Weakest solar wind of the space age and the current “mini” solar maximum

From the new paper by McComas et al.

The last solar minimum, which extended into 2009, was especially deep and prolonged. Since then, sunspot activity has gone through a very small peak while the heliospheric current sheet achieved large tilt angles similar to prior solar maxima.

The solar wind fluid properties and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) have declined through the prolonged solar minimum and continued to be low through the current mini solar maximum. Continue reading

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Posted in Solar | 27 Comments

Climate Craziness of the Week: Lowbrow science schtick for the Florida Governor

From the you have to see this to believe it department. Dr. Ryan Maue brings attention to this ridiculous photo op outside the Florida Governor Rick Scott‘s office by an activist outfit called NextGenClimate.

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Posted in Climate Communications, Climate Craziness of the Week, Climate FAIL | 84 Comments

Will the Next El Niño Bring an End to the Slowdown in Global Surface Warming?

Rebuttal to Chen and Tung (2014) highlighted in “Cause for ‘The Pause’ #38 – Cause of global warming hiatus found deep in the Atlantic Ocean

Numerous scientific papers have reported the hiatus in global surface warming will end with the next El Niño event. But according to a new paper by Chen and Tung published today online in ScienceMag (link to paper follows), that’s not going to happen because the multidecadal variations in ocean heat sequestration at depth in the Atlantic and Southern Oceans will suppress surface warming for a decade or two more. Additionally, unlike many other papers of its kind, Chen and Tung (2014) indicate a lessening in ocean heat sequestration to depth (the reverse of what we’re seeing now) was responsible for the accelerated warming during the latter part of the 20th Century.

Looking at Chen and Tung (2014) in a different light, they went looking for Trenberth’s missing heat, and, not surprisingly, they found it in the same ocean heat content reanalysis (ECMWF ORAS-4) used in Balmaseda et al. (2013), which Trenberth co-authored.

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Posted in AMO, Hiatus in Global Warming, Ocean Heat Content, Sea Surface Temperature, Trenberth's missing heats | 61 Comments

Cause for ‘The Pause’ #38 – Cause of global warming hiatus found deep in the Atlantic Ocean

From the University of Washington  and the department of Trenberth’s missing heat comes a claim that we’ll have to wait another 15 years for global warming to resume. Sounds like a goalpost mover to me.

The Oceans that Slowed 21st Century Global Warming
Why did the rapid global warming that characterized the latter part of the 20th century slow down over the last 15 years or so? Many different theories have been proposed, but a new study suggests that a massive movement of heat from shallow surface waters to deep regions of the Atlantic and Southern Oceans — but not the Pacific Ocean, as many researchers had predicted — might be responsible. Xianyao Chen and Ka-Kit Tung analyzed data from profiling floats, or oceanographic sensors that can move vertically throughout the water column, and traced the pathways that heat has taken through the world’s oceans since the turn of the 21st century. The oceans are capable of storing about 90% of the world’s surface heat content, and the researchers suggest that most of the excess heat that would have otherwise continued to fuel global warming is currently stored in the basins of the Atlantic and Southern Oceans.

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Posted in Hiatus in Global Warming, Ocean Heat Content, Oceans, Trenberth's missing heats | 62 Comments

William Connolley demonstrates once again why Wikipedia is an untrustworthy reference source

Wikipedia_ministryI saw this coming a mile away.

On Wednesday August 20th, Dr. Roy Spencer noted how John Cook’s well debunked 97% ‘consensus’ claim, based of statistical sleight of hand and pal review, was used as an example of propaganda techniques

Wikipedia Page on Propaganda Techniques Uses 97% Meme

Roy opined: Continue reading

Posted in 97% consensus, Opinion, Wiki Wars | 86 Comments

‘Climate scientists’ laid bare: ♪ Feeelings…nothing more than feelings ♫

With apologies to Morris Albert.

Joe Duggan. A “science communicator”, writes on his blog:

What follows are the words of real scientists. Researchers that understand climate change. Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | 213 Comments

Claim: study published in Nature shows that small variations in the climate system can result in dramatic temperature changes

Has the puzzle of rapid climate change in the last ice age been solved?

Bremerhaven, Germany, August 19th, 2014.  Over the past one hundred thousand years cold temperatures largely prevailed over the planet in what is known as the last ice age. However, the cold period was repeatedly interrupted by much warmer climate conditions. Scientists have long attempted to find out why these drastic temperature jumps of up to ten degrees took place in the far northern latitudes within just a few decades. Now, for the first time, a group of researchers at the Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research (AWI), have been able to reconstruct these climate changes during the last ice age using a series of model simulations.

