Tag Archives: National Center for Atmospheric Research

‘Climate adaptation, a wicked problem, requires navigating a landscape that is only partly known’

A WUWT reader from NCAR sends this but wishes to remain anonymous. I verified the IP address as coming from NCAR. Bold mine. ============================================================ Hi Mr. Watts, I come to your website nearly every day. Working here at NCAR, we … Continue reading

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Posted in Climate News | Tagged | 116 Comments

Using a climate model to map global atmospheric conductivity

From the University of Colorado at Boulder CU-Boulder researchers use climate model to better understand electricity in the air Electrical currents born from thunderstorms are able to flow through the atmosphere and around the globe, causing a detectable electrification of … Continue reading

Posted in Science | Tagged , | 51 Comments

Another uncertainty for climate models – different results on different computers using the same code

New peer reviewed paper finds the same global forecast model produces different results when run on different computers Did you ever wonder how spaghetti like this is produced and why there is broad disagreement in the output that increases with … Continue reading

Posted in Modeling, Uncertainty | Tagged , , , | 281 Comments

Quote of the week – Nature on the failure of climate models

From the world of Claimatology™, comes this smackdown from Nature.

Posted in Climate News, Modeling, Quote of the Week | Tagged , , , , | 153 Comments

Claim: Faint Young Sun Paradox solved

From the University of Colorado at Boulder a claim that computer modeling has solved the problem, with an atmosphere that is 20,000 parts per million of  CO2 and 1,000 ppm of methane. CU study shows how early Earth kept warm … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News, Earth | Tagged , , , , | 209 Comments

NCAR says targeting specific pollutants would slow SLR

From the  National Center for Atmospheric Research/University Corporation for Atmospheric Research I can see the EPA jumping all over this one. Black carbon is likely a contributor, as it changes the albedo of ice sheets and one that is much … Continue reading

Posted in Sea level | Tagged , , , , | 28 Comments

Waste heat – a bigger climate effect than once thought

Dr. Roy Spencer recently opined about this issue (which is different from UHI) in: Waste Heat as a Contributor to Observed Warming If we divide that by the surface area of the U.S. in meters, we get 0.33 watts per sq. … Continue reading

Posted in Energy, Waste heat | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 138 Comments

NASA on the sun: ‘…tiny variations can have a significant effect on terrestrial climate.”

Researchers have considered the possibility that the sun plays a role in global warming. From NASA GSFC:  Solar Variability and Terrestrial Climate In the galactic scheme of things, the Sun is a remarkably constant star.  While some stars exhibit dramatic … Continue reading

Posted in Solar, Spaceweather | Tagged , , , , , , , | 320 Comments

Flu forecasts using weather, not climate

Flu outbreaks predicted with weather forecast techniques BOULDER—Scientists at Columbia University and the National Center for Atmospheric Research have adapted techniques used in modern weather prediction to generate local forecasts of seasonal influenza outbreaks. By predicting the timing and severity … Continue reading

Posted in Economy-health, Forecasting | Tagged , , , , , , , | 48 Comments

Trenberth dials up the warming predictions

From NCAR: Future warming likely to be on high side of climate projections, analysis finds November 08, 2012 BOULDER—Climate model projections showing a greater rise in global temperature are likely to prove more accurate than those showing a lesser rise, … Continue reading

Posted in Modeling | Tagged , , | 196 Comments

Climate not a significant factor in East African conflicts

From the University of Colorado at Boulder, another overhyped climate meme has been put to rest by a new study that made some obvious findings about temperature and rainfall as it relates to human behavior, but more importantly in human … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | Tagged , , , | 22 Comments

Wyoming experiences that “giant sucking sound” as new coal fired climate supercomputer is turned on

Did your lights dim yesterday? It might have been Trenberth’s “travesty calculator”. Readers may recall when I covered the announcement of the building of this new supercomputer: NCAR’s dirty little secret Measuring 108,000 square feet in total with 15,000-20,000 square feet … Continue reading

Posted in Carbon footprint, Technology | Tagged , , , | 74 Comments

Will a new ‘Weather Commission’ be a benefit or a travesty?

