The climate consensus is not 97% – it’s 100%

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

Shock news from the Heartland Institute’s Ninth International Climate Change Conference: among the 600 delegates, the consensus that Man contributes to global warming was not 97%. It was 100%.

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Posted in 97% consensus, Consensus | 380 Comments

The PNAS ‘old boys’ club’: NAS members can ‘choose who will review their paper’

Hot of the heels of the busted “Peer Review Ring” we have this from Nature News:

In April, the US National Academy of Sciences elected 105 new members to its ranks. Academy membership is one the most prestigious honours for a scientist, and it comes with a tangible perk: members can submit up to four papers per year to the body’s high-profile journal, the venerable Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), through the ‘contributed’ publication track. This unusual process allows authors to choose who will review their paper and how to respond to those reviewers’ comments.

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Posted in Peer review | 54 Comments

Rasmussen Poll: 63% say the debate about global warming is not over, 60% pan BBC’s decision to exclude skeptics

From Rasmussen Reports:

Voters strongly believe the debate about global warming is not over yet and reject the decision by some news organizations to ban comments from those who deny that global warming is a problem.

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Posted in Opinion | 73 Comments

Claim: Climate change may bring more kidney stones – but the Tasian et al. paper lacks proper controls

kidney_stonesFrom the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia  Something that I consider to be more than a stretch, and possibly conflated junk science, especially since I’ve suffered kidney stones myself and live in a place with summer temperatures that average well over 50°F. See my comments and citations of other papers at the end.

CHOP-led research finds link between hotter days, kidney stones in US adults and children

As daily temperatures increase, so does the number of patients seeking treatment for kidney stones. In a study that may both reflect and foretell a warming planet’s impact on human health, a research team found a link between hot days and kidney stones in 60,000 patients in several U.S. cities with varying climates.

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Posted in Alarmism, Bad science | 68 Comments

Study provides new approach to forecast hurricane intensity

From the University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine & Atmospheric Science

UM Rosenstiel School scientists offer new information to help improve tropical storm forecasting

MIAMI – New research from University of Miami (UM) Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science suggests that physical conditions at the air-sea interface, where the ocean and atmosphere meet, is a key component to improve forecast models. The study offers a new method to aid in storm intensity prediction of hurricanes.

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Posted in Climate News | 13 Comments

Climate Change Hysteria and the Madness of Crowds

lemmings[1]Guest essay by Charles Battig

Shakespeare’s Hamlet pondered the eternal conundrum of competing choices. His “Aye, there’s the rub” nicely summarizes the conflicts inherent in the present socio/political/scientific arena of climate discussions.

Years of relentless doomsday prognostications by a variety of public voices spanning the political-scientific spectrum have found their mark in a gullible and guilt-prone public. There is a Medusa-like quality in the serpentine web of doomsday prophets, including members of the Club of Rome, Paul Ehrlich’s “Population Bomb,” and the current White House science advisor, John Holdren. Al Gore came to discover “Inconvenient Truths,” later found to be not so truthful. Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | 76 Comments

More challenges to EPA’s objectivity in its GHG endangerment findings.

More on the story of the EPA being challenged as to its objectivity in its GHG endangerment findings.

Ashley Thorne, Executive Director, National Association of Scholars, writes in an email:

After the EPA stonewalled international trade lawyer Lawrence Kogan’s FOIA request, saying it was confused about what documents he wanted, Kogan wrote back with a 145-page document spelling out his exact request and pointing out potential smoking guns. My NAS colleague Rachelle DeJong breaks it down here: Continue reading

Posted in EPA | 67 Comments

‘Peer review ring’ – busted

From the Washington Post:

Every now and then a scholarly journal retracts an article because of errors or outright fraud. In academic circles, and sometimes beyond, each retraction is a big deal.

Now comes word of a journal retracting 60 articles at once.

The reason for the mass retraction is mind-blowing: A “peer review and citation ring” was apparently rigging the review process to get articles published.

You’ve heard of prostitution rings, gambling rings and extortion rings. Now there’s a “peer review ring.” Continue reading

Posted in Peer review | 84 Comments

‘Unusual weather we’re having, aint it?’

