Story submitted by Eric Worrall
James Delingpole writing for Breitbart London has published a fascinating story of how green groups were undone by their own hubris and misleading evidence in their effort to sue Chevron Oil for billions of dollars for pollution.
NOAA Great Lakes Surface Environment Analysis (GLSEA) – Click the pic to view full size image
Image Credit: NOAA Great Lakes Surface Environment Analysis (GLSEA)
Great Lakes Ice Cover reached 91.8% yesterday, after Wednesday’s coverage of 91% made 2014 the second highest maximum on record. Great Lakes Ice Cover is well within striking distance of the highest maximum on record of 94.7% set in 1979. Coming on the heels of last week’s second highest Southern Sea Ice Area minimum on record, and The Pause in Earth’s temperature reaching 17 years last year, the signs of Earth’s “Rapidly Accelerating” Global Warming abound…
Starting at the same price, there’s a 10 to 1 gap in investment performance
By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
… Don’t put your pension into Greens. “Greens” are what the City boys in red suspenders with East End accents you could cut with a machete and Porsches you could scratch with a convenient latch-key call renewable-energy stocks. See the chart: Continue reading
Climate Insensitivity: What the IPCC Knew But Didn’t Tell Us
By Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. “Chip” Knappenberger
In a remarkable example of scientific malfeasance, it has become apparent that the IPCC knew a lot more than it revealed in its 2013 climate compendium about how low the earth’s climate sensitivity is likely to be.
The importance of this revelation cannot be overstated. If the UN had played it straight, the “urgency” of global warming would have evaporated, but, recognizing that this might cause problems, they preferred to mislead the world’s policymakers.
Strong words? Judge for yourself. Continue reading
While the reactions to Lewis and Crok rage, from intellectually lazy trolling at Dr. Judith Curry’s shop by a trio of commenters using the “nyah, nyah, it’s not peer reviewed!” method, (she now has a technical thread to filter such antics) to the more reasoned technical response from NCAR’s Piers Forster, Jonathan Gregory & Ed Hawkins in Comments on the GWPF climate sensitivity report, and subsequently botched reaction by Sherwood in the Guardian, I thought it might be useful to point out another paper on the evaluation of climate models.
While this paper doesn’t address the issue of climate sensitivity, but focuses more on quantifying and rating divergence, it does have one thing in common with Lewis and Crok; it compares climate model output to observational data.
David Archibald has written a new book. In short: Baby boomers enjoyed the most benign period in human history: fifty years of relative peace, cheap energy, plentiful grain supply, and a warming climate due to the highest solar activity for 8,000 years. The party is over—prepare for the twilight of abundance.
Archibald provides this overview.
The book’s preface provides a taste of the contents and gives some background to it.
This book had its origins back in 2005, when a fellow scientist requested that I attempt to replicate the work a German researcher had done on the Sun’s influence on climate. At the time, the solar physics community had a wide range of predictions of the level of future solar activity. Continue reading
Full papers plus additional comments from co-author Nic Lewis follow. I have added some relevant diagrams and tables from the report, plus reproduced the foreword by Dr. Judith Curry as well as updated the summary Equilibrium Climate Response Graph originally by Dr. Patrick Michaels to include this new ECS value and range. – Anthony
Figure 6: Transient climate response distribution for CMIP5 models
Models per AR5 Table 9.5. The bar heights show how many models in Table 9.5 exhibit each level of TCR.
NEW REPORT: CLIMATE LESS SENSITIVE TO CO2 THAN MODELS SUGGEST
The GCMs overestimate future warming by 1.7–2 times relative to an estimate
based on the best observational evidence.
A new report published by the Global Warming Policy Foundation shows that the best observational evidence indicates our climate is considerably less sensitive to greenhouse gases than climate models are estimating.
