Tag Archives: Pacific Ocean

California’s new toilet police

Last Thursday in my local newspaper The Chico Enterprise-Record there was an editorial about saving water through bureaucracy: Editorial: Toilet police don’t want job. It was was of those “only in California” type things about a new law with good … Continue reading

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Posted in Drought, PDO, Rainfall, Weather | Tagged , , | 121 Comments

Study: lack of cloud physics biased climate models high

The Hockey Schtick brings this to our attention. It seems Dr. Roy Spencer was prescient with his observation: “The most obvious way for warming to be caused naturally is for small, natural fluctuations in the circulation patterns of the atmosphere … Continue reading

Posted in Climate sensitivity, clouds, Modeling | Tagged , , , , , , , | 102 Comments

Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential – It’s All in the Presentation

UPDATE: If you’d like to contribute to the Philippine Red Cross you can do so here. # # # The warm-looking image on the left in Figure 1 is of tropical cyclone heat potential for the Northwest Pacific. It made … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, hurricanes, Weather | Tagged , , | 34 Comments

New paper shows Medieval Warm Period was global in scope

Andrew Revkin writes: Michael Mann can’t be happy about this work. Here’s a chat with two authors of an important new Science paper examining 10,000 years of layered fossil plankton in the western Pacific Ocean. The paper finds that several … Continue reading

Posted in Ocean Heat Content, Oceans, Paleoclimatology | Tagged , , , , , , | 123 Comments

Sea Level Rise: Climate Change and an Ocean of Natural Variability

Guest essay Steve Goreham Originally published in The Washington Times Sea level rise is the greatest disaster predicted by Climatism, the belief in catastrophic climate change. Today, leading scientific organizations support the idea that the ocean level is rising due … Continue reading

Posted in Sea level | Tagged , , , , , , , | 160 Comments

Breaking deep-sea waves reveal a potential mechanism for global ocean mixing

From the “Trenberth’s hidden heat” department and the University of Washington comes this story about waves nobody ever sees in the sea that may mix water and transport heat. Waves breaking over sandy beaches are captured in countless tourist photos. … Continue reading

Posted in Oceans | Tagged , , , , , , , | 85 Comments

Scientists confirm existence of largest single volcano on Earth – Massive underwater volcano rivals biggest in solar system

From the National Science Foundation newsroom: September 6, 2013 The summer blockbuster movie Pacific Rim told a fanciful tale of giant monsters rising from the deep in the middle of the Pacific Ocean. Now, scientists have confirmed that the northwest … Continue reading

Posted in Volcanoes | Tagged , , , , | 50 Comments

Another paper blames ENSO for global warming pause, calling it ‘… a major control knob governing Earth’s temperature.’

UPDATE: Chris de Freitas responds to comments with an addendum below – Anthony Readers may recall the recent paper that blamed “the pause” in global temperature on ENSO changes in the Pacific Ocean. Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Global warming | Tagged , , , , , | 211 Comments

‘Mind blowing paper’ blames ENSO for Global Warming Hiatus

Note: Dr. Judith Curry also has an essay on this important paper. She writes: My mind has been blown by a new paper just published in Nature. Just when I least expected it, after a busy day when I took … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , | 395 Comments

Hindcasting climate shifts in the Pacific

From the Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (GEOMAR) The potential for successful climate predictions Hindcast experiments capture long-term climate fluctuations Will there be rather warm or cold winters in Germany in the coming years? We may have a long … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | Tagged , , , | 45 Comments

Schellnhuber thinks he can forecast El Niño a year in advance

From the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) where breakthroughs happen even before they have a proven track record. It appears he was able to predict one event last year in 2012 from the method run in 2011, but … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Forecasting | Tagged , , , , , , , | 40 Comments

To NCDC: We Haven’t Seen an El Nino since 2009/10, What Do You Expect?

This desperate sounding tweet came in a few minutes ago and will be sure to get the peccatogenesists all stirred up with laughable claims of “poisoned weather” etc. June 11 U.S. Drought Monitor Update: moderate to exceptional #drought covers 44.1% of … Continue reading

Posted in Drought, ENSO | Tagged , , , , , , , | 46 Comments

Does the Pacific Decadal Oscillation have predictive skill for global temperature?

Reader Eric Worrall writes: I was playing with Wood For Trees, looking at the relationship between Pacific Decadal Oscillation vs global temperature (Hadcrut 4), when the following graph appeared. The interesting thing is PDO in this graph appears to have … Continue reading

Posted in Climate data, PDO | Tagged , , , , , , , | 102 Comments

New El Niño causal pattern discovered

From the University of Hawaii ‑ SOEST: Climate researchers discover new rhythm for El Niño El Niño wreaks havoc across the globe, shifting weather patterns that spawn droughts in some regions and floods in others. The impacts of this tropical … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , , | 169 Comments

Washington Post Headline: “Worlds fish have been moving to cooler waters for decades, study finds”

This is an addition to the post Fishy Temperature Proxy by Anthony Watts. INTRODUCTION A new paper about fish migration patterns from 1970 to 2006 is getting some attention by the press. My Figure 1 is Figure 2 from Cheung … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 33 Comments

On Hartmann and Wendler 2005 “The Significance of the 1976 Pacific Climate Shift in the Climatology of Alaska.”

