NOAA’s State of the Climate Report for June 2014 included the bullet point under global highlights (my boldface): For the ocean, the June global sea surface temperature was 0.64°C (1.15°F)…
Category: ENSO
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 15 – August 2014 Update – An El Niño Mulligan?
Yes, I’m using the term Mulligan as in a replayed golf shot. Ocean-atmosphere processes have consumed most of the warm water in the eastern equatorial Pacific from the downwelling (warm)…
Finding: 'El Niños 10,000 years ago were as strong and frequent as the ones we experience today'
Ancient shellfish remains rewrite 10,000-year history of El Niño cycles Hannah Hickey University of Washington The planet’s largest and most powerful driver of climate changes from one year to the…
El Niño is just not paying attention to climate models – looks like a bust
In the past week both the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) scaled back forecasts for a big El Niño warming event in 2014.…
More on the Lewandowsky and Oreskes Co-Authored Paper Risbey et al. (2014)
In this post, we’ll discuss more inconsistencies in the recently published paper Risbey et al. (2014). These are major flaws in the paper…above and beyond the faults and curiosities discussed…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 14 – Warm Water Recirculated?
There may still be a chance for an El Niño during the 2014/15 ENSO season. A new “pocket” of warm subsurface water has formed in the western equatorial Pacific. See…
Lewandowsky and Oreskes Are Co-Authors of a Paper about ENSO, Climate Models and Sea Surface Temperature Trends (Go Figure!)
UPDATE 2: Animation 1 from this post is happily displaying the differences between the “Best” models and observations in the first comment at a well-known alarmist blog. Please see update…
Quote of the Week – NOAA: 'However, we think it’s likely that the atmosphere will get on board soon'
As a follow up to Bob Tisdale’s excellent post today, I just had to post this one from NOAA where they are so confident that the El Niño will happen,…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 13 – More Mixed Signals
A few interesting things have happened since the July Update last week. On the ocean side, weekly sea surface temperatures in the NINO3.4 region have dropped (just) below the threshold…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 12 – July 2014 Update – The Feedbacks Need to Kick in Soon
This post provides an update on the progress of the early evolution of the 2014/15 El Niño with data through the beginning of July 2014. The post is similar in…
The 2014 El Niño is looking more and more like a bust
Peru says El Niño threat over, waters cooling and fish returning LIMA (Reuters) – The worst of the potentially disastrous weather pattern El Nino is now behind Peru and cooling…
From IRI – Eight Misconceptions About El Niño (and La Niña)
Yesterday, the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) published a post about a number of mistaken beliefs about El Niño and La Niña events. Misconceptions discussed:
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 11 – Is the El Niño Dying?
There’s still a possibility the 2014/15 El Niño could die even though it had so much promise just a few months ago. In this post, we’ll compare a few indicators…
The predicted 2014 El Niño is expected to benefit U.S. agriculture
Maybe this will temper the usual expected claims that this El Niño is all about global warming, because we can’t have global warming be beneficial, right? MANHATTAN — A Kansas…
350.org can't connect consecutive years, much less 'connect the dots'
You just have to laugh. In their zeal to make the current drought situation all about their irrational CO2 fears, Bill McKibben’s 350.org tweeted this ridiculous comparison of before and…
NOAA reaches out to the blogosphere
UPDATE: NOAA has corrected the typos in the illustrations at the new reanalysis intercomparison website. # # # # # NOAA opened two new blogs recently…and a new reanalysis intercomparison…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 10 – June 2014 Update – Still Waiting for the Feedbacks
This post provides an update on the progress of the early evolution of the 2014/15 El Niño with data through the end of May 2014. The post is similar in…
SkepticalScience Needs to Update their Escalator
The SkepticalScience animation The Escalator has been around for a couple of years, and it has appeared in dozens of their posts and in blog posts by other carbon dioxide-obsessed…
New WUWT ENSO Forecast Page, Underwater Upgrades to the WUWT ENSO Page and a Disturbance in the Equatorial Atlantic
Guest Post by Just The Facts Introducing the new WUWT ENSO Forecast Page with an array of low skill forecasts… There are also several upgrades to the WUWT ENSO page,…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 9 – Kevin Trenberth is Looking Forward to Another “Big Jump”
In a recent interview, Kevin Trenberth, Distinguished Senior Scientist, from NCAR said the upcoming 2014/15 El Niño might shift global surface temperatures upwards by 0.2 to 0.3 deg C to…
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