Oz_lion_weatherThe title of this post is a famous quote from the cowardly lion in the 1939 movie the Wizard of Oz. Readers may remember this film was one of the very first to show “climate disruption” manifesting itself as extreme weather, as regular garden-variety tornadoes in Kansas turned ugly and started transporting people into alternate universes.

I thought that quote was rather appropriate for the kind of weather I’m experiencing in Las Vegas today, on the morning after the ICCC9 conference. This is the view from my hotel room window: Continue reading

Posted in Curious things, Rainfall, records, Weather | 78 Comments

Aussie Carbon Tax Repeal Defeated – For Now

Palmer United Party Playing Politics

Story submitted by Eric Worrall

The Australian Abbott Government’s attempt to repeal the Carbon Tax has been defeated, for now, after senators from the Palmer United Party and the Motoring Enthusiasts Party decided to side with the opposition, to defeat the motion to repeal the tax.

According to Aussie Mining Magnate Clive Palmer, leader of the Palmer United Party, his party decided to oppose the bill, because of the late circulation of an amendment which he had demanded, to ensure all savings yielded by the repeal were passed on to consumers.
“When you give an amendment it normally goes to the clerk’s office by 8.30am and then it’s circulated. So our amendment didn’t do that,’’ Mr Palmer said this morning.

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Posted in carbon tax | 51 Comments

Diving into the Deeps of Decarbonization

[UPDATE: Comment from Anthony: There has been a tremendous amount of discussion and dissent on this topic, far more than I ever would have imagined. On one hand some people have said in comments that Willis has completely botched this essay, and the Kaya identity holds true, others are in agreement saying that the way the equation is written, the terms cancel and we end up with CO2=CO2. It would seem that the cancellation of terms is the sort of thing that would rate an "F" in a simple algebra test. But, I think there's room for both views to be right. It seems true that *technically* the terms cancel, but I think the relationship, while maybe not properly technically equated, holds as well. Here is another recent essay that starts with Willis' premise, where CO2=CO2 and expounds from there. See: What is Kaya's equation?

Further update (modified 3AM 7/12/14): Willis has posted his response in comments, and due to my own travels, I have not been able to post it into the body of the message until several hours later, see it below. - Anthony]

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

pathways to deep decarbonizationAnother day, another new piece of mad garbage put out by the UN. It’s called “pathways to deep decarbonization”, all in lower case (8 Mb PDF). Their proposal is to get CO2 emissions down to zero.  I didn’t get far into it before I cracked up laughing and lost the plot.

It starts with the following definition:

Deep decarbonization requires a very significant transformation of energy systems. The ultimate objective of this transformation is to phase out fossil fuel combustion with uncontrolled CO2 emissions. Only fossil fuels in conjunction with CCS [carbon capture and storage] would remain.

But that wasn’t the funny part. That was just depressing. The funny part came later. Continue reading

Posted in Bad science | Tagged , , | 682 Comments

BBC’s gag order on climate skeptics is likely to backfire if history is any guide

BBC_LogoStory submitted by Eric Worrall.

The BBC, the UK Government Broadcaster, has banned former Chancellor of the Exchequer Lord Lawson from appearing on BBC programmes to talk about climate change.

According to a spokesman for the BBC, a series of complaints about an interview in which Lord Lawson expressed climate skepticism, led to a ruling in favour of the complainants by the BBC’s Editorial Complaints Board.

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Posted in Climate ugliness, media | 116 Comments

Curbing CO2 is futile, according to study

Global climate deal won’t stop dangerous warming – study

Source: Reuters – Wed, 9 Jul 2014 15:24 GMT

LONDON, July 9 (Reuters) – Even if governments strike a pact to curb greenhouse gas emissions next year, they will still exceed levels thought necessary to stand a chance of preventing dangerous global warming, a study by Thomson Reuters Point Carbon showed.

