New Climate Model Introduced, now with knobs!

Due to the cutbacks in funding for climate science, a new climate model has been introduced to help politicians justify unnecessary laws that regulate carbon dioxide emissions…

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Posted in Humor, Modeling, Satire | 28 Comments

Greens go by air: Internal food fight over excutive response to airplane travel at Greenpeace – firings demanded

greenpeace-runway-protest

People send me stuff.

An entertaining row has emerged over the behavior of the director of Greenpeace International Program, Pascal Husting, and the Greenpeace  International Executive Director, Kumi Naidoo.  It seems they are both are in hot water over airplanes and the troops are sending angry letters, like the one I have below. Continue reading

Posted in Climate FAIL, NGOs | 56 Comments

New paper finds transient climate sensitivity to doubling of CO2 is about 1°C

A new paper published in Ecological Modelling finds climate sensitivity to doubled CO2 concentrations is significantly lower than estimates from the IPCC and climate models which “utilize uncertain historical data and make various assumptions about forcings.” The author instead uses a ‘minimal model’ with the fewest possible assumptions and least data uncertainty to derive a transient climate sensitivity of only 1.093C:

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Posted in Climate News, Climate sensitivity | 110 Comments

OCO: I can see your house emitting CO2 from here

From NASA JPL and the department of future CO2 emissions ticketing:

OCO-2 Data to Lead Scientists Forward into the Past

NASA’s Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2, which launched on July 2, will soon be providing about 100,000 high-quality measurements each day of carbon dioxide concentrations from around the globe. Atmospheric scientists are excited about that. But to understand the processes that control the amount of the greenhouse gas in the atmosphere, they need to know more than just where carbon dioxide is now. They need to know where it has been. It takes more than great data to figure that out.  Continue reading

Posted in Carbon dioxide, Space | 50 Comments

Of mountains, molehills, and noisy bumps in the sea-ice record

Note: This is a follow up post to this one: Claim: Antartica record high sea ice partially an artifact of an algorithm I’d actually planned to write a rebuttal like this, but a wonky T-1 data line took all my time today, so the honor goes to Pat and Chip – Anthony

Molehill of Antarctic Ice Becomes a Mountain

By Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. “Chip” Knappenberger

In science,…novelty emerges only with difficulty, manifested by resistance, against a background provided by expectation. Initially, only the anticipated and usual are experienced even under circumstances where the anomaly is later to be observed. –Thomas Kuhn, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (1962)

One of global warming’s “novelties” is that satellite measurements show the extent of ice surrounding Antarctica is growing significantly, something not anticipated by our vaunted climate models. Continue reading

Posted in Antarctic, Sea ice | 68 Comments

New climate alarm mascot – white ringtail possums

white_ringtail_possumEmbarrassed by the stubborn refusal of polar bears to die out, or even to appear convincingly rare, climate scientists are touting a new poster child species for our collective climate guilt – the white lemuroid ringtail possum.

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Posted in Alarmism, Climate News | 115 Comments

Claim: Antartica record high sea ice partially an artifact of an algorithm

From the European Geosciences Union

Tabular iceberg surrounded by sea ice in the Antarctic

Tabular iceberg surrounded by sea ice in the Antarctic (Credit: Eva Nowatzki, distributed via imaggeo.egu.eu)

New research suggests that Antarctic sea ice may not be expanding as fast as previously thought. A team of scientists say much of the increase measured for Southern Hemisphere sea ice could be due to a processing error in the satellite data. The findings are published today in The Cryosphere, a journal of the European Geosciences Union (EGU). Continue reading

Posted in Antarctic, Sea ice | 210 Comments

Mann’s Hockey Stick Goes Zombie

Nuclear war simulation forgets the Medieval Climate Optimum

Story submitted by P. Wayne Townsend

Yesterday’s Daily Mail carried an article about a simulation of the climate consequences of nuclear war.  The paper Multidecadal global cooling and unprecedented ozone loss following a regional nuclear conflict is not paywalled gives the usual horror stories (nuclear winter, crop failures, etc.).

