Guest Post by Bob Tisdale The new 2015 paper by Cai et al Increased frequency of extreme La Niña events under greenhouse warming has been getting a lot of alarmist attention…
Category: ENSO
An Unexpected Admission from Dana Nuccitelli at SkepticalScience
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale In Dana Nuccitelli’s recent post at SkepticalScience Matt Ridley wants to gamble the Earth’s future because he won’t learn from the past, he has finally…
Two new papers suggest solar activity is a 'climate pacemaker'
Here are some highlights of these two new papers published in Physics Letters A by David H. Douglass & Robert S.Knox: Central Pacific region temperature dataset SST3.4…
Final – The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 22 – January 2015 Update – You Make the Forecasts for the 2015/16 Season
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale WRAP-UP This is the final post in The 2014/15 El Niño series. It began back in April 2014 when many people were expecting a strong…
Early twentieth-century warming linked to tropical Pacific wind strength
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale From the ENSO-can-contribute-to-global-warming department, we have a new paper from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and the University of Arizona (UA). It’s Thompson…
Mixed Signals from the NOAA ENSO Blog about Climate Models
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale There’s a new post at the NOAA ENSO blog titled Climate Change and ENSO: Take 2. It’s a guest post by Matt Collins of the…
Back to the future in El Niño forecasting
From the Georgia Institute of Technology: Looking at El Niño’s past to predict its future The El Niño Southern Oscillation is Earth’s main source of year-to-year climate variability, but its…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 21 – December Update – Weekly NINO3.4 SSTa at Threshold of Moderate El Niño
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update on the progress of the evolution of the 2014/15 El Niño conditions. The post is similar in layout to the…
Quicky Mid-November 2014 ENSO Update
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale AUSTRALIA’S BOM UPGRADES ENSO TRACKER STATUS TO EL NIÑO ALERT On November 18, Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) upgraded the conditions in the tropical Pacific…
El Niño fades without westerly wind bursts
From AGU: The warm and wet winter of 1997 brought California floods, Florida tornadoes, and an ice storm in the American northeast, prompting climatologists to dub it the El Niño…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 20 – November Update – The Little El Niño That Shoulda’-Woulda’-Coulda’
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale And maybe it will. Weekly sea surface temperature anomalies last week for the NINO3.4 region were at their highest level for the year. Then again,…
Enthusiasm about a Double-Dip El Niño (?) And Global Warming
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale In this post we can learn from someone’s mistakes. The author of the post at Slate clearly misunderstands many aspects of El Niño and their…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 19 – Is an El Niño Already Taking Place?
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale The recent post at WattsUpWithThat Yes Virginia (and everyone else) there is an El Niño coming was written by Joe Bastardi of WeatherBell Analytics. As…
New paper links warming since 1950 to ENSO and cloud cover variations
John McLean writes of a new paper about the pattern in global average temperature anomalies since 1950 and how they are linked to changes in cloud cover and ENSO: Key…
Yes Virginia (and everyone else) there is an El Niño coming
Guest essay by Joe Bastardi I am a bit surprised at some of the waffling in the meteorological community on the ENSO event ( then again, maybe it is I…
Quicky Mid-October 2014 El Niño Update
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This is a quick update on the status of the sea surface temperatures of the equatorial Pacific, along with a brief discussion of the recent…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 18 – October 2014 Update – One Last Chance?
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This year started off with a subsurface weather event below the surface of the tropical Pacific that made researchers and global warming alarmists hope for…
The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 16 – Is There Still Hope for a Moderate El Niño?
Guest post by Bob Tisdale I’ll provide the September update in a week or so, but I found the following interesting. According to the animation of subsurface temperature anomalies along…
The 2014 15 El Niño – Part 16 – September 2014 Update – Still Seeing Mixed Signals
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale (Oops. Corrected a typo in the title. This is Part 16 of this series.) This post provides an update on the progress of the evolution…
Bastardi: warm water brings potential for East Pacific hurricanes
Joe Bastardi writes: Joe D’Aleo and I have noted that one of the analogs showing up is 1976 with the type of ENSO coming on. In fact, with Tom Downs…
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