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Posted in Carbon dioxide | 66 Comments

Study: Sharks can handle climate change in the Arctic

From the University of Chicago and the “I didn’t know Jaws lived near the North Pole ” department:

Shark teeth analysis provides detailed new look at Arctic climate change

A new study shows that some shark species may be able to cope with the falling salinity of Arctic waters that may come with rising temperatures.

The Arctic today is best known for its tundra and polar bear population, but it wasn’t always like that. Roughly 53 to 38 million years ago during what is known as the Eocene epoch, the Arctic was more similar to a huge temperate forest with brackish water, home to a variety of animal life, including ancestors of tapirs, hippo-like creatures, crocodiles and giant tortoises. Much of what is known about the region during this period comes from well-documented terrestrial deposits. Marine records have been harder to come by.

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Posted in Paleoclimatology | 78 Comments

Day-Three Live Stream of International Climate Conference Features Lifetime Achievement Award to S. Fred Singer

Skeptic Conference Ends with Discussions of Latest Science Challenging UN Reports, Recognition of Professional Courage and Honesty

LAS VEGAS (July 9, 2014)— Today, the last day of the Ninth International Conference on Climate Change(ICCC9), will include the presentation of the “Lifetime Achievement in Climate Science Award” to Dr. S. Fred Singer, as well as 29 more presentations from leading “skeptic” scientists and policy experts of a human-caused climate crisis.

The live stream with full coverage of ICCC9 will begin at 8 a.m. PDT today (Wednesday, July 9.) The last of 70 total presentations at the conference will conclude 4 p.m. PDT.

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Posted in Climate News | 62 Comments

Science, Engineering, and other related jokes

People send me stuff. This list of 20 intelligent jokes with a smattering of science and engineering jokes is worth sharing.

Some won’t get all of them, for example, I have no idea what #1 is about…the rest, are just entertaining.  Continue reading

Posted in Humor | 265 Comments

Record levels of solar ultraviolet measured in South America

From Frontiers

A team of researchers in the U.S. and Germany has measured the highest level of ultraviolet radiation ever recorded on the Earth’s surface. The extraordinary UV fluxes, observed in the Bolivian Andes only 1,500 miles from the equator, are far above those normally considered to be harmful to both terrestrial and aquatic life. The results are being published in the open-access journal Frontiers in Environmental Science.

“These record-setting levels were not measured in Antarctica, where ozone holes have been a recurring problem for decades,” says team leader Nathalie A. Cabrol of the SETI Institute and NASA Ames Research Center. “This is in the tropics, in an area where there are small towns and villages.”  Continue reading

Posted in Solar | 88 Comments

Solar Notch-Delay Model Released

Readers may recall the contentious discussions that occurred on this thread a couple of weeks back. Both Willis Eschenbach and Dr. Leif Svalgaard were quite combative over the fact that the model data had not been released. But that aside, there is good news.

David Archibald writes in to tell us that the model has been released and that we can examine it. Links to the details follow.

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Posted in Modeling, Solar | 633 Comments

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 12 – July 2014 Update – The Feedbacks Need to Kick in Soon

This post provides an update on the progress of the early evolution of the 2014/15 El Niño with data through the beginning of July 2014. The post is similar in layout to the May and June updates.  The post includes 3 gif animations and 13 illustrations so the post might take a few moments to load on your browser.  Please click on the illustrations and animations to enlarge them.

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Posted in El Nino Basics, ENSO | 55 Comments

Day-Two Live Stream of #ICCC9 features founders of Greenpeace and The Weather Channel

Patrick Moore, John Coleman Deliver Morning Keynote Addresses to Kick Off Day of Panel Discussions, Award Presentations

LAS VEGAS — Greenpeace co-founder Patrick Moore and The Weather Channel founder John Coleman open Day Two of the Ninth International Conference on Climate Change (ICCC9) with keynote addresses at 8 a.m. PDT Tuesday, July 8 from Mandalay Bay in Las Vegas. Details on live stream follow. Continue reading

Posted in Presentations | 17 Comments

Claim: wind change around Antarctica may hasten sea level rise

New research shows projected changes in the winds circling the Antarctic may accelerate global sea level rise significantly more than previously estimated.