This smells like Trenberth’s doings at the behest of Al Gore and his “Dirty Weather” Campaign. If so, then I’m against it, because all this will do is create another bureaucracy loaded with opinionated thinkers sucking up more tax dollars … Continue reading

Posted in Government idiocy, Weather | Tagged , , , , | 89 Comments

Looking into solar coronal prominence cavities

by Karen C. Fox NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD › View larger Scientists want to understand what causes giant explosions in the sun’s atmosphere, the corona, such as this one. The eruptions are called coronal mass ejections or … Continue reading

Posted in Astronomy, Solar | Tagged , , , | 26 Comments

Tisdales’ Blog Memo to Kevin Trenberth at NCAR

Guest post by Bob Tisdale Date:  September 20, 2012 Subject:  Trenberth and Fasullo (2012) paper “Climate extremes and climate change: The Russian heat wave and other climate extremes of 2010” From:  Bob Tisdale – Climate Observations To:  Kevin Trenberth – … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , | 49 Comments

Ship sprayed seawater cloud making V2.0

Willis covered this before on WUWT, with Every Silver Lining Has A Cloud. Its baaaack. Figure 1. Artist’s conception of cloud-making ships. Of course, the first storm would flip this over immediately, but heck, it’s only a fantasy, so who cares? … Continue reading

Posted in Geoengineering | Tagged , , , , | 135 Comments

‘What global warming really looks like’ – Michael Oppenheimer FAIL

Well, I warned everybody yesterday. That briefing was put together by Climate Nexus, an advocacy and communications group. An accompanying report on heat waves and climate change was released simultaneously at climatecommunication.org The usual suspects put that document together. See … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, Wildfires | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 130 Comments

‘We don’t believe the ice cores can be interpreted purely as a signal of temperature’

From the University of Wisconsin: Greenland ice may exaggerate magnitude of 13,000-year-old deep freeze by Chris Barncard Ice samples pulled from nearly a mile below the surface of Greenland glaciers have long served as a historical thermometer, adding temperature data … Continue reading

Posted in Greenland ice sheet, Paleoclimatology | Tagged , , , , , , , | 43 Comments

Dear Woods Hole and NCAR, maybe you missed this trend in Antarctic sea ice?

More modeling madness projecting the future, but the actual data for the past 30 years says otherwise, with a positive trend. Regular commenter Julienne Stroeve of NSIDC is one of the co-authors, so perhaps she’ll weigh in here. The article … Continue reading

Posted in Antarctic, Modeling | Tagged , , , , , , , | 74 Comments

H2O 2012 conference theme: “please send money”

From Stanford University , this press release with a “who the heck cares?” question as a title. We have far bigger problems in California to worry about. It is another one of these “might result” weasel word press releases in … Continue reading

Posted in NGOs | Tagged , , , , , , , | 65 Comments

Trenberth takes on UAH satellite data in a new paper

They create an adjustment for the way the Alabama scientists handled data from NOAA-9, a satellite that collected temperature data in the mid-1980s. From the University of Washington comes this press release: New research brings satellite measurements and global climate … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data | Tagged , , , , , , , | 142 Comments

A view of climate “on the ground” from a reporter who was there at the beginning

Elevated from a comment Theodore White says: March 8, 2012 at 5:04 pm Let’s clarify a few things on another of Anthony’s excellent posts, like this one ‘Hey Hansen! Where’s the Beef !?’ – It’s lengthy, but gives the view … Continue reading

Posted in Global warming, media | Tagged , , , , , , , | 191 Comments

Your tax dollars at work: an NCAR cartoon on steroid use in baseball and compared to climate change

From the video description: AtmosNews takes a lighthearted look at an unexpected analogy, explaining why some people call carbon dioxide (and the other greenhouse gases) the steroids of the climate system. Statistics and extreme behavior are involved, whether we’re talking … Continue reading

Posted in Ridiculae | Tagged , , , , , , , | 51 Comments

New paper speculates on volcanoes during the Little Ice Age

From NCAR/UCAR, they’re still trying to stamp out solar influence as a potential cause of the Little Ice Age. One of the things I wonder about is that during low sunspot activity, does the reduced solar-magnetic influence have any effect … Continue reading

