Decision in the Mann/UVa case, a blow to open science

Supreme Court of VA sides with University, secrecy, and Mann.  The previously claimed claimed destruction of Mann emails now to begin.

In this appeal, we consider whether the Circuit Court of Prince William County (“trial court”) erred by denying a request for disclosure of certain documents under the Virginia Freedom of Information Act (“VFOIA”), Code § 2.2-3700 et seq., and whether a public body may impose charges for the cost of reviewing documents under the statutory exclusions.1

130934 American Tradition Inst. v. Rector and Visitors 04/17/2014

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Posted in FOI, Michael E. Mann | 24 Comments

Not quite Friday Funny: The new Ty-D-Bol Man – a rising tide floats all, er, boats

Some WUWT readers may remember this classic TV commercial:

Josh writes:

It looks like Lew & crew want to continue to debate the merits of his paper.

H/t and many thanks to Jo Nova for the ‘flushes itself’ idea.

I present, with help from Josh, the Lew-D-Bol Man:   Continue reading

Posted in Humor, Satire, Stephan Lewandowsky | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Lewandowsky on ‘leakage’

No smear psychological categorization mission is too offbeat for Lew. Now he’s on about “leakage”. Try to stifle the images that conjures up while thinking about your choice of preventative antiemetics.

s mac says: in WUWT Tips and Notes:

Anthony, there is a YouTube video (link below) of Lewandowsky giving a talk at the AGU Chapman conference, and its very revealing and your readers would enjoy, he’s equal parts clown, bully, and circus performer.

He’s desperately trying to find a footprint for what he does – categorize the pigeonhole people and surmise their intentions, motivations — and find a place for it (and himself) in the “save the world” ethos of climate change activists. Video follows:

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Posted in Post-normal science, Stephan Lewandowsky, Uncertainty | 80 Comments

Tilted planets may actually have more life favorable climate

Odd Tilts Could Make More Worlds Habitable

Pivoting planets that lean one way and then change orientation within a short geological time period might be surprisingly habitable, according to new modeling by NASA and university scientists affiliated with the NASA Astrobiology Institute.

The climate effects generated on these wobbling worlds could prevent them from turning into glacier-covered ice lockers, even if those planets are somewhat far from their stars. And with some water remaining liquid on the surface long-term, such planets could maintain favorable conditions for life.

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Posted in Climate News, Space | 27 Comments

A Clear Example of IPCC Ideology Trumping Fact

By Paul C. Knappenberger and Patrick J. Michaels
Center for the Study of Science, Cato Institute

Within the U.S. federal government (and governments around the world), the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is given authority when it comes to climate change opinion.

This isn’t a good idea.

Here perhaps is the clearest example yet. By the time you get to the end of this post, we think you may be convinced that the IPCC does not seek to tell the truth—the truth being that it has overstated the case for climate worry in in its previous reports. The “consensus of scientists” instead prefers to obfuscate.

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Posted in IPCC, IPCC AR5 Report | 83 Comments

UN IPCC AR5 report infected with fatal technical and procedural flaws

UN report’s fatal flaws destroy credibility of WGII and WGIII findings

Guest essay by Larry Hamlin

The UN IPCC AR5 latest climate assessment process comprising WGI, WGII and WGIII reports is complete. This process includes many hundreds of authors and reviewers, consideration of thousands of papers and ten of thousands of pages of reports, associated technical summaries and appendices. Yet amazingly with all this extraordinary expenditure time, effort and expense the report itself documents a monumental failure which has infected the process with fatal technical and procedural flaws which destroy the credibility of the WGII and WGIII findings.

The genesis of the fatal technical and procedural flaws are contained in the WGI report which documents the failure of the climate model global temperature projections to agree with observed global temperature measurements.

 

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Posted in IPCC, IPCC AR5 Report | 25 Comments

Satellite captures five volcanoes erupting at once on the Russian Kamchatka Peninsula

Remote. Cold. Rugged. Those three adjectives capture the essence of Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula. Another word—perhaps more applicable than anywhere else on Earth—is “fiery.”

Of the roughly 1,550 volcanoes that have erupted in the recent geologic past, 113 are found on Kamchatka. Forty Kamchatkan volcanoes are “active,” either erupting now or capable of erupting on short notice. The Operational Land Imager (OLI) on Landsat 8 captured activity at five of them during a single satellite pass on April 14, 2014.

Imagery follows.