UAH Global Temperature Update for February 2014: +0.17 deg. C
(Note, my original headline number was unintentionally misleading, using a percentage to illustrate the drop rather that the absolute number. While the calculation was correct, it gave an impression of overall magnitude across the entire scale rather than the month to month change. It has been corrected. – Anthony)
by Dr, Roy Spencer
The Version 5.6 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for February, 2014 is +0.17 deg. C, down 0.12 deg C from January (click for full size version):
Bob Ward. Photo from his website
UPDATE: it seems that Mr. Ward doesn’t confine his accusations of dishonesty to concerned members of the public like Donna Laframboise, he’s going after Dr. Richard Tol as well, complaining to journal editors about Tol’s publications made years ago – see update below.
It seems the irascible Bob Ward from the Grantham Institute just couldn’t handle having climate skeptics allowed to give an opinion before the UK Parliament, so he filed rebuttals to every witness. I’ve been sitting on this over a week, and Donna Laframboise reports that the cat is out of the bag now, along with the skeptic response to Bob Ward, who she labels a “rat-snake” for his intolerance.
Parliament has just published the point-counterpoints, and Donna has let loose with a video response.
It seems this claim comes up about once a year, now we have yet another one making the rounds in the media. Of course when you look at the data, it doesn’t look quite so terrible and or plausible. Here is the story being distributed today: Continue reading
The latest data just in from the Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory in Ann Arbor Michigan indicates that as of today, total ice cover reached the second highest value on record 91%, beating the previous 2nd highest value set in 1994 of 90.7%.
See the chart.
Last year, WUWT did pretty well, including getting the Best Science and Technology Blog for the third straight year: Weblog awards – WUWT wins for the third time
Of course three wins make it so that you are no longer eligible, and that is fine by me, though, this year, they eliminated that sci/tech category, sort of, and it is now the “Best Topical Blog”.
Also this year, I didn’t even mention the Bloggies during the nominations process. So I was surprised to find that there we are nominated, again.
This year, I’m going to give my picks for each category. Climate related blogs are in italics, my pick is in red italics, along with my reasoning.
Story submitted by Eric Worrall
In further indications of global warming induced cold, Niagara Falls has frozen over for a second time this winter. Continue reading
UPDATE: 3/5/14 Chipotle spokesman walks back the claim, see below.
Chipotle warns global warming may force it to stop serving guacamole.
Yes, that’s an actual headline. Too bad they didn’t do a little research first.
This story is from the excitable kids at Climate Progress, who are paid to make you worry about these things:
20 years of data demonstrates it remains stable
Gulf Stream from satellite Image: NOAA
NARRAGANSETT, R.I. – March 3, 2014 – Several recent studies have generated a great deal of publicity for their claims that the warming climate is slowing the pace of the Gulf Stream. They say that the Gulf Stream is decreasing in strength as a result of rising sea levels along the East Coast.
However, none of the studies include any direct measurements of the current over an extended period to prove their point.
No mention though of the possibility that this is all part of a natural pattern, and of course no mention of Ms. Stroeve’s Greenpeace connections to her research, which brings her scientific objectivity into question. UPDATE: A graph submitted by a commenter suggests otherwise as does recently published paper. See below. UPDATE2: data source has been added.
From NSIDC and UCL:
New data confirms Arctic ice trends: sea ice being lost at a rate of five days per decade
Satellite image of Arctic sea ice breaking up Credit: NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center
The ice-free season across the Arctic is getting longer by five days per decade, according to new research from a team including Prof Julienne Stroeve (Professor of Polar Observation and Modelling at UCL Earth Sciences). New analysis of satellite data shows the Arctic Ocean absorbing ever more of the sun’s energy in summer, leading to an ever later appearance of sea ice in the autumn. In some regions, autumn freeze-up is occurring up to 11 days per decade later than it used to. Continue reading
Weather Underground’s Dr. Jeff Masters jumps the shark with the Voice of Russia:
By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
Seventeen and a half years. Not a flicker of global warming. The RSS satellite record, the first of the five global-temperature datasets to report its February value, shows a zero trend for an impressive 210 months. Miss Brevis, send a postcard to Mr Gore:
People send me stuff.
A dear friend sent me a PDF that contained a description of the ‘National Climate Declaration’ that had some big name company logos stamped all over it. See below:
The updates from NOAA’s SWPC are now available, and there are big jumps all around in February 2014.
Sunspot number reaches the highest ever for SC24: