrhea

Columbia University’s Mailman School of Public Health A study in Botswana by Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health scientists finds that spikes in cases of life-threatening diarrhea in young…

Does the Climate System Have a Preferred Average State? Chaos and the Forcing-Feedback Paradigm

Reposted from Dr. Roy Spencer’s website October 25th, 2019 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. NOTE: I have written on this subject before, but it is important enough that we…

New study claims low solar activity caused "the pause" in global temperature – but AGW will return!

This is on a tip from Dr. Leif Svalgaard, WUWT’s resident solar expert. It was just published in the journal Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, and is open access. I found…

Why The Global Warming ‘Pause’ Hasn’t Gone Away

From the GWPF By Dr David Whitehouse This new paper does not affect the fact that the temperature databases, with their own allowances for data-free regions, show no warming for…

Another paper blames ENSO for global warming pause, calling it '… a major control knob governing Earth's temperature.'

UPDATE: Chris de Freitas responds to comments with an addendum below – Anthony Readers may recall the recent paper that blamed “the pause” in global temperature on ENSO changes in…