The surprising finding is that minor variations in the ice sheet size can be sufficient to trigger abrupt climate changes. The new study was published online in the scientific journal Nature last week and will be appearing in the 21 August print issue.

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Posted in Climate News, Paleoclimatology | 54 Comments

Irish Famines, Politics, and Climate History

Opinion by Dr. Tim Ball

History is the devil’s scripture. Lord Byron
The game of history is usually played by the best and the worst over the heads of the majority in the middle. Eric Hoffer
History is past politics; and politics present history. John Seeley
The historian looks backward. In the end he also believes backward.” Friedrich Nietzsche

Someone to Blame

The Great Irish Potato famine began in 1845 and had severe social impact for some six years. Historians tell the story in many ways, but most assign blame to a few humans, particularly for failure to deal with the great loss of life and hardships of mass migration. There was a proportionally worse famine in 1741, but that is virtually unknown. Did the 1845 event get more attention because it provided a point of attack for the social atmosphere of the time? Some attributed overall weather conditions and harvest failures for the social unrest that gave rise to Marxism: 1848 is known as the “Year of Revolutions”.  Continue reading

Posted in Opinion, Paleoclimatology | 69 Comments

Bárðarbunga volcano getting ready to blow? 1000 Earthquakes felt as magma moves into ice covered caldera

yearly_activity[1]From the Icelandic Meteorological Office:

A summary of seismic activity, written Tuesday evening 19th August 2014 at 20:00

Around 1.000 small earthquakes were detected in the Bárðarbunga region from midnight (18/19) until Tuesday evening 19th August at 20:00. All of them were smaller than magnitude 3 and most were located in the cluster east of Bárðarbunga.

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Posted in Volcanoes | 115 Comments

Ooops – According to NASA, ozone destroying CCl4 remains in atmosphere, and continues to be emitted

Carbon-tetrachloride-3D-balls

Carbon-tetrachloride

NASA research shows Earth’s atmosphere contains an unexpectedly large amount of an ozone-depleting compound from an unknown source decades after the compound was banned worldwide.

Carbon tetrachloride (CCl4), which was once used in applications such as dry cleaning and as a fire-extinguishing agent, was regulated in 1987 under the Montreal Protocol along with other chlorofluorocarbons that destroy ozone and contribute to the ozone hole over Antarctica. Parties to the Montreal Protocol reported zero new CCl4 emissions between 2007-2012. Continue reading

Posted in Ozone | 66 Comments

‘unexpected link between solar activity and climate change’ found in Greenland ice

thumb its the sunLund University have published a reconstruction of solar activity vs snow accumulation in Greenland, which indicates a strong correlation between solar minima and a colder climate.

‘The study shows an unexpected link between solar activity and climate change,’ Dr Muscheler said in a press release.

‘It shows both that changes in solar activity are nothing new and that solar activity influences the climate, especially on a regional level. ‘Understanding these processes helps us to better forecast the climate in certain regions.’

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Posted in Paleoclimatology, Solar | 97 Comments

Nigerian climate scammers continue to bilk the climate clueless

E&E newswire reports today: (h/t to Rob Bradley)

U.N. agency latest front for prize letter scam
Katherine Ling, E&E reporter Published: Wednesday, 8-20-2014

The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, the Nelson Mandela Foundation and the “William J. Clinton Foundation” are giving away $900,000 — but first you need to send in your date of birth and marital status to obtain the prize.

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Posted in Climate News, Ridiculae | 40 Comments

UHI – worse than we thought

Remember when I measured the UHI in Reno, NV? It seems the normally alarmist “Climate Central” is just now getting around to recognizing UHI, but of course, they have to put in the obligatory disclaimer that it cannot possibly contribute to the global warming signal. Well, they are just flat wrong about that, but that’s what they are paid to say.

indianapolis_UHINew Study on Urban Heat Islands and Climate Change Shows Most Large U.S. Cities Getting Hotter Faster than Rural Areas

Since 1970, summer temperatures have been rising. While exact rates of warming differ between regions, most cities have been heating up faster than adjacent rural areas all across the United States.  The concrete and asphalt surfaces in city buildings, roads, and infrastructure hold more heat and release that heat more slowly than vegetation and organic surfaces. This is known as the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect. Climate change then takes that heat and makes cities even hotter. Continue reading

Posted in UHI | 67 Comments

What’s wrong with climate activism and some climate scientists in one ugly nutshell

We’ve seen instances of this before – wishing disaster upon humanity so that it can be used for climate propaganda. However, this tweet from Greg Blanchette sent to the attention of Michael Mann and “get a vasectomy to save the planet” guy Eric Holthaus is particularly galling. Continue reading

Posted in Climate ugliness | 92 Comments

Crickets, it’s whats for dinner

cricketsMary Brown writes in WUWT Tips and Notes:

No more steak for you earth hating skeptics. Time to learn to eat sustainable crickets… so says the Washington Post. Of course it mentions climate change.