Changes to Antarctic winds have already been linked to southern Australia’s drying climate but now it appears they may also have a profound impact on warming ocean temperatures under the ice shelves along the coastline of West and East Antarctic.

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Posted in Climate News | 85 Comments

IPCC must consider alternate policy views, researchers say

From Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs

In addition to providing regular assessments of scientific literature, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Process (IPCC) also produces a “Summary for Policymakers” intended to highlight relevant policy issues through data.

While the summary presents powerful scientific evidence, it goes through an approval process in which governments can question wording and the selection of findings but not alter scientific facts or introduce statements at odds with the science. In particular, during this process, the most recent summary on mitigation policies was stripped of several important figures and paragraphs that were in the scientists’ draft, leading some IPCC scientists to express concerns about excessive political intrusion.

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Posted in IPCC | 32 Comments

NASA satellites see Neoguri grow into a super typhoon

The MODIS instrument aboard NASA’s Terra satellite captured this visible image of Typhoon Neoguri on July 5 at 01:20 UTC (July 4 at 9:20 p.m. EDT)

From July 4 to July 7 Tropical Cyclone Neoguri strengthened from a tropical storm into a supertyphoon. NASA’s Terra and Aqua satellites passed over the rapidly intensifying storm and provided forecasters with visible, infrared and microwave data on the powerful supertyphoon.

On July 4 at 0900 UTC (5 a.m. EDT) Neoguri had maximum sustained winds near 55 knots (63.2 mph/101.9 kph). It was located near 13.1 north and 141.4 east, about 207 nautical miles (238.2 miles/383.4 km) west of Andersen Air Force Base, Guam. It was moving to the northwest at 13 knots (14.9 mph/24.0 kph). This visible image from the MODIS instrument aboard NASA’s Aqua satellite at 03:40 UTC on July 4 showed the bulk of the clouds and showers south and east of a clear eye.  Continue reading

Posted in hurricanes, Weather | 31 Comments

ISEE-3 Update: Trajectory Correction Maneuver

Dennis Wingo writes:

As many of you know, last week we fired the thrusters on ISEE-3 to do a spin-up burn. Before the burn (actually 11 pulses on the spacecraft’s hydrazine thrusters) the spin rate of ISEE-3 was 19.16 rpm. After spin-up burn it was 19.76 rpm. The original mission specifications for ISEE-3 called for a spin rate of 19.75 +/- 0.2 rpm. In other words: bullseye. Continue reading

Posted in Space, Technology | Tagged , | 13 Comments

Full house at #ICCC9


UPDATE: opening remarks posted below. Earlier today I posted a photo showing this auditorium before the conference. It was empty then. Now it is a full house with over 600 attending. Live video feed will start soon:
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Posted in Climate News | 40 Comments

A Colder Climate is a Drier Climate

Guest essay by David Archibald

In trying to understand how the US agricultural system will respond to lower solar activity, and thus a posited colder climate, we have to go way back. As far back as the 1970s in fact when it was still possible for academics to publish books and papers on the effects of climatic cooling. In 1977, Reid Bryson and Thomas Murray published a book entitled Climates of Hunger. The book is old enough that Stephen Schneider is credited with reviewing the manuscript, from his time as a cooling alarmist.  Continue reading

Posted in Global cooling | 102 Comments

#ICCC9 climate conference starts tonight


This is the main room for the ICCC 9 Conference. I’m told that over 500 possibly near six hundred people or more have registered and the conference starts tonight at 5 p.m. Pacific time. Details follow.

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Posted in Climate News | 48 Comments

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

Brought to You by SEPP The Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

Quote of the Week:
Details that could throw doubt on your interpretation must be given, if you know them. You must do the best you can – if you know anything at all wrong, or possibly wrong – to explain it. Richard Feynman Number of the Week: Greater than 15, yet less than 1 

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Posted in Climate News | 15 Comments

The Reef Abides … Or Not

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

I’ve written a few times on the question of one of my favorite hangouts on the planet, underwater tropical coral reefs. Don’t know if you’ve ever been down to one, but they are a fairyland of delights, full of hosts of strange and mysterious creatures. I’ve seen them status and trends of caribbean coral reefsfar from the usual haunts of humanoids, where they are generally full of vigor and bursting life.

