Figure 3-129

Early twentieth-century warming linked to tropical Pacific wind strength

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale From the ENSO-can-contribute-to-global-warming department, we have a new paper from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and the University of Arizona (UA). It’s Thompson et al. (2014) Early twentieth-century warming linked to tropical Pacific wind strength.  The abstract reads: Of the rise in global atmospheric temperature over the past…

backtothefuture_warming1

Back to the future in El Niño forecasting

From the Georgia Institute of Technology: Looking at El Niño’s past to predict its future The El Niño Southern Oscillation is Earth’s main source of year-to-year climate variability, but its response to global warming remains highly uncertain. Scientists see a large amount of variability in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) when looking back at climate…

BOM ENSO Tracker

Quicky Mid-November 2014 ENSO Update

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale AUSTRALIA’S BOM UPGRADES ENSO TRACKER STATUS TO EL NIÑO ALERT On November 18, Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) upgraded the conditions in the tropical Pacific from El Niño “watch” to “alert” levels, “indicating at least a 70% chance of El Niño occurring”.  See the rest of their update here. NOAA’S WEEKLY…