The article also says this…

“The industry leapt forward following a 2013 United Nations report warning that with nine billion people on Earth in 2050, current food production will have to double. Between a lack of space and climate change concerns, we’ll need more sustainable solutions. Crickets happen to be a great option.” Continue reading

Posted in Agriculture, Ridiculae | 119 Comments

UK flooding tied to proximity of urbanization and population growth

From the University of Southampton , word that mostly increased flooding is a reporting bias due to proximity, much like we have a reporting bias in tornado counts because there are more people to witness them than 50-100 years ago and greater urbanization.

Increase in reported flooding a result of higher exposure

A rise in the number of reported floods in the UK over the past 129 years can mainly be explained by increased exposure, resulting from urban expansion and population growth, according to new research by the University of Southampton.

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Posted in flooding | 58 Comments

Terraforming Mars may be less expensive than climate change mitigation

terraforming _mars_animFrom the Andrew Lillico (via Bishop Hill) the costs of terraforming Mars -vs- mitigating Earthly climate change seem to have similar values and timescales. Josh provides a cartoon as well.

We can terraform Mars for the same cost as mitigating climate change. Which would you rather?

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Posted in Climate News | 144 Comments

Quote of the week – the numerology of “dialing in” climate science

qotw_croppedThis quote from ETH Zurich is actually from another just published post, but it is so grating, so anti-science, that it deserves its very own thread to highlight it.

Here it is: Continue reading

Posted in Climate FAIL, Quote of the Week | 131 Comments

Excuse #31 for ‘the pause’ – El Niño and longer solar cycles

From ETH Zurich -Why global warming is taking a break

The average temperature on Earth has barely risen over the past 16 years. ETH researchers have now found out why. And they believe that global warming is likely to continue again soon.

Sun

The number of sunspots (white area here) varies in multi-year cycles. As a result, solar irradiance, which influences the Earth’s climate, also fluctuates. The photo shows a UV image of the sun. (Image: Trace Project / NASA)

Global warming is currently taking a break: whereas global temperatures rose drastically into the late 1990s, the global average temperature has risen only slightly since 1998 – surprising, considering scientific climate models predicted considerable warming due to rising greenhouse gas emissions. Continue reading

Posted in Hiatus in Global Warming | 149 Comments

Too late for Oregon’s coal terminal: Exporting US coal to Asia could drop emissions 21 percent

Not that weepy Bill McKibben would care anyway, he doesn’t do reality.

From Duke University

Superior energy efficiency of South Korean plants, and choice of replacement fuels in US, are key to success

DURHAM, N.C. — Under the right scenario, exporting U.S. coal to power plants in South Korea could lead to a 21 percent drop in greenhouse gas emissions compared to burning the fossil fuel at plants in the United States, according to a new Duke University-led study.

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Posted in 350.org connect the dots, Coal, Energy | 55 Comments

NOAA: Lots of land cover change in coastal areas seen

From NOAA: NOAA analysis reveals significant land cover changes in US coastal regions

This image shows wetland gains and losses in the Southeast U.S. from 1996-2011.

Land Cover Atlas helps communities ‘see’ vulnerabilities and craft stronger resilience plans

A new NOAA nationwide analysis shows that between 1996 and 2011, 64,975 square miles in coastal regions–an area larger than the state of Wisconsin–experienced changes in land cover, including a decline in wetlands and forest cover with development a major contributing factor.

Overall, 8.2 percent of the nation’s ocean and Great Lakes coastal regions experienced these changes. In analysis of the five year period between 2001-2006, coastal areas accounted for 43 percent of all land cover change in the continental U.S. This report identifies a wide variety of land cover changes that can intensify climate change risks, such as loss of coastal barriers to sea level rise and storm surge, and includes environmental data that can help coastal managers improve community resilience.