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Posted in Volcanoes | 59 Comments

Decision expected tomorrow in Mann UVa FOIA case

At the blog “Open Virginia Law” they are discussing the Mann case and potential impacts, as a new session results will be published from the Supreme Court of Virginia, and it’s likely the Mann/UVa case is one of them.

Insiders tell me that even if Mann/UVa loses, they’ll likely take a on a new position and file a claim of First Amendment right to academic freedom prohibiting release of the ClimateGate and HockeyStick emails, and surely will again encourage Mann to join, each claiming the right rests with them. With Mann, it’s all about delaying the inevitable, unless of course somebody like the hero of Climategate “FOIA” decides to take matters into their own hands and stop this abuse of the legal system and FOIA law by making an email dump. I don’t underestimate that possibility.

Here’s the situation:

Climate change’s looming impact on Virginia’s FOIA

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Posted in Climategate, FOI, Michael E. Mann | 40 Comments

More tabloid climatology: gloom and doom about the jet stream, winters, and global warming

tabloid_climatology_onlyyouFrom the University of Utah, an argument that makes you wonder “what started it 4000 years ago”? Looking at another similar study, Joltin Joe Romm called that study Bombshell: Study Ties Epic California Drought, ‘Frigid East’ To Manmade Climate Change

While they focus on the recent winter as being an example of this errant jet stream pattern and persistent ridges,  they completely ignore an almost identical pattern in the winters of 1977/78 before global warming was even a funding twinkle in James Hansen’s eye.

In 1977, a nearly identical pattern set up with warmth in Alaska, drought in California, and cold in Florida. Arctic sea ice was near a peak at the time. (h/t Steve Goddard)

ScreenHunter_227 Apr. 15 15.39

ScreenHunter_226 Apr. 15 15.38

The Lewiston Journal – Google News Archive Search

Warm US West, cold East: A 4,000-year pattern

Global warming may bring more curvy jet streams during winter

SALT LAKE CITY, April 16, 2014 – Last winter’s curvy jet stream pattern brought mild temperatures to western North America and harsh cold to the East. A University of Utah-led study shows that pattern became more pronounced 4,000 years ago, and suggests it may worsen as Earth’s climate warms.

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Posted in extreme weather, Tabloid Climatology | 63 Comments

UN IPCC AR5 climate reports: Conjecture disguised as certainty

UN IPCC WG report process fails to integrate critical information

Guest essay by Larry Hamlin

The world has experienced over the last 15+ years a remarkable absence of increasing global temperatures despite huge and growing increases in global CO2 emissions by the globes developing nations and despite claims by the UN IPCC that global temperature increases are dangerously out of control because of increasing atmospheric CO2 levels. This embarrassing dichotomy is demonstrated in the diagram below.
clip_image002
The UN IPCC has completed its three part (WGI, WGII, WGIII) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) process where future climate findings are portrayed using “level of confidence” and “assessed likelihood” qualifiers that attempt to cast these outcomes in a cloak of scientific certainty.

Much of the analysis underlying these “level of confidence” and “assessed likelihood” climate findings are based upon the computer output obtained through the use of climate models identified as Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP’s) cases 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5 scenarios. Climate model RCP2.6 represents a low future CO2 emissions scenario case and climate model RCP8.5 represents a high future CO2 emissions scenario.

 

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Posted in IPCC, IPCC AR5 Report, Uncertainty | 66 Comments

Good news: no ‘ozone hole’ in the Arctic

From the Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Plugging an ozone hole

MIT researchers find that the extremes in Antarctic ozone holes have not been matched in the Arctic

AGU_ozone_hole1

The Antarctic “Ozone Hole” has no similarly sized Arctic counterpart

CAMBRIDGE, Mass– Since the discovery of the Antarctic ozone hole, scientists, policymakers, and the public have wondered whether we might someday see a similarly extreme depletion of ozone over the Arctic.

But a new MIT study finds some cause for optimism: Ozone levels in the Arctic haven’t yet sunk to the extreme lows seen in Antarctica, in part because international efforts to limit ozone-depleting chemicals have been successful.

 

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Posted in Ozone | 117 Comments

Climate Craziness of the Week: Oh noes! Moths affected by ‘hidden’ factors of climate change

From the University of Michigan  and the department of Mothra studies, comes this big let down. Even though moths are supposedly affected by climate change, “90 percent of them were either stable or increasing” while the climate where they lived warmed. But wait! Moth scientists know there MUST be an effect, so in contradiction to their observations, the moth scientists claim the climate change effects are now apparently “hidden”. Hopefully, those moths thriving under global warming doesn’t lead to giant moths.

