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New Study Predicts a Slight Cooling of North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures over the Next Decade

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale Pierre Gosselin at NoTrickZone provided an introduction to a recently published paper in his post IPCC Scientist Mojib Latif Sees North Atlantic Cooling Over Next Decade…Confirms Oceans Play Crucial Role. The paper is Klöwer et al. (2014) Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and the prediction of North Atlantic sea surface temperature.…

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Arctic Ice and the AMO

By Paul Homewood   David Rose’s piece in the Mail on Sunday has already been picked by WUWT and Bishop Hill, amongst others. But I want to concentrate on one aspect, that of cycles. The Mail report: However, Dr Hawkins added that the decline seen in recent years was not caused only by global warming.…

pause-slowed-down

Will the Next El Niño Bring an End to the Slowdown in Global Surface Warming?

Rebuttal to Chen and Tung (2014) highlighted in “Cause for ‘The Pause’ #38 – Cause of global warming hiatus found deep in the Atlantic Ocean“ Numerous scientific papers have reported the hiatus in global surface warming will end with the next El Niño event. But according to a new paper by Chen and Tung published…

And this excuse makes 30. Dueling press releases on ‘the pause’, blaming Pacific Trade Winds on ‘Atlantic warming’

Previously, we had 29 excuses for “the pause” now we have 30. When a paper is published by multiple authors, the universities of those authors often produce separate press releases to highlight the paper. Today, two separate press releases about the same paper showed up right next to each other in Eurekalert, as seen in…

New paper: The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation as a dominant factor of oceanic influence on climate

Just two explanatory variables (GHG and AMO) still account for 93% of the temperature variance. Dr. Leif Svalgaard sends word of this article in Geophysical Research letters by Petr Chylek, James D. Klett, Glen Lesins, Manvendra K. Dubey and Nicolas Hengartner Article first published online: 5 MAR 2014 DOI: 10.1002/2014GL059274 Abstract A multiple linear regression analysis…

AMO, NAO, and Correlation

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach There’s a new paper over at IOP called “Forcing of the wintertime atmospheric circulation by the multidecadal fluctuations of the North Atlantic ocean”, by Y Peings and G Magnusdottir, hereinafter Peings2014. I was particularly interested in a couple of things they discuss in their abstract, which says (emphasis mine): Abstract The…