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Posted in Land use land cover change | 20 Comments

Revising the Sunspot Number

Rare spotless day observed on July 18, 2014

“AZleader” writes at “Inform the pundits”.

Austin, August 16, 2014 – A rare spotless day on the sun on July 17-18, 2014 triggered public speculation that an already stunted Cycle 24 was nearly over. Such is not the case. Defying the odds for so late in a sunspot cycle, another solar sunspot maximum was set last month. Another one is coming this month.

In other major news, a long needed revision to the 400-year sunspot record was proposed. It’ll be the first change made to the sunspot record since it was first established by Rudolf Wolf back in 1849. The changes will affect long-term climate and other dependent scientific studies.

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Posted in Solar | 262 Comments

A birds-eye view of the bird scorching Ivanpah solar electric power plant

At the start of the weekend, and quite by accident, I found myself aloft and looking directly into the glare of the Ivanpah Solar Electric Generating System. I can tell you that not only does it roast birds in mid-air, it certainly seems to be a hazard to aviation. First, a story today from AP, via my local newspaper. Photos follow.

Emerging desert solar plants scorch birds in midair-Chico Enterprise-Record

There are roughly 300,000 computer-controlled mirrors at the Ivanpah Solar Electric Generating System in Primm, Nev. New estimates for the Ivanpah solar plant, an innovative year-old $2.2 billion solar project with Google as a major investor, say thousands of birds are dying yearly, roasted by the concentrated sun rays from the mirrors. (AP Photo/Chris Carlson)

IVANPAH DRY LAKE (AP) >> Workers at a state-of-the-art solar plant in the Mojave Desert have a name for birds that fly through the plant’s concentrated sun rays — “streamers,” for the smoke plume that comes from birds that ignite in midair.

Federal wildlife investigators who visited the BrightSource Energy plant last year and watched as birds burned and fell, reporting an average of one “streamer” every two minutes, are urging California officials to halt the operator’s application to build a still-bigger version.

The investigators want the halt until the full extent of the deaths can be assessed. Estimates per year now range from a low of about a thousand by BrightSource to 28,000 by an expert for the Center for Biological Diversity environmental group.

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Posted in Energy, solar power | 176 Comments

Pointless Ohio State study predicts the obvious with models – fish will die as streams dry out

Even more troubling, why does a waste of time study like this get funded by the Department of Defense Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program? I don’t want defense money going to modeling studies on fish and streams that tell us the obvious, especially when some of the worst droughts in the Southwestern United States occurred before “climate change” was even in the lexicon, as seen below:

California_drought_timeline

From the Ohio State University:

Climate Change Will Threaten Fish by Drying Out Southwest U.S. Streams, Study Predicts
Modeling suggests fish will lose habitat as steady flow of surface water is depleted
Continue reading

Posted in Bad science, Modeling, Obvious science | 82 Comments

Spot the portion of California drought caused by ‘climate change’

From “The Hill”, even California Democrats aren’t buying the climate BS Obama and Holdren are selling on drought: (h/t to WUWT reader “Green Sand”)

Voters don’t hear the words “climate change” when Democrats in competitive races in California explain what’s causing the worst drought in the state’s history.

President Obama has repeatedly blamed global warming for episodes of severe weather, including wildfires and droughts in the Golden State, but Democrats seeking to unseat Republicans in the hard-hit Central Valley region are balking at that argument.

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Posted in Climate News, Drought, MedievalWarmPeriod, Politics | 82 Comments

How the media mis-represents everyday science

Joel O’Bryan writes in WUWT Tips and Notes

The LA Times has the follwing lead story on it webpage:

“Climate change reflected in altered Missouri River flow, report says”
http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-missouri-river-20140817-story.html

Quoting from the LA Times, “Climate shifts may be causing the disparate changes in the Missouri River Basin, the USGS report says. The scientists noted that higher stream flow in the Dakotas had occurred even as water use increased. In addition, they said, lower stream flow in some areas could be related in part to groundwater pumping.”

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Posted in Bad science, media | 41 Comments

Monday Mirthiness – spot the troll

Josh writes: There’s been a bit of closet trolling recently, a pretence if being polite but blatantly not, and generally trying to derail posts. Fortunately we have a helpful cartoon for that. Continue reading

Posted in Humor, Satire | 135 Comments

A new low: Joe Romm of Climate Progress exploits the death of Robin Williams for climate propaganda

Story by Eric Worrall

In their quest for ever more bizarre reasons why we should care about climate scare stories, alarmists have truly scraped the bottom of the barrel – their latest effort is to suggest we should care, because the late actor Robin Williams thought climate change was a problem…in 2002. Continue reading

Posted in Climate ugliness | 72 Comments

Willis’s DDP Presentation Video

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

My thanks again to Dr. Jane Orient, Jeremy Snavely, and the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness (DDP). I previously described how they invited me to Knoxville to speak at the DDP conference.

