Yet our result shows that official climatology’s conclusions, based as they are on the outputs of general-circulation models, are mere guesswork. They do not in any degree warrant or justify…
Tag: Uncertainty
Uncertainty Estimates for Routine Temperature Data Sets Part Two.
In short, what is the proper magnitude of the uncertainty associated with such routine daily temperature measurements?
Uncertainty Estimates for Routine Temperature Data Sets
Modern climate research commonly fails adequate recognition of three guiding principles about uncertainty.
What do you mean by “mean”: an essay on black boxes, emulators, and uncertainty
Guest post by Richard Booth, Ph.D References: [1] https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/09/07/propagation-of-error-and-the-reliability-of-global-air-temperature-projections-mark-ii/ [2] https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/10/15/why-roy-spencers-criticism-is-wrong Introduction I suspect that we can all remember childish arguments of the form “person A: what do you…
Why Roy Spencer’s Criticism is Wrong
12 October 2019 Pat Frank A bit over a month ago, I posted an essay on WUWT here about my paper assessing the reliability of GCM global air temperature projections…
Climate Change: What’s the Worst Case?
Reposted from Dr. Judith Curry’s Climate Etc. Posted on August 22, 2019 by curryja | by Judith Curry My new manuscript is now available. A link to my new paper…
The Uncertainty Has Settled, Critical Documentary About Climate, Agriculture and Energy Now Online
From the GWPF. “This documentary has all the ingredients to become a milestone in the debate on climate change” – is what Science journalist Jan Jakobs wrote after seeing the…
Nine Lessons and Carols in Communicating Climate Uncertainty
Tamsin Edwards has a new essay on uncertainty, here is an excerpt: About a month ago I was invited to represent the Cabot Institute at the All Parliamentary Party Climate…
Monthly Averages, Anomalies, and Uncertainties
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I have long suspected a theoretical error in the way that some climate scientists estimate the uncertainty in anomaly data. I think that I’ve found…
Monday Mirthiness: Severely unsettled science?
Dr. Jerome Ravetz writes in with this humorous research post job advertisement, writing: Here’s an extract from an advertisement for a research post at the London School of Economics:
Uncertain Climate Risks (Nature Climate Change)
Guest Post by Ira Glickstein As I continue to plow through Vol 1 Issue 1 of the new Journal Nature Climate Change, I came to the following amazing statement: Communicating…
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