'The Blob' overshadows El Niño

Research identifies earlier ocean warming as dominant effect off West Coast From NOAA FISHERIES WEST COAST REGION El Niño exerted powerful effects around the globe in the last year, eroding…

El Niño could drive intense season for Amazon fires

From NASA Goddard Space Flight Center and the “just watch, they’ll blame climate change anyway” department comes this forecast: The long-lasting effects of El Niño are projected to cause an…

Global Surface Temperature Anomalies Should Be Higher In 2016 Than 2015

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post confirms what most of us suspect based on the history of global surface temperature data responses to strong El Niño events. That is,…

Close But No Cigar – NINO3.4 SST Anomalies Are a Tick (0.1 deg C) above La Niña Threshold

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This is a quick ENSO update. NOAA’s weekly sea surface temperature anomaly data for the NINO regions (based on the original Reynolds OI.v2 data) are…

Global Sea Surface Temperature Responses to the 1997/98 and 2015/16 El Niño Events – Update 1

Alternate Title:  Just in Case You Thought Sea Surface Temperatures around the Globe Responded Similarly to Strong El Niños Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This is an update of the…

An interesting and unique graph that ties ENSO, global temperature and other climate variables together

Yesterday, WUWT covered the sharp drop in global temperatures that followed the peak of the 2015/16 El Niño. That caught the interest of John B from Toronto, and he writes…

Global temperatures are heading downward, and fast

It’s no surprise to us that the “monster” El Niño of 2015/2016 created a very large global temperature spike, after all, that’s what the natural process that creates the phenomenon…

El Nino drives fastest annual increase on record of carbon dioxide

From the UNIVERSITY OF EXETER The human-caused rise in atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide is being given an extra boost this year by the natural climate phenomena of El Niño,…

El Niño made a nuisance of itself in 2015

From NOAA HEADQUARTERS Record ‘nuisance flooding’ in many US cities tied to Pacific weather pattern The frequency of nuisance tidal flooding in many U.S. cities increased as predicted for the…

Bombshell study: past El Niño's 'may have amplified global climate fluctuations for hundreds of years at a time'

From AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY How El Niño impacts global temperatures El Niño oscillations in the Pacific Ocean may have amplified global climate fluctuations for hundreds of years at a time Scientists…

May 2016 ENSO Update – The 2015/16 El Niño Has Reached Its End

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of the 2014-15 El Niño Series and for the 2015/16…

Say Goodbye to the 2015/16 El Niño

Plus a Few Freebees at the End of the Post Guest Post by Bob Tisdale The sea surface temperature anomalies of the NINO3.4 region of the equatorial Pacific are bordered…

The cause of a record warm El Niño year? Leftovers

From AGU: Leftover warm water in Pacific Ocean fueled massive El Niño WASHINGTON, DC — A new study provides insight into how the current El Niño, one of the strongest…

2015/2016 El Nino Not Linked To Global Warming, Says Former IPCC Vice-Chairman

Global Cooling In The Works The current El Nino phenomenon that has brought prolonged drought and sweltering heat to Malaysia is the strongest of the 20 over the last 60…

Forecast: La Niña to replace El Niño conditions in the fall of 2016 – dry winter for California expected

This summer there will be lots of fun and rejoicing on California lakes and reservoirs, many of which are now nearly full thanks to a strong El Niño in the…

For Those Watching the Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies of the Equatorial Pacific and the Decay of the El Niño

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale Many readers are keeping an eye on the sea surface temperature anomalies of the eastern equatorial Pacific. The latest sea surface temperature anomaly map from…

CEEMD and Sunspots

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve been investigating the use of the “complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition” (CEEMD) analysis method, which I discussed in a previous post entitled Noise-Assisted Data…

April 2016 ENSO Update – La Niña Alerts Issued for Later This Year and NINO1+2 SSTa Are Near Zero Deg C

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of the 2014-15 El Niño Series.  For the posts about…

La Niña and a Cooler Earth May Be Coming Faster Than Predicted

Our WUWT ENSO meter in the right sidebar has ticked down twice in the last week, and the most important 3-4 region of the Pacific monitored for ENSO conditions looks like it…

Quicky Early April 2016 ENSO Update: NINO3.4 Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Still at the Threshold of a Strong El Niño

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale NOAA’s weekly sea surface temperature anomalies for the NINO regions (based on the original Reynolds OI.v2 data) are furnished on Mondays. Today’s update for the…

How Much Of Global Temperature Increase Is Due To El Niño?

Guest opinion: Dr. Tim Ball Bob Tisdale wrote an “April Fools” article about the extreme nature of the 1998 El Niño. It was clever and humorous, but also fulfills Shakespeare’s…

NOAA tweaks their poorly performing Climate Forecast System model to remove 'cold bias'

‘Cold bias’ removed from Atlantic From NOAA/NWS technical information notices (TIN) (h/t) to Dr. Ryan Maue and Larry Kummer. It seems the climate models can’t quite zoom in on the…

Study: Ocean temps predict US heat waves 50 days out

Pacific pattern often forms in advance of hot days in eastern US From the NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH/UNIVERSITY CORPORATION FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH BOULDER — The formation of a distinct…

How Much Global Cooling Will We See On Transition To La Niña?

The potential for the massive El Niño to transition into La Niña later in the year is one of the hottest topics in commodities markets right now. The short question-and-answer…