However, they’ve now outdone themselves and posted my speech online, and have my further thanks for doing so. Here’s the video, featuring me cleverly disguised in a coat and tie.  Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | Tagged , , , | 42 Comments

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #146

SEPP_logoThe Week That Was: 2014-08-16 (August 16, 2014) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project

Quote of the Week: If you put feedback into a computer model, you can prove anything. John Brignell, 2002 http://www.numberwatch.co.uk/computer_modelling.htm

Number of the Week: 15 times

THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, Executive Vice President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

Discovering History? A paper by Zhengyu Liu et al. of the University of Wisconsin-Madison raises an important question. As cited in past TWTW’s, observations show that there has been a general cooling since the Holocene Climate Optimum, about 8,000 to 5,000 years ago. [The paper states about 10,000 to 6,000 years ago.] There have been other warm periods in the past 10,000 years. In his presentation at the July International Conference on Climate Change, Geologist Don Easterbrook asserted that until the Little Ice Age began about 1300 AD, the climate had been 2.5 to 5.5 º F warmer than today for about 8,500 years. Continue reading

Posted in Climate News Roundup | 12 Comments

Moore tour needs some backers

Case Smit writes to me via email about a climate tour being organized in Australia with Dr. Patrick Moore, Greenpeace co-founder turned climate skeptic. I’m just passing it on:

Hi Anthony,

You have a huge number of followers and I hope you will be able to help this venture by letting as many people as possible know about it.  The structure of the visit is such that it does not include many fund-raising events, so almost all of the costs (about $100,000) have to be covered by donations.

We feel that Patrick Moore’s background and reputation will persuade many CAGW believers to meet with him and hear his story;  those sort of people would not come to a public lecture.  Their exposure to Patrick’s story could well result in a swing away from CAGW allusions in the media.  Continue reading

Posted in Announcements | 146 Comments

Top 10 reasons the new WordPress Beep Boop Boob editor is a stunning failure.

(WUWT readers, please excuse this distraction while I holler at WUWT’s hosting provider, wordpress.com. As Willis would say, “my blood is mightily angrified”.)

I have generally been supportive of most wordpress.com upgrades, for example the recent upgrade to allow the top editor bar to float with scrolling is a HUGE time saver.

Unfortunately, the new Beep Beep Boop “upgrade” is a crash-and-burn moment in user interface design.

Top 10 reasons the new WordPress Beep Boop Boob editor is a stunning failure.

Continue reading

Posted in Disaster | 109 Comments

Nobody expects the Spanish solar inquisition!

Over at Bishop Hill, there’s a story about an inquisition into the Spanish solar power industry, which was so heavily subsidized and the price being paid for solar power feed-in so much more than conventional power, that some unscrupulous opportunists decided to run solar power systems at night, with the help of a diesel generator:

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Posted in Energy, Green tech, solar power | 73 Comments

July 2014 Global Surface (Land+Ocean) and Lower Troposphere Temperature Anomaly Update

GISS LOTIThis post provides an update of the data for the three primary suppliers of global land+ocean surface temperature data—GISS through July 2014 and HADCRUT4 and NCDC through June 2014—and of the two suppliers of satellite-based lower troposphere temperature data (RSS and UAH) through July 2014.

The map to the above right shows the July 2014 surface temperature anomalies. Please click on it for a full-sized version. The map is available through the GISS map-making webpage.

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Posted in GISS, Lower Troposphere Temperature, NCDC, UKMO HADCRUT4 | 43 Comments

Earthquake swarm in Iceland raises threat level on Bárðarbunga volcano

Increased seismic activity in Bárdarbunga.

Readers may recall that the Grímsvötn volcano caused quite an overwrought mess with air travel in 2011 when it erupted. FergalR writes in WUWT Tips and Notes about the nearby  Bárðarbunga volcano becoming seismically active:

A large sub-glacial volcano in Iceland – Bárðarbunga – has been having a huge earthquake swarm for the last 24 hours.

The IMO have just raised the eruption alert level on it.

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Posted in Volcanoes | 109 Comments