Danielle now a hurricane

Max winds 75MPH, Category 1. Bulletin:

TS Danielle Strengthening

Now up to 65mph, not far from Cat 1 Hurricane category winds. Seems almost sure to be a Hurricane soon. The good news is that the path seems away from…

Tropical Storm Danielle forms

From the National Hurricane Center, word of the fourth tropical storm of the season forming. It’s a Cape Verde storm. Right now the wind forecast has it heading NW. WTNT31…

Klotzbach and Gray: "the next two weeks should be active"

Guest post by Ric Werme The CSU Klotzbach/Gray Aug 18-31 hurricane forecast is out. Based on the NOAA historical tropical storm and hurricane frequency below, they are betting on an…

Thoughts on 2010 hurricane season so far

by Steve Goddard The Atlantic Hurricane Basin remains dead quiet, and is now falling below the 1944-2005 average.

SST Anomalies In The Hurricane Nursery

By Steve Goddard Thanks to Dr Klotzbach for his excellent post describing his thinking behind the CSU hurricane forecast. A number of readers asked about SSTs in the hurricane nursery.…

NASA to get a GRIP on hurricane formation

NASA’s Hurricane Global Hawk Grail Quest In less than two weeks, NASA scientists will begin their quest for the holy grail of hurricane research. The exact conditions required to kickstart…

Klotzbach on: Atlantic Hurricane Season Analysis

Guest post by: Dr. Philip Klotzbach,  Research Scientist, Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University As an author on the Colorado State University (CSU) seasonal hurricane forecast, I read with…

Global Tropical Cyclone Activity still at 30 year low

From: Ryan N. Maue’s 2010 Global Tropical Cyclone Activity Update Figure: Global and Northern Hemisphere Accumulated Cyclone Energy: 24 month running sum through July 31, 2010. Note that the year…

NOAA Still Expects Active Atlantic Hurricane Season; La Niña Develops

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact:  Chris Vaccaro 202-482-6093 August 5, 2010 NOAA Still Expects Active Atlantic Hurricane Season; La Niña Develops The Atlantic Basin remains on track for an active hurricane…

NOAA to Issue Updated Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

Here’s the last NOAA release on hurricane season:  NOAA Expects Busy Atlantic Hurricane Season from May 27, 2010. Now an update is coming. Still busy? We’ll see. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact:…

Bonnie bombs

All the worry being foisted in the MSM related to “Bonnie” and the Gulf Oil spill seems to be evaporating.  NHC has discontinued Tropical Storm Warnings. BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE…

Research suggests that hurricane forecasts on intensity could never be feasible

Quick- somebody tell Mike Mann: Surprisingly regular patterns in hurricane energy discovered Research suggests that hurricane forecasts on intensity could never be feasible Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona via Eurekalert Researchers…

Alex – first Atlantic Hurricane of 2010

To help you keep an eye on it, I have the satellite imagery here along with animated loops. Click image for full size or animate this image: Click for loop>>>…

What happens if a hurricane hits the Gulf Oil Slick?

There’s been a lot of worry and speculation over what will happen if a hurricane and the gulf oil spill collide. In response, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has prepared…

Study concludes: "major hurricane could devastate the Houston/Galveston region"

A major hurricane could devastate the Houston/Galveston region? Whooda thunk? Thank goodness they consulted the all knowing supercomputer model to figure this fact out: “it could easily have caused $100…

NOAA Expects Busy Atlantic Hurricane Season

UPDATE: NOAA on the same day predicts a below normal east Pacific hurricane season, see below for addeddum. Contact:          Chris Vaccaro, 202-536-8911            FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Susan Buchanan, 301-713-0622        May 27,…

NOAA goes for National Press Club with hurricane outlook

It looks like they aren’t monkeying around. After delaying the release this week, NOAA plans to showcase the news in a more “robust” setting. Contact:          Susan Buchanan, NOAA FOR IMMEDIATE…

NOAA delays due to monkey business?

Yesterday I posted an announcement about this odd press release: Think-Tank Says Trained Chimp Can Predict Hurricanes Better Than NOAA… And Puts it to the Test Today, in a strange twist…

Think-Tank Says Trained Chimp Can Predict Hurricanes Better Than NOAA… And Puts it to the Test

Chimp Predicts 6-8 Atlantic Hurricanes in 2010 Via press release: Washington, DC: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s track record in predicting the number of Atlantic hurricanes is so abysmal…