I’ve also seen them in various stages of ill-health, including the bleaching caused by occasional high temperatures (which a healthy reef recovers from in a few years). In all of my writings on this subject, I’ve said that the health of the reef depends in large part on parrotfish. I’ve proposed that atoll nations declare the parrotfish as their national bird, just to bring attention to the fish that are responsible for the very existence of the atolls themselves.

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Posted in Oceans | Tagged , , | 69 Comments

About that $30,000 to ‘disprove global warming’ contest

Guest essay by Steven Burnett

Most of my income is derived from tutoring, with part being tied into the Google helpouts system. One of my most loyal customers for my physics and mathematics tutoring sent me a link to a $10,000 reward challenge for skeptics. Which is now up to $30,000, seen here.

Below is what I wrote back with minor edits. While I could have added more links, or graphs, I feel that this synopsis is the most compact skeptic’s case, without dropping off too many details. Perhaps I should submit it for $30,000.

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Posted in Climate News | 208 Comments

Holding Greenpeace accountable

Poor countries should hold Big Green groups and directors liable for deaths, ravage they cause

Guest opinion by Paul Driessen

Fossil fuel and insurance company executives “could face personal liability for funding climate denialism and opposing policies to fight climate change,” Greenpeace recently warned several corporations. In a letter co-signed by WWF International and the Center for International Environmental Law, the Rainbow Warriors ($155 million in 2013 global income) suggested that legal action might be possible.

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Posted in NGOs, Opinion | 144 Comments

Lying with Statistics: The National Climate Assessment Falsely Hypes Ice Loss in Greenland and Antarctica

by E. Calvin Beisner and J.C. Keister

How fast are Greenland and Antarctica losing ice?

If you trust the National Climate Assessment (NCA), you’ll think, “Very fast!” And that’s intentional. The aim is to provoke fear so the American public will support the Obama administration’s aim to spend $Trillions fighting global warming.

Here’s how the NCA (in Appendix 4, FAQ-L) depicts the rate of loss from the ice sheets covering Greenland and Antarctica: Continue reading

Posted in Antarctic, Greenland ice sheet, National Climate Assessment Report | 86 Comments

Apollo Astronaut: Climate Alarmism Is the ‘Biggest Fraud in the Field of Science’

Story submitted by Eric Worrall

Apollo 7 Astronaut Walter Cunningham has described climate alarmism as fraud, while presenting a preview of his upcoming Heartland presentation scheduled July 7-9 to MRCTV.

“Since about 2000, I looked farther and farther into it,” Col. Cunningham (USMC, Ret.) tells MRCTV in an exclusive interview. “I found that not one of the claims that the alarmists were making out there had any bearings, whatsoever. And, so, it was kind of a no-brainer to come to the conclusion.”

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Posted in Alarmism | 76 Comments

Big Trees: a new look at growth factors

Big_Tree_400x400Guest Essay by Kip Hansen

Last week I had the opportunity to attend a presentation by Dr. Seth Bigelow, previously of the US Forest Service and currently doing original Forest Adaptation Research at the Huyck Biological Research Station near Rensselaerville, New York (about 20 miles southwest of Albany). Dr. Bigelow has been conducting such research for 20 years.

Bigelow’s presentation focused on the results of his latest paper published in March 2014 in the journal Climatic Change entitled: “Faster growth in warmer winters for large trees in a Mediterranean-climate ecosystem” (journal article paywalled but a free full .pdf is available here). Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | 55 Comments

The 2014 El Niño is looking more and more like a bust

Peru says El Niño threat over, waters cooling and fish returning

LIMA (Reuters) – The worst of the potentially disastrous weather pattern El Nino is now behind Peru and cooling sea temperatures are luring back schools of anchovy, the key ingredient in fishmeal, authorities said on Friday.

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Posted in ENSO | 138 Comments