Mothra - courtesy Wikizilla

Mothra – also fictitious, like “hidden” climate effects, courtesy Wikizilla

Moth study suggests hidden climate change impacts

ANN ARBOR—A 32-year study of subarctic forest moths in Finnish Lapland suggests that scientists may be underestimating the impacts of climate change on animals and plants because much of the harm is hidden from view.

The study analyzed populations of 80 moth species and found that 90 percent of them were either stable or increasing throughout the study period, from 1978 to 2009. During that time, average annual temperatures at the study site rose 3.5 degrees Fahrenheit, and winter precipitation increased as well.

 

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Posted in Bad science, Climate Craziness of the Week | Tagged , , | 144 Comments

Ditto, Tom – ‘here are some things I believe’

Tom Nelson writes in a Response to Don Cheadle, some things I thought worth repeating here, because it succinctly sums up the position of many climate skeptics.
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(This post was written to respond to Don’s Twitter question here)

Don, off the top of my head, here are some things I believe:

 

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Posted in Global warming, Opinion | 112 Comments

Quote of the week – beyond ‘noble cause corruption’

qotw_popcornA lot of popcorn is being consumed these days watching the wailing of the Lewandowsky lemming team as they furiously throw themselves over cyber-cliffs in support of a retracted paper that was doomed from the start by it’s own ethics violations: diagnosing people in absentia as having mental disorders, then using a science journal as a bully pulpit to name and shame those people.

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Posted in Climate ugliness, Noble Cause Corruption, Quote of the Week, Stephan Lewandowsky | Tagged , , , , , , | 77 Comments

A quorum of drama queens at Polar Bears International?

Dr. Susan Crockford, Zoologist, of www.polarbearscience.com advises us of this:

 “We are now the polar bear” says Mann today (below) [a few weeks ago it was Patricia Romero Lankao of the federally financed National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado saying "The polar bear is us" http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/03/24/climate-change-dangers_n_5019412.html?utm_hp_ref=mostpopular]

Scientists Speak Out: The New IPCC Report

The latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), a U.N. group, warns that man-made climate change is already causing destruction around the globe. And it will only get worse unless we act quickly.

Leading climate and polar bear scientists share their thoughts on the report and the path forward:

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Posted in Polarbeargate, Post-normal science | 127 Comments

Major Errors Apparent in Climate Model Evaporation Estimates

Guest essay by Richard J. Petschauer, Senior Member IEEE

The physics of evaporation has complications related to what happens at the water / air interface such as wind speed and wave action. However if these factors remain constant, how evaporation changes with temperature and humidity can be estimated with well-known equations based on how water vapor pressure varies with temperature. For example, at a typical ocean temperature of 17 C, it should increase about 6.5% / C if the water vapor increases to maintain relative humidity, that the climate models indicate. If the surface air tracks the water within ± 2 C, the rate varies from 6.2% to 6.9% / C. Data over oceans by Wentz et, al (2007) report values of about 6% / C.

But the complex computer climate models show averages of only about 2.5% / C. There are no claims of reduced wind speeds or wave action or increased relative humidity to explain this. However many papers on the subject claim that the available energy is limiting evaporation in these models. But physics theory tells us that the latent energy for evaporation comes from the temperature of the water itself. The latent heat leaving the surface cools it and deposits heat in the atmosphere, part of which escapes to outer space. This combination causes negative feedback. The reduced net energy from increased CO2 still warms the surface, but this energy can’t be separated from what aids the final increased evaporation. A 6% / C increase applies to the water after the negative feedback is complete. Do the climate models ignore this cooling and feedback process?

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Posted in Modeling | 85 Comments

JPL Claim: Asian Pollution makes US Storms Worse

Story submitted by Eric Worrall

A new study from NASA’s JPL claims Asian air pollution causes worse storms in North America, especially during winter.

beijing_smog_2[1]

Satellite image showing smog over Bejing and Tianjin China. Image: NASA

According to abstract, the study used a global climate-aerosol model to compare current conditions with modelled pre-industrial conditions.

Lead author Yuan Wang, from the Jet Propulsion Laboratory at the California Institute of Technology, said: “The effects are quite dramatic. The pollution results in thicker and taller clouds and heavier precipitation.”

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Posted in Aerosols | 47 Comments

IPCC WGIII: throwing the greens under the bus

While the latest IPCC working group III summary report has its share of gloom and doom and ridiculous edicts, it does have one redeeming quality as Josh points out.

 

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Posted in Fracking, IPCC, nuclear power, Satire | 152 Comments