Projections of atmospheric and oceanic processes in the Red Sea are informing the design of sustainable megacities being planned and built along its shores.
Category: Climate Models
CMIP6 adds more value in simulating extreme temperatures in China
Climate models have provided an avenue for studying the possible changes in extreme temperatures in the future; and in this respect, to ease of comparison across models from different modelling…
Disconnect in the relationship between GMST and ECS
Abstract. An analysis is presented of he disconnection between the CMIP5 and CMIP6 Historical and Future periods when considering the relationship of the individual model GMST changes and the climate…
CMIP6 Update
This essay extends the previously published evaluation of CMIP5 climate models to the predictive and physical reliability of CMIP6 global average air temperature projections.
Study suggests no more CO2 warming
Precision research by physicists William Happer and William van Wijngaarden has determined that the present levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide and water vapor are almost completely saturated. In radiation physics…
What Will Northwest Weather and Climate Be Like in 2050?
Knowing the future climate is very important, because we can take steps to adapt to climate change, saving lives and property. And the threat of unpleasant consequences can motivate society…
Climate change could mean fewer sunny days for hot regions banking on solar power
While solar power is a leading form of renewable energy, new research suggests that changes to regional climates brought on by global warming could make areas currently considered ideal for…
Study: China’s Clean Air Policies are Triggering Additional Global Warming
According to a study whose authors include Ken Caldeira, China’s efforts to eliminate its infamous air pollution could cause an additional 0.1C NH warming, because less sunlight will be reflected…
Improved models show stronger climate change signal in the tropical Atlantic – or not
Comparative study of the GEOMAR illustrates dependence on model resolution Climate models can only provide an approximation to the real world. Some models still suffer from relatively large biases in…
Climate Scientists Admit Clouds are Still a Big Unknown
Admitting some cloud error is as close as most climate modellers come to admitting their projections are not fit for purpose. Note the image is from Pat Frank’s paper about…
Study: Climate Map Predicting Future African Malaria Outbreaks
There is unequivocal proof Malaria does not need a warm climate – brief periods of warmth are enough. Malaria used to be a major cause of death in Northern Europe,…
When will Temperatures start to fall? Part1
This is an article with a simple proposition. Science tells us that rapidly rising Co2 in turn causes rising temperatures, which has become a very serious problem for humanity.
New confirmation that climate models overstate atmospheric warming
Two new peer-reviewed papers from independent teams confirm that climate models overstate atmospheric warming and the problem has gotten worse over time, not better.
How to improve climate modeling and prediction
Increasingly detailed, physics-based models are improving steadily, but an in-depth understanding of the persisting uncertainties is still lacking.
North Atlantic climate far more predictable following major scientific breakthrough
A team of scientists, led by UK Met Office, has achieved a scientific breakthrough allowing the longer-term prediction of North Atlantic pressure patterns, the key driving force behind winter weather…
Settled Science? New Climate Study Shifts the Goalposts to 2.6-3.9C
Guest essay by Eric Worrall A new climate study has dismissed utterly implausible high end climate models. But the new study also seeks to raise the low end of the…
Climate Scientist: “Anyone who wants to predict the future of the permafrost should be sure to keep the beaver in mind.”
Climate scientists are worried a beaver boom may be helping to melt the Arctic ice.
The Climate Model Muddle
In order to convince you of the veracity of that proposition I will first tell you a little story, an allegory if you want, regarding a thought experiment, a completely…
The Calamity of Models – Podcast with Willis Eschenbach
Computer models are sometimes useful, and often wrong. In the case of climate and Coronavirus predictions, “wrong” doesn’t even begin to describe it.
CMIP6 Climate Models Producing 50% More Surface Warming than Observations since 1979
Those who defend climate model predictions often produce plots of observed surface temperature compared to the models which show very good agreement.
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