What caught my eye was this idea intellectual relic found in both the Daily Mail article and here quoted from the abstract of itself.  Continue reading

Posted in Climate News, Michael E. Mann | 136 Comments

‘Goldilocks zone’ exoplanets would not be habitable without an ocean

UEA: Oceans moderate the climate

Story submitted by Eric Worrall

h/t The Register – University of East Anglia researchers have challenged the view that any planet in the Goldilocks zone (the right distance from a star so water is likely to be liquid) is likely to be habitable.

New research shows that without an ocean, and the right rate of rotation, a planet is likely to experience extremes of temperature which make it unlikely to harbour life.

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Posted in Science, Space | 90 Comments

Claim: natural variation ‘masked’ global warming, creating ‘the pause’

Statistical analysis shows pattern consistent with pre-industrial temperature swings, study concludes

From McGill University’s Shaun Lovejoy

Statistical analysis of average global temperatures between 1998 and 2013 shows that the slowdown in global warming during this period is consistent with natural variations in temperature, according to research by McGill University physics professor Shaun Lovejoy.

In a paper published this month in Geophysical Research Letters, Lovejoy concludes that a natural cooling fluctuation during this period largely masked the warming effects of a continued increase in man-made emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases.

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Posted in Hiatus in Global Warming | 201 Comments

Claim: we should all be vegetarians to stop global warming

What do vegetarian zombies eat?

What do vegetarian zombies eat? Source: geekicorn.com

From the meatheads at the Carnegie Institution

Climate: Meat turns up the heat

Stanford, CA—Eating meat contributes to climate change, due to greenhouse gasses emitted by livestock. New research finds that livestock emissions are on the rise and that beef cattle are responsible for far more greenhouse gas emissions than other types of animals. It is published by Climactic Change. Continue reading

Posted in Agriculture, Alarmism | 193 Comments

Deep Oceans Are Cooling Amidst A Sea of Modeling Uncertainty: New Research on Ocean Heat Content

Guest essay by Jim Steele, Director emeritus Sierra Nevada Field Campus, San Francisco State University and author of Landscapes & Cycles: An Environmentalist’s Journey to Climate Skepticism

Two of the world’s premiere ocean scientists from Harvard and MIT have addressed the data limitations that currently prevent the oceanographic community from resolving the differences among various estimates of changing ocean heat content (in print but available here).3 They point out where future data is most needed so these ambiguities do not persist into the next several decades of change. As a by-product of that analysis they 1) determined the deepest oceans are cooling, 2) estimated a much slower rate of ocean warming, 3) highlighted where the greatest uncertainties existed due to the ever changing locations of heating and cooling, and 4) specified concerns with previous methods used to construct changes in ocean heat content, such as Balmaseda and Trenberth’s re-analysis (see below).13 They concluded, “Direct determination of changes in oceanic heat content over the last 20 years are not in conflict with estimates of the radiative forcing, but the uncertainties remain too large to rationalize e.g., the apparent “pause” in warming.”

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Posted in Hiatus in Global Warming, Ocean Heat Content, Oceans | 100 Comments

Sea Ice News Volume 5 Number 4 – Are polar satellite sea ice sensors going wonky?

Sunshine hours writes:

I have been a bit worried about the deep deep dive in Antarctica Sea Ice Extent.

It appears to be a processing or sensor error. As of today the NSIDC data confirms it. (see image below)

In a deja vu all over again moment, I find that it isn’t just the Antarctic with wonky readings. Continue reading

Posted in Sea Ice News | 76 Comments

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

SEPP_logoThe Week That Was: 2014-07-19 (July 19, 2014) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project

Quote of the Week: The man who reads nothing at all is better educated than the man who reads nothing but newspapers.[or relies on TV news] Thomas Jefferson [H/t Tim Ball] Number of the Week: +0.69 ºC or +1.24 ºF

THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, Executive Vice President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

ICCC-9: The Ninth International Conference on Climate Change (ICCC-9) sponsored by the Heartland Institute continues to garner attention. Roy Spencer, co-developer of the method of measuring atmospheric temperatures via satellites, the most comprehensive temperature record in existence, wrote that it was the most energetic of the Heartland conferences he has attended over the years. Continue reading

Posted in Climate News Roundup | 24 Comments

Lewandowsky and Oreskes Are Co-Authors of a Paper about ENSO, Climate Models and Sea Surface Temperature Trends (Go Figure!)

