Seeing what one expects

By Kevin Kilty This morning I awoke to a mid-April morning temperature of -11F. The 1981 to 2010 climate normals indicate our average daily minimum temperature per this date as about 23F, and the standard deviation as 8F. Thus, our morning low temperature is a 4-sigma event. Surely something to evoke comment. Yet, it did…

Warming Improves Our Health – part 1

What’s Natural Guest post by Jim Steele, It’s deeply disturbing to hear people uncritically regurgitate media misinformation suggesting global warming threatens our health far worse than the COVID pandemic. Scientific evidence unequivocally shows colder weather is the major killer. As Figure 1 illustrates, the percentage of all deaths attributed to weather and temperature increases during…

Climate change could threaten sea snails in mid-Atlantic waters

Common whelk live in one of the fastest warming marine areas, Rutgers-led study says Rutgers University  An adult whelk collected aboard a commercial scallop vessel. Credit: Sarah Borsetti/Rutgers University-New Brunswick Climate change could threaten the survival and development of common whelk – a type of sea snail – in the mid-Atlantic region, according to a…

La Nina may form in the equatorial Pacific Ocean later this year and, if so, it could have wide-ranging ramifications

By Paul Dorian NOAA’s CFS v2 computer forecast model is predicting relatively strong La Nina conditions by later this summer (August/September/October); SST anomalies plot courtesy NOAA *La Nina may form in the equatorial Pacific Ocean later this year and, if so, it could have wide-ranging ramifications* Overview It appears somewhat likely that the current weak…

Major storm to impact the central and eastern US

Guest post by Paul Dorian A colorful surface forecast map by the 12Z GFS for Saturday evening depicting a multi-hazard event with significant snow (blue) and ice (purple, pink) on the cold side of a powerful storm system and heavy rain (green, yellow) on the warm side where there will be a severe weather threat…

Tiny shells reveal waters off California are acidifying twice as fast as the global ocean

NOAA Headquarters In first-of-its-kind research, NOAA scientists and academic partners used 100 years of microscopic shells to show that the coastal waters off California are acidifying twice as fast as the global ocean average — with the seafood supply in the crosshairs. California coastal waters contain some of our nation’s more economically valuable fisheries, including…