Guest Post by Bob Tisdale With the El Niño-related uptick in the February 2016 GISS Land-Ocean Temperature Index, Figure 1, alarmism has reached beyond the Spinal Tap 11 volume setting,…
Category: ENSO
Global Sea Surface Temperature Responses to the 1997/98 and 2015/16 El Niño Events
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale Alternate Title: Just in Case You Thought Sea Surface Temperatures around the Globe Responded Similarly to Strong El Niños This post will illustrate quite clearly…
March 2016 ENSO Update – We’ll Have to Keep an Eye on the Pocket of Warm Water South of the Equator
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of the 2014-15 El Niño Series. For the posts about…
March 2016 Update of Global Temperature Responses to 1997/98 and 2015/16 El Niño Events
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale In lagged responses to the 2015-16 El Niño, there have recently been sizable upticks in the lower troposphere temperature data from both RSS and UAH,…
New NOAA forecast suggests current El Niño will fade fast, and be replaced by a strong cooling La Niña this year
Dr. Roger Pielke Sr. directs me to this new forecast product from NOAA’s Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL). If it holds, it suggests a big cooling event ahead. NOAA/ESRL PSD…
El Nino collapse appears to be underway
Change in sea surface temperature anomalies in the last month; courtesy NOAA This naturally occurring oceanic cycle that produces warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the equatorial region of the…
Once Again El Nino Didn’t Do What Was Forecast. Why?
Guest Opinion: Dr. Tim Ball Mark Albright, who reportedly lost his job as Oregon State Climatologist in 2003 apparently because of his views on global warming, drew attention to the…
How Strong Was That El Niño or La Niña? – No One Knows For Sure
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale We recently discussed and illustrated how the differences between sea surface temperature datasets prevented us from knowing which of the recent strong El Niño events…
Priceless photo – snow and palm trees juxtaposed in Southern California thanks to El Niño
Southern California has gotten quite bit of weather lately, thanks to the changes in the jet stream track in this El Niño year. readers may recall my post from last…
January 2016 ENSO Update – It Appears the El Niño Has Peaked
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of last year’s 2014-15 El Niño Series. For the series…
Weather Two Months From Now
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach A while back, folks noticed that a couple of months after the El Nino kicked in across the Pacific, the earth would warm up a…
NOAA debunks the hysteria about this El Niño. Why don’t we listen?
By Larry Kummer, from the Fabius Maximus website Summary: The coverage of this El Niño shows the fear and propaganda (used as clickbait by journalists) that clouds American’s vision of…
Study: Current climate models misrepresent El Niño
From the UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA Clues to the fundamental physics of El Niño from millennia-old corals and clams An analysis of fossil corals and mollusk shells from the Pacific…
#AGU15 NASA suggests El Niño will lead to "stronger, wetter" atmospheric rivers to ease California's drought
The above images are of Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTA) of the 1997 (left) and 2015 (right) El Niño. The SSTA are derived from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer…
December 2015 ENSO Update – Shouldn’t Be Long Now Until the El Niño Starts to Decay
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of last year’s 2014-15 El Niño Series. For the posts…
Update on El Niño: Gaia disappoints the climate activists
Guest essay by Larry Kummer, from the Fabius Maximus website Summary: Climate alarmists have run wild with predictions about the “monster” “Godzilla” El Niño, a last throw of the dice…
The Differences between Sea Surface Temperature Datasets Prevent Us from Knowing Which El Niño Was Strongest According NINO3.4 Region Temperature Data
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale In the November 17, 2015 post here (WattsUpWithThat cross post here), we discussed the recent alarmist claims by the mainstream media and members of the…
Is the Current El Niño Stronger Than the One in 1997/98? In a word, 'no'
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale Yesterday, NOAA published its weekly update of the sea surface temperature data for the NINO regions (data here), and because the sea surface temperature anomalies…
El Niño events and drought linked
Current SST: From the THE UNIVERSITY OF MONTANA: UM researchers document global connections between El Nino events and drought MISSOULA – A team of researchers recently discovered that global climate change…
October 2015 ENSO Update – Comparisons with the Other Satellite-Era Multiyear El Niño
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of last year’s 2014-15 El Niño Series. For the posts…
NASA: current El Niño 'appears likely to equal the event of 1997-98'
From NASA Goddard and JPL: NASA studying 2015 El Niño event as never before NASA/GODDARD SPACE FLIGHT CENTER Every two to seven years, an unusually warm pool of water —…
Tired of the Claims of “Warmest Ever” Month and Year? They Will Likely Continue Next Year
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale Last year, we discussed in a number of posts how the claims of record high global surface temperatures were due primarily to the unusual, naturally…
September 2015 ENSO Update – Sea Surface Temperatures Continue to Rise in the Central Equatorial Pacific
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of last year’s 2014-15 El Niño Series. The reference years…
August 2015 ENSO Update – Another Westerly Wind Burst in Late July Should Help El Niño Evolve
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of last year’s 2014-15 El Niño Series. The reference years…
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