UPDATE 2: Animation 1 from this post is happily displaying the differences between the “Best” models and observations in the first comment at a well-known alarmist blog. Please see update 2 at the end of this post.
# # # #
UPDATE: Please see the update at the end of the post.
# # #
Figure 0The new paper Risbey et al. (2014) will likely be very controversial based solely on the two co-authors identified in the title above (and shown in the photos to the right). As a result, I suspect it will garner a lot of attention…a lot of attention. This post is not about those two controversial authors, though their contributions to the paper are discussed. This post is about the numerous curiosities in the paper. For those new to discussions of global warming, I’ve tried to make this post as non-technical as possible, but these are comments on a scientific paper.

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Posted in ENSO, Hiatus in Global Warming, Stephan Lewandowsky | 377 Comments

A courtesy note ahead of publication for Risbey et al. 2014

People send me stuff. In this case I have received an embargoed paper and press release from Nature from another member of the news media who wanted me to look at it.

The new paper is scheduled to be published in Nature and is embargoed until 10AM PDT Sunday morning, July 20th. That said, Bob Tisdale and I have been examining the paper, which oddly includes co-authors Dr. Stephan Lewandowsky and Dr. Naomi Oreskes and is on the topic of ENSO and “the pause” in global warming. I say oddly because neither Lewandowsky or Oreskes concentrates on physical science, but direct their work towards psychology and science history respectively.

Tisdale found a potentially fatal glaring oversight, which I verified, and as a professional courtesy I have notified two people who are listed as authors on the paper. It has been 24 hours, and I have no response from either. Since it is possible that they have not received these emails, I thought it would be useful to post my emails to them here. Continue reading

Posted in Peer review, Stephan Lewandowsky | 315 Comments

Another carbon tax domino falls – South Korea goes cold on ETS

South Korea announces delay the day after Australia’s carbon tax repeal

Story submitted by Eric Worrall

In a sign that rejection of climate alarm is gathering momentum, South Korea has thrown doubt on its carbon plans. Significantly, the announcement was made the day after Australia abolished the carbon tax. According to the report; Continue reading

Posted in carbon tax, Climate News | 217 Comments

A conversation with Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. on the Kaya Identity

As many readers know, there was quite a hullaballo over the Kaya Identity last week, two posts by Willis Eschenbach here and here created sides seemingly equally split on whether the equation is useful or not.

One of the most strident critics was Dr. Roger Pielke Jr., and in the spirit of keeping an open mind on the issue, I offered him space on WUWT. Here is my email and his response, reprinted with his explicit permission. Continue reading

Posted in Carbon dioxide, Economy-health | Tagged | 365 Comments

Hard times for Aussie Alarmists – Flannery begs in new video

Story submitted by Eric Worrall

Tim Flannery, one time head of the government Climate Commission in Australia, until it was disbanded by the current government, has released a video begging for donations to “keep science in the news”. A year after raising a million dollars, he now needs more money. Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, Climate cash | 110 Comments

A flip-flop on Arctic permafrost thaws – actually a net cooling rather than a warming

Since we discussed permafrost pingos today, I thought this story from the University of Alaska Fairbanks was a good sidekick story. It seems there’s a silver lining in melting permafrost after all.

Study: Climate-cooling arctic lakes soak up greenhouse gases

New University of Alaska Fairbanks research indicates that arctic thermokarst lakes stabilize climate change by storing more greenhouse gases than they emit into the atmosphere.

Countering a widely-held view that thawing permafrost accelerates atmospheric warming, a study published this week in the scientific journal Nature suggests arctic thermokarst lakes are ‘net climate coolers’ when observed over longer, millennial, time scales.

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Posted in Arctic | 23 Comments

The stark reality of green tech’s solar and wind contribution to world energy

Summed in in one graph that says it all.

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Posted in Energy, Green tech, solar power, wind power | 145 Comments

New pictures of the hole in Yamal – and Pingo was its name-o

A couple of days ago I posted this story about the odd hole in the ground that appeared in Yamal, which was immediately blamed on ‘global warming’ by some fool who hadn’t looked at it closely:

Anna Kurchatova from the Sub-Arctic Scientific Research Centre, thinks the crater was formed by a mixture of water, salt and gas igniting an underground explosion, a result of global warming.

