“[I]f these models cannot reproduce past variations, why should we be so confident about their ability to predict the future?”
Search Results for: model failure
Climate Model Failure
By Andy May On January 22, 2021, John Christy presented a new online talk to the Irish Climate Science Forum. The talk was arranged by Jim O’Brien. A summary of…
New Santer et al. Paper on Satellites vs. Models: Even Cherry Picking Ends with Model Failure
by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. (the following is mostly based upon information provided by Dr. John Christy) Dr. John Christy’s congressional testimonies on 8 Dec 2015 and 2 Feb…
Another model failure – seeing a sea of red where there is none
Seeing red just took on a whole new meaning – Anthony Model-Data Comparison – Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies – November 1981 through September 2012 Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is…
Why Models Can’t Predict Temperature: A History Of Failure
The bottom line is that climatology is simply wrong about the magnitude of future global warming. No government should pay the slightest attention to anything it says.
Science team points out a new failure of climate models
From Nature Climate Change: Ill-sooted models by Baird Langenbrunner Atmospheric black carbon (BC) or soot — formed by the incomplete combustion of fossil fuels, biofuel and biomass — causes warming…
Study: Another failure of climate models – they can’t handle barometric pressure change
One of the most basic meteorological factors isn’t handled by climate models – and they run off in a “hockey stick” style. From the UNIVERSITY OF LINCOLN Climate models fail to…
New ‘Karl-buster’ paper confirms ‘the pause’, and climate models failure
The “uncertainty monster” strikes again We’ve been highly critical for some time of the paper in summer 2015 by Karl et al. that claimed “the pause” or hiatus went away…
Claim: Climate model determines future at-risk electrical grid failure areas
From DOE/OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORY and the “calculate the uncertainty of chaos” department ORNL-led study analyzes electric grid vulnerabilities in extreme weather areas OAK RIDGE, Tenn., July 29, 2016 –…
Ooops! Another big failure of the climate models – rainfall did not increase
According to a new study in Nature, the Northern Hemisphere has experienced considerably larger variations in precipitation during the past twelve centuries than in the twentieth century. Researchers from Sweden,…
Another IPCC modeling failure – so THAT's where the atmospheric methane went
From Oregon State University – Scientists discover carbonate rocks are unrecognized methane sink CORVALLIS, Ore. – Since the first undersea methane seep was discovered 30 years ago, scientists have meticulously…
Epic Failure of the Canadian Climate Model
Guest Essay by: Ken Gregory The Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling and Analysis located at the University of Victoria in British Columbia submitted five runs of its climate model CanESM2…
Quote of the week – Nature on the failure of climate models
From the world of Claimatology™, comes this smackdown from Nature.
Policy Implications of Climate Models on the Verge of Failure
At the request of the authors, this was converted from a poster displayed at the AGU Science Policy Conference, Washington, June 24-26. – Anthony By Paul C. Knappenberger and Patrick…
Another example of clear failure of IPCC models to predict reality in the AR5 draft
One of the regular alarm stories that comes from the global warming machine is that atmospheric methane with soon run amok and cause a tipping point. We are regularly treated…
Another failure of climate models – carbon soot warming actually far less than models predict
From Boston College another failure of climate models to capture reality has been exposed by field empiricism. The map below from NASA’s Earth Observatory will likely have to be revised…
New Study: Climate Models Get Water Vapor Wildly Wrong – A ‘Major Gap in Our Understanding’
From the NoTricksZone By Kenneth Richard on 19. February 2024 “Here, we have demonstrated a major discrepancy between observation-based and climate model-based historical trends in near-surface atmospheric water vapor in arid and semi-ari…
Climate Impacts? Aussie Emergency Minister Slams Storm Warning Failures
Murray Watt, Australia’s Emergency Management Minister, has suggested forecasting models might need updating because of climate change.
The electric grid needs good failure mode analysis
Uncontrolled blackouts may be unpredictable, but they can still be planned for to some degree.
Shocking Failures of Climate and Covid Science Highlighted by Critical New Report
The authors are particularly dismissive of the role of computer models in the recent Covid pandemic and the promotion of climate change alarm.
Claim: Climate Change Threatens “Synchronised Harvest Failures” Worldwide
Climate models apparently predicted current observed yield increases, but global food communism could save us from the coming downturn.
Colorful fluid dynamics” and overconfidence in global climate models
This situation is related to the replication crisis in science generally, whereby much of the literature is affected by selection and positive results bias.
Corruption of Climate Science Supported by Flawed Models
Imagine the theory of gravity being determined by a partisan vote.
Model vs Model: Is the North Atlantic Current Collapsing?
12,900 years ago the North Atlantic Current failed, likely due to the emptying of an enormous glacial lake. This catastrophic lake failure is believed to have disrupted ocean currents, which…
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