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Tag Archives: El Niño
The warming ‘plateau’ may extend back even further
Despite recent claims by Justin Gillis in this NYT piece that the plateau in surface temperatures is misunderstood by scientists… …given how much is riding on the scientific forecast, the practitioners of climate science would like to understand exactly what … Continue reading
Posted in Climate News, Temperature
Tagged Ben Santer, climate, El Chichon, El Niño, Global warming, James Hansen, Krakatoa, Mount Pinatubo, New York Times
122 Comments
Global Warming theory has failed all tests, so alarmists return to the ‘97% consensus’ hoax
Guest essay by Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, Weatherbell Analytics National Academies of Science defines a scientific theory as “a well-substantiated explanation of the natural world that can incorporate facts, laws, inferences, and tested hypotheses.” Dr Richard Feynman, Cornell Physicist in a … Continue reading
New El Niño causal pattern discovered
From the University of Hawaii ‑ SOEST: Climate researchers discover new rhythm for El Niño El Niño wreaks havoc across the globe, shifting weather patterns that spawn droughts in some regions and floods in others. The impacts of this tropical … Continue reading
Posted in ENSO
Tagged El Niño, Nature Geoscience, Pacific, Pacific Ocean, University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa, University of Hawaii
169 Comments
Updates to and ENSO Observations from the WUWT Ocean Reference Page
Image Credit: Monterey Marine Meteorology Division – HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” In making several updates to the WUWT Ocean Reference Page I observed something in the Sea Surface Temperature animation above, that I’ve … Continue reading
Posted in ENSO, Oceans, Reference Pages, Salinity, Sea level, Sea Surface Temperature
Tagged El Niño, ENSO, La Nina, Ocean, reference page, Southern Oscillation
59 Comments
A Different Perspective of the Equatorial Pacific and ENSO Events
by Bob Tisdale It’s difficult to express how enormous El Niño and La Niña events are. Often, when discussing them, I’ll display a map of the tropical Pacific (see example here) and write something to the effect of, the equatorial … Continue reading
NOAA’s Ever-Changing Definition of La Niña Years
UPDATE: I’ve added two illustrations to the end of the post. At the request of blogger “Kurt in Switzerland”, I plotted a comparison of the new and old versions of the Oceanic NINO Index data and posted it in a … Continue reading
NOAA corrects ‘State of the Climate’ – offers no credit
NOAA Corrects Their 2012 State of the Climate Report – 2012 Was NOT the Warmest La Niña Year on Record Guest post by Bob Tisdale With as little fanfare as possible, NOAA has corrected their erroneous claim in their 2012 State … Continue reading
New ebook: The Manmade Global Warming Challenge
Guest post by Bob Tisdale INTRODUCTION Many bloggers are very active in the climate change debate around the globe. In advance of an expected intensification of that debate this year, I’ve written a new essay about the natural warming of … Continue reading
The Tao of El Nino
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I was wandering through the graphics section of the TAO buoy data this evening. I noted that they have an outstanding animation of the most recent sixty months of tropical sea temperatures and surface heights. … Continue reading
Coralline Algae and the Case for Natural Climate Change
Guest post by Jim Steele Director Sierra Nevada Field Campus, emeritus, San Francisco State University There was a very revealing 2012 paper demonstrating the power and interconnections of natural ocean oscillations, “Marine proxy evidence linking decadal North Pacific and Atlantic … Continue reading
Posted in PDO
Tagged Alaska, Aleutian Low, Bering Sea, California Current, El Niño, pacific decadal oscillation, Pacific Ocean, PDO
64 Comments
NOAA SOTC Claim that 2012 Was Warmest La Nina Year is Wrong
NOAA’s Definition and Data Contradict Their Claim That 2012 Was The Warmest La Niña Year Guest post by Bob Tisdale In the 2012 State of the Climate Report, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) stated (my boldface): 2012 ranked as … Continue reading
ENSO 2013 – Boy or Girl?
We’re Expecting: Will it be a Boy, a Girl, or ENSO-Neutral in 2013? by Bob Tisdale There was lots of interest in the short-lived El Niño conditions in 2012. Recently, they very quickly transformed into the present weak La Niña conditions. … Continue reading
Posted in ENSO
Tagged El Niño, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, La Nina, Pacific Ocean, Sea Surface Temperature
77 Comments
Why El Niño and not the AMO?
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach On another thread, a poster got me thinking about the common practice of using the El Nino 3.4 Index to remove some of the variability from the historical global average surface temperature record. The theory, … Continue reading
Warming Rate in the US Slowed during the Recent Warming Period
The Contiguous U.S. Surface Air Temperature Data Through 2012 – Is the Recent Warming Trend Unusual? Guest post by Bob Tisdale There’s going to be a press conference today with James Hansen of GISS and Tom Karl of NOAA. According to … Continue reading
Posted in Climate data
Tagged El Niño, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Global warming, Google, James Hansen, La Nina, NASA GISS, NOAA, Sea Surface Temperature, Tom Karl, United States
49 Comments
Drought, Hurricanes and Heat Waves – 2012 in Perspective
Guest post by Bob Tisdale Drought, Hurricanes and Heat Waves – Climate Change and Global Warming in the United States – 2012 in Perspective In this video, we’ll examine the exceptional and historic nature of the recent drought in the … Continue reading
NOAA Mixing Their Niños
Guest post by Paul Homewood In their attempts to disguise the fact that 2012 will likely turn out to be one of the colder years this century, NOAA have made the ludicrous, and frankly dishonest, claim that this year will … Continue reading
El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 3: ENSO Has No Trend and Cannot Contribute to Long-Term Warming
Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the 3rd part of a series of posts that present myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves during El Niño and La Niña events. In the posts, I’m simply … Continue reading
El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 2: A New Myth – ENSO Balances Out to Zero over the Long Term
Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the second part in a series of posts about El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). They address many of the myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves during El Niño and … Continue reading
Posted in ENSO
Tagged El Niño, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Global warming, La Nina, Sea Surface Temperature
121 Comments
Once again, reality trumps models – Pacific SST’s are flat
Model-Data Comparison: Pacific Ocean Satellite-Era Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Guest post by Bob Tisdale I’ll be adding the Pacific Ocean (60S-65N, 120E-80W) sea surface temperature anomalies to my monthly updates. See Figure 1 for the area covered by those coordinates. Why … Continue reading
El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 1: El Niño and La Niña Events are Cyclical
Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the first of a series of posts that address many of the myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves during El Niño and La Niña events. Most of the … Continue reading
Posted in ENSO
Tagged El Niño, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, ENSO, La Nina, Sea Surface Temperature
142 Comments

