Posted in Paleoclimatology, Vulcanism | Tagged , , , , , , , | 287 Comments

Polar bears and sulfates

From the University of Washington  some apparent confusion about what sulfates look like. Injecting sulfate particles into stratosphere won’t fully offset climate change IMAGE:A polar bear walks along an expanse of open water at the edge of Hudson Bay near … Continue reading

Posted in Aerosols, Arctic | Tagged , , , , , , , | 94 Comments

Gore, Hansen, Trenberth to make Antarctic PR expedition

From the you’ve got to be effin kidding me department comes news of the epic journey to Antarctica. What do they hope to prove? I don’t know, it seems like nothing but a publicity stunt, especially since the sea ice … Continue reading

Posted in Al Gore, Antarctic, GLOC, James Hansen | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 152 Comments

UCAR on Blocking Highs, heat waves, and modeling limits

Dr. Roger Pielke Sr. writes: Candid Admission By UCAR – “Blocking The Way – Predicting The Atmospheric Detours That Lead To Weather Troubles” There was an interesting article in the Fall issue of the UCAR Magazine titled by Bob Henson titled Blocking The … Continue reading

Posted in heat wave, Modeling | Tagged , , , , , , , | 50 Comments

Tisdale schools the website “Skeptical Science” on CO2 obsession

On the SkepticalScience Post “Pielke Sr. Misinforms High School Students” By Bob Tisdale OVERVIEW I rarely visit the website SkepticalScience, which is run by proponents of anthropogenic global warming, because most of their posts are the simple parroting of the findings … Continue reading

Posted in Carbon dioxide, IPCC | Tagged , , , , , , , | 91 Comments

Hockey stick falsification – so easy a caveman kid can do it

With apologies to the Geico caveman, paleoclimatology isn’t just for grant enabled scientists anymore. Priceless Climategate email 682: Tom Wigley tells Michael Mann that his son did a tree ring science fair project (using trees behind NCAR) that invalidated the … Continue reading

Posted in Climategate, Paleoclimatology | Tagged , , , , | 103 Comments

Senior NCAR scientist admits: “Quantifying climate sensitivity from real world data cannot even be done using present-day data…”

Whoo boy… just a few days ago it was argued in a new peer reviewed paper published in Science that climate sensitivity might be lower than the IPCC stated in AR4. Now we have this damning admission from Dr. Tom … Continue reading

Posted in Climate sensitivity, Climategate | Tagged , , , , , , , | 75 Comments

Kenneth Trenberth on Nobel and religion at Christmas

0462.txt (h/t to Rog Tallbloke) date: Fri, 14 Dec 2007 08:58:09 -0700 from: Kevin Trenberth subject: The first Nobel and other Christmas greetings to: IPCC-group Seasons greetings to you all, my fellow Nobel Laureates (even if we did not get … Continue reading

Posted in Climategate | Tagged , , , , , , , | 44 Comments

Climategate 2.0 emails – They’re real and they’re spectacular!

A link to where to download the new FOIA2011.zip file is posted below the fold – This will be a top post for a few days -NEW STORIES APPEAR BELOW THIS ONE -I’ve also reversed the order of the updates … Continue reading

Posted in Climategate | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1,264 Comments

Ben Santer’s 17 year itch

Ben Santer issues a press release on Eurekalert today to “smack down” the non warming we’ve experienced over the last 10-12 years, as I pointed out here for the USA. But the issue goes back further than that. Phil Jones … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data | Tagged , , , , , , | 124 Comments

ENSO, a bigger climate driver than once thought

From the University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine & Atmospheric Science University of Miami study rethinks the ocean’s role in Pacific climate The new study can aid scientists in better understanding regional and global effects of climate change in … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , | 58 Comments

An Initial Look At The Hindcasts Of The NCAR CCSM4 Coupled Climate Model

Guest post by Bob Tisdale OVERVIEW This post compares the instrument observations of three global temperature anomaly datasets (NINO3, Global, and North Atlantic “Plus”) to the hindcasts of the NCAR couple climate model CCSM4, which was used in a couple … Continue reading

Posted in Modeling | Tagged , , , , , , , | 104 Comments