Reassessing the RCPs

From Judith Curry’s Climate Etc Posted on January 28, 2019 by curryja | by Kevin Murphy A response to: “Is RCP8.5 an impossible scenario?”. This post demonstrates that RCP8.5 is so highly improbable that it should be dismissed from consideration, and thereby draws into question the validity of RCP8.5-based assertions such as those made in…

NOAA 2018-19 Winter Outlook: Another Mild Winter

Guest essay by Eric Worrall As late as last October NOAA’s climate models were predicting a milder than normal winter. Another mild winter? NOAA’s 2018-19 winter outlook Author: Mike Halpert October 22, 2018 The air is starting to feel crisp, the leaves are changing, and the aroma of pumpkin spice lattes are filling your favorite…

Hell has frozen over – no, really!

There’s a town called “Hell”, in Michigan. That’s the sign from the city limits. Today, there was this bit of meteorological info on Twitter: It's -7 degrees in Hell, Michigan, right now, with a wind chill of -28. You know what that means people… Hell has literally frozen over. — Derek Wallbank (@dwallbank) January 30,…