Winton Capital Sets Up Climate Change Prediction Market

From The GWPF Date: 12/09/17 |Lindsay Fortado, Financial Times One of Europe’s largest hedge funds is looking to move into the gambling industry in the UK, as it sets up…

Pat Michaels: "A Climate Roadmap for Pres. Trump"

By David Middleton OPINION A climate roadmap for President Trump by Patrick Michaels | Jul 14, 2017 This week, President Trump is likely getting an earful in Paris over his…

Reconciling predictions of climate change

From Eurekalert, New framework accounts for conflicting estimates of global temperature increases Harvard John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences   AUDIO: SEAS researchers Peter Huybers and Cristian…

Why Climate Models Run Hot

by Rud Istvan,   EPA administrator Pruitt wants to “Red Team” the catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW) consensus best reflected in the IPCC assessment reports (AR). At its core, CAGW…

Because of the GISS and NOAA Press Conference about 2016 Global Surface Temperatures…

…A Reminder of How Horribly Climate Models Simulate the Surface Temperatures of Earth’s Oceans. Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post serves as the annual model-data comparison for sea surface…

Inconvenient: Studies find methane and carbon dioxide release is highest in the Arctic during the region’s cold season

From San Diego State University and the “say anything to support the cause” department, comes this press release written by a fellow who obviously does not understand what it means…

Why Albedo is the Wrong Measure of Reflectivity for Modeling Climate

Guest essay by Clyde Spencer The total reflectivity of Earth is important in energy budget calculations and in Global Circulation Models used to predict climate. If the value used is…

Hurricane Main Development Region of North Atlantic – Climate Model-Simulated Sea Surface Temperatures Are Too Cool

And Those Too-Cool Surface Temperatures Create Obvious Problems for Researchers Guest Post by Bob Tisdale UPDATE:  The closing has been revised. The sea surface temperatures of the tropical North Atlantic…

Saturday silliness – Gavin loses it

Josh writes: When Steve MicIntyre writes “In the past few weeks, I’ve been re-examining the long-standing dispute over the discrepancy between models and observations in the tropical troposphere.” you might…

RCP 8.5: The "Mother of all" Junk Climate Science

Guest post by David Middleton Featured image borrowed from here. Nearly every catastrophic global warming doomsday scenario, particularity those involving icecap failures and Noah-size sea level rises are based on…

DeConto and Pollard – An Antarctic Science (Fiction?) Disaster

Readers may recall the announcement of the PR for the recent paper claiming Sea-Level rise from Antarctic ice sheet could double in WUWT. In a tongue and cheek way, I prefaced it…

NOAA tweaks their poorly performing Climate Forecast System model to remove 'cold bias'

‘Cold bias’ removed from Atlantic From NOAA/NWS technical information notices (TIN) (h/t) to Dr. Ryan Maue and Larry Kummer. It seems the climate models can’t quite zoom in on the…

Missing from climate models: Unaccounted for Arctic microbes appear to be speeding up glacier melting

From the SOCIETY FOR GENERAL MICROBIOLOGY and the “department of robusted models” comes this Today, at the Microbiology Society’s Annual Conference in Liverpool, scientists will reveal how Arctic microbes are…

Cloudy modeling problems: Today's clouds might not be the same as pre-industrial ones

Study helps narrow down one reason why clouds are hard to model From the DOE/PACIFIC NORTHWEST NATIONAL LABORATORY RICHLAND, Wash. – Airborne particles known as “aerosols” strongly impact the way…

Climate Models are NOT Simulating Earth’s Climate – Part 3

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale UPDATE:  See the update below Figure 1.24-8 for the IPCC’s correction of their Figure 9.17 from the 5th Assessment Report.  Thanks, Nic. # # #…

Another thing not in climate models 'Synchronized leaf aging' in the tropics

From the DOE/BROOKHAVEN NATIONAL LABORATORY Synchronized leaf aging in the Amazon responsible for seasonal increases in photosynthesis High-tech photography in the Amazon reveals that young leaves grow in at the…

A new climate war brewing: forecasting vs. modeling

A new paper published today by the Global Warming Policy Foundation explains how statistical forecasting methods can provide an important contrast to climate model-based predictions of future global warming. The…

Finally, a study that shows unreliable models are the root of overwrought 'extreme weather' events

Dr. Judith Curry tips me to this new study in GRL: Unreliable climate simulations overestimate attributable risk of extreme weather and climate events Omar Bellprat, Francisco Doblas-Reyes Abstract Event attribution aims…

Initialization practices disqualify UN IPCC global circulation models from use for most climate change forecast purposes

Guest essay by Michael G. Wallace Hydroclimatologist, Albuquerque, NM The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change UN IPCC features and endorses decadal global climate forecasting products. Those in turn…

Study: Current climate models misrepresent El Niño

From the UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA Clues to the fundamental physics of El Niño from millennia-old corals and clams An analysis of fossil corals and mollusk shells from the Pacific…

'Wild card' in climate models found, 'and that's a no no'

Jo Nova has a post today about an investigation of climate modeling mathematics by her husband David Evans. Evans believes he has uncovered a significant and perhaps major flaw in the mathematics at…

Climate scientists can restart the climate change debate & win: test the models!

By Larry Kummer, from the Fabius Maximus website Summary; Public policy about climate change has become politicized and gridlocked after 26 years of large-scale advocacy. We cannot even prepare for…

New computer model says human emissions can 'render Earth ice free'

From the “department of global roasting” and the UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS, where great ideas like this one are formed at Halloween parties, (yes really, see PR) comes this claim: UAF…

Hilarious claim: "we know when global (cough, cough) warming first appeared in the temperature record, er, models"

From the UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES (via Eurekalert) and the “Where’s Waldo?” department comes this hilarious claim. Why hilarious? Because the headline says “global warming”, yet the research says that warming…