The most plausible explanation so far is a collapsed “pingo”, and these new pictures and video from the Siberian Times suggest it probably is. The pictures below from Parks Canada show similar structures in the process of collapse. For those that want to blame the collapse on “global warming” you might also note it is summer in Yamal, and melting ice is a regular and expected occurrence. Continue reading

Posted in Curious things | 78 Comments

Dueling “weather is not climate” press releases – see if you can spot the politically biased one

URI researcher: Weather fluctuations cause people to seek information on climate change

Media Contact: Todd McLeish, 401-874-7892

Results vary by political ideology, education levels

KINGSTON, R.I. – July 16, 2014 – A University of Rhode Island researcher analyzed Internet search trends and weather patterns and has concluded that people across the United States seek information about climate change when they experience unusual or severe weather events in their area. But findings differed based on political ideology and education levels. Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | 178 Comments

Australia: No longer a carbon tax nation

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

The Gore Effect has struck again. Al Baby recently visited Canberra accompanied by his usual blizzard to try to convince the tiny band of eccentrics that held the balance of power in the Senate to vote to keep the “carbon” tax that has been pointlessly crippling the Australian economy.

He failed. The Senate upheld the vote in the House to bring the doomed CO2 tax to a timely end. The Australian Labor Party, which had unwisely introduced the hated tax for the sake of clinging on to office for a few more months with the support of the now-decimated Greens, is belatedly trying to whip up support from a skeptical nation for a repeal of the repeal.

Bob Carter, whose measured, eloquent and authoritative lectures all over Australia putting the minuscule global warming of the 20th century into the calming perspective of geological time helped to see off the tax, sends me the following image that the ALP are desperately circulating to their fanatical but dismayed supporters. Continue reading

Posted in carbon tax, Climate News | 208 Comments

NASA GISS runs ‘hot’ and ‘cold’ as an outlier again

NASA GISS Version 3 vs. Version 2, using HadCRUT.4 Version differences as a baseline

Guest essay by David Dohbro

Recently the climate blogosphere has uncovered the effects of adjusting past and present United States’ land-temperature data as measured by the United States Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) and how that possible affects the temperature records as well as our understanding and knowledge of historic temperatures (References 1-3).

To that extend it is prudent to also look at the effects of temperature adjustments on a global scale. Here the National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s (NASA) Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index (GLOTI) previous Version 2 and the most recent Version 3, which includes the month of June 2014, are compared against each other (4, 5). GISS was updated for various reasons, which I won’t detail here. Continue reading

Posted in Climate data, NASA GISS | 53 Comments

The Law of Unintended Carbon Tax Consequences

Coal generator admits its profits will fall without a carbon tax

Guest essay by Phillip Hutchings

Within minutes of the Australian parliament voting to scrap our carbon tax today, one of our major coal-fired electricity generators issued a profit warning announcement.

(You’ve got to love the ASX. Listed companies here must publicise anything which has a material impact on profits – favourable or negative) Continue reading

Posted in carbon tax | 74 Comments

Headed into ‘Lew-world’ in the U.K. – I could use your help

Yesterday, it was discovered that both John Cook and Michael Mann are headed to the Stephan Lewandowsky’s current place of trough feeding academic residence at the University of Bristol to give talks on Sept. 19th and 23rd. Since the talks are both free and open to the public, a number of people have already registered to attend. Yours truly is one of those people. If you have not already registered, you can do so here at this WUWT story: Calling all UK Skeptics – Free Talk with 97% Bias – plus the ability to ask questions.

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Posted in Announcements | 144 Comments

Mending Fences

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

Recently there have been a number of accusations and bad blood involving myself, David Evans, Joanne Nova, Lord Christopher Monckton, and Leif Svalgaard. Now, I cannot speak for any of them, but on my part, my own blood ended up mightily angrified, and I fear I waxed wroth. Continue reading

Posted in Current News | Tagged | 612 Comments

RIP Australia’s Carbon Tax

Carbontax_tombstoneUPDATE: at ~ 11:14AM local time in Australia, it was repealed!

From ABC: Legislation to scrap the carbon tax has passed the Federal Parliament in a major win for the Abbott Government.

After a lengthy debate, the Senate voted to get rid of the price on carbon, with 39 senators voting for and 32 voting against.

