What do you mean by “mean”: an essay on black boxes, emulators, and uncertainty

Guest post by Richard Booth, Ph.D References: [1] https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/09/07/propagation-of-error-and-the-reliability-of-global-air-temperature-projections-mark-ii/ [2] https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/10/15/why-roy-spencers-criticism-is-wrong   Introduction I suspect that we can all remember childish arguments of the form “person A: what do you…

Why Roy Spencer’s Criticism is Wrong

12 October 2019 Pat Frank A bit over a month ago, I posted an essay on WUWT here about my paper assessing the reliability of GCM global air temperature projections…

Climate Change: What’s the Worst Case?

Reposted from Dr. Judith Curry’s Climate Etc. Posted on August 22, 2019 by curryja | by Judith Curry My new manuscript is now available. A link to my new paper…

The Uncertainty Has Settled, Critical Documentary About Climate, Agriculture and Energy Now Online

From the GWPF. “This documentary has all the ingredients to become a milestone in the debate on climate change” – is what Science journalist Jan Jakobs wrote after seeing the…

Nine Lessons and Carols in Communicating Climate Uncertainty

Tamsin Edwards has a new essay on uncertainty, here is an excerpt: About a month ago I was invited to represent the Cabot Institute at the All Parliamentary Party Climate…

Monthly Averages, Anomalies, and Uncertainties

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I have long suspected a theoretical error in the way that some climate scientists estimate the uncertainty in anomaly data. I think that I’ve found…

Monday Mirthiness: Severely unsettled science?

Dr. Jerome Ravetz writes in with this humorous research post job advertisement, writing: Here’s an extract from an advertisement for a research post at the London School of Economics:

Uncertain Climate Risks (Nature Climate Change)

Guest Post by Ira Glickstein As I continue to plow through Vol 1 Issue 1 of the new Journal Nature Climate Change, I came to the following amazing statement: Communicating…