This was the Government’s third attempt to scrap the tax since the election – the first two were rejected by the Senate.

The Australian reports: Continue reading

Posted in carbon tax | 105 Comments

Climate Consensus? Nonsense!

by E. Calvin Beisner

July 16, 2014–So, someone privately messaged us saying her friend had posted this article, and she (who messaged us) wondered how we’d respond.

Okay, we give up. We’ll never persuade people like Slate.com’s Phil Plait. Not if this article, and this and this typify his thought processes. His failure to dig a little deeper, as any good journalist should (which suggests how few good journalists there are out there!), indicates a mind closed to evidence.

But for those of you who aren’t closed to evidence, how do we respond? Continue reading

Posted in 97% consensus | 82 Comments

Macro, Meso, and Micro Climates: The Importance of Trees in Urban Climates

Guest essay by Dr Tim Ball

I think that I shall never see a poem lovely as a tree, -Joyce Kilmer

Is dishwater dull? Naturalists with microscopes have told me that it teems with quiet life. – G. K. Chesterton.

Climate science is essentially limited to macroclimate, that is global, or at most hemispheric or continental. It’s primarily due to the influence of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) – they can’t do small, or even medium. They rely on models and, as they acknowledge, spatial resolution, “…is generally not high enough to resolve tropical cyclones, and especially to simulate their intensity. Figure 1 shows a traditional division of climatology studies. IPCC models can’t even encompass Mesoscale, because a single rectangle in their grid can include Plain, Mountains and Basins.

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Posted in UHI | 36 Comments

Put a cork in it! Claim: wine corks deteriorating due to ‘climate change’

From Science News: Wine corks may owe quality to gene activity

Discovery that distinguishes superior stoppers could help reverse global downturn

Even the most superb wine won’t last without its cork, but the quality of this renewable oaken resource has nose-dived in recent years. A new genetic study of trees that produce high- and low-quality cork divulges some clues behind this decline, hinting at a possible link to climate change.
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Posted in Climate_change | 72 Comments

Calling all UK Skeptics – Free Talk with 97% Bias – plus the ability to ask questions

UPDATE: It’s a double feature, Mann will be there too, see below

From the University of Bristol: Dogma vs. consensus: Letting the evidence speak on climate change

19 September 2014, 6 pm Victoria Rooms, Queens Road, Bristol, BS8 1SA

In this Cabot Institute public lecture, we are pleased to present John Cook, Global Change Institute, University of Queensland and owner of the Skeptical Science blog, in what promises to be a fascinating talk.

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Posted in 97% consensus, Announcements | 153 Comments

Another missing piece of the climate model puzzle – dust

A satellite image from the NASA Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) instrument onboard the Terra satellite captured this dust storm moving over Red Sea on July 8, 2013.  Credit: MODIS Rapid Response Team.

A satellite image captured this dust storm moving over Red Sea on July 8, 2013. Photo: MODIS Rapid Response Team.

From Scripps: Global climate models fail to simulate key dust characteristics

African dust plays a key role in cloud formation, hurricanes and other global climate phenomena but models can’t characterize it well.

Climate models that simulate the airborne African dust that influences Atlantic Ocean hurricanes are not up to the task of accurately representing the characteristics of that dust.

Climate models that simulate the airborne African dust that influences Atlantic Ocean hurricanes are not up to the task of accurately representing the characteristics of that dust.

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Posted in Climate News | 34 Comments

Latest NOAA mean sea level trend data through 2013 confirms lack of sea level rise acceleration

UN IPCC AR5 WGI claims of increasing rates of sea level rise from 1971 to 2010 are unsupported

Guest essay by Larry Hamlin

NOAA has released new and updated mean sea level trend data for it’s Global Network Stations tide gauge locations which are inclusive of measurement data through 2013 (1),(2).

The data include long time period duration (in excess of 30 years) tide gauge station records covering the Hawaiian Islands, Alaska and the Pacific, Gulf Coast and Atlantic coastline regions of the U.S. as well as many other global wide coastal locations. This latest NOAA data shows unchanging linear trends in the rate of sea level rise worldwide with many of these records including 100 year and longer measurement duration periods.

The UN IPCC AR5 WG1 report claims that: Continue reading

Posted in Sea level | 68 Comments