Note: this is a companion article for the story: The Guardian’s Suzanne Goldenberg takes a fossil fueled trip to a remote Alaskan village to tell us recent global warming caused it to sink – but that’s not the cause   … Continue reading

Posted in Arctic, PDO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 16 Comments

The Guardian’s Suzanne Goldenberg takes a fossil fueled trip to a remote Alaskan village to tell us recent global warming caused it to sink – but that’s not the cause

UPDATE: A companion essay to this one, showing how Alaska’s 30 year period of warmth is a product of ocean cycles and now coming to an end is now online here. “America’s First Climate Refugees” are actually a victim of … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, Arctic | Tagged , , , , , , , | 80 Comments

More ‘ice free Arctic’ claims – we’ve heard it all before

From the University of Massachusetts at Amherst, something we’ve heard before. For example this claim from 2008. Gotta love the use of props to show how climate tipping points work: NASA: Arctic Ocean Could be Mostly Ice Free in 2013 … Continue reading

Posted in Arctic, Sea ice | Tagged , , , , , , , | 71 Comments

Another amplification mechanism discovered by which the Sun affects Earth’s climate

From The Hockey Schtick A paper published Tuesday in the Journal of Climate finds tiny variations in solar activity over 11-year solar cycles have greatly amplified effects upon climate via changes in the Arctic Oscillation, North Pacific sea surface temperatures … Continue reading

Posted in Cosmic rays | Tagged , , , , , , , | 72 Comments

A Different Perspective of the Equatorial Pacific and ENSO Events

by Bob Tisdale It’s difficult to express how enormous El Niño and La Niña events are. Often, when discussing them, I’ll display a map of the tropical Pacific (see example here) and write something to the effect of, the equatorial … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Ocean Heat Content, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 32 Comments

On Guemas et al (2013) “Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade”

I received a number of emails about the newly published Guemas et al (2013) paper titled “Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade”. It’s paywalled. The abstract is here. It reads: Despite a sustained production of … Continue reading

Posted in Ocean Heat Content | Tagged , , , , , , , | 207 Comments

Study: natural variation still rules monsoons

From the University of Hawaii ‑ SOEST Natural climate swings contribute more to increased monsoon rainfall than global warming Natural swings in the climate have significantly intensified Northern Hemisphere monsoon rainfall, showing that these swings must be taken into account … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Oceans | Tagged , , , , | 20 Comments

The Native Sun

After I left Clayton’s place in 1971, following my motto of “Retire Early … And Often”, I retired for a while. It was good fun, but as usual, impending hunger eventually called me out of retirement, and I went looking … Continue reading

Posted in Willis Autobiography | Tagged , , , | 47 Comments

Modeling sea level rise is an ‘uneven’ proposition

From the British Antarctic Survey New projections of ‘uneven’ global sea-level rise Reporting in the journal Geophysical Research Letters researchers have looked ahead to the year 2100 to show how ice loss will continue to add to rising sea levels … Continue reading

Posted in Sea level | Tagged , , , , , , , | 75 Comments

NOAA corrects ‘State of the Climate’ – offers no credit

NOAA Corrects Their 2012 State of the Climate Report – 2012 Was NOT the Warmest La Niña Year on Record Guest post by Bob Tisdale With as little fanfare as possible, NOAA has corrected their erroneous claim in their 2012 State … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, NCDC, NOAA | Tagged , , , , , , , | 26 Comments

Here there be Dragons

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I was reflecting tonight about emergent phenomena, and how one thing about emergent phenomena is their unpredictability. I’m in the process of writing up a post on emergent phenomena in climate, so they’ve been on … Continue reading

Posted in Curious things, Oceans | Tagged , , , | 123 Comments

Coralline Algae and the Case for Natural Climate Change

Guest post by Jim Steele Director Sierra Nevada Field Campus, emeritus, San Francisco State University There was a very revealing 2012 paper demonstrating the power and interconnections of natural ocean oscillations, “Marine proxy evidence linking decadal North Pacific and Atlantic … Continue reading

Posted in PDO | Tagged , , , , , , , | 64 Comments

New study: Ocean-driven warming along the western Antarctic Peninsula needs to be considered as part of a natural centennial timescale cycle of climate variability

From Cardiff University: Tiny fossils hold answers to big questions on climate change Research explores 12,000 year fossil record The western Antarctic Peninsula is one of the fastest warming regions on the planet, and the fastest warming part of the … Continue reading

Posted in Antarctic, ENSO | Tagged , , , , , , , | 23 Comments

NOAA SOTC Claim that 2012 Was Warmest La Nina Year is Wrong

NOAA’s Definition and Data Contradict Their Claim That 2012 Was The Warmest La Niña Year Guest post by Bob Tisdale In the 2012 State of the Climate Report, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) stated (my boldface): 2012 ranked as … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Government idiocy, NCDC, NOAA | Tagged , , , , , , , | 18 Comments

ENSO 2013 – Boy or Girl?

We’re Expecting: Will it be a Boy, a Girl, or ENSO-Neutral in 2013? by Bob Tisdale There was lots of interest in the short-lived El Niño conditions in 2012. Recently, they very quickly transformed into the present weak La Niña conditions. … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO | Tagged , , , , | 77 Comments

Quote of the week – Hansen concedes the age of flatness

Dr. James Hansen and Reto Ruedy of NASA GISS have written a paper (non peer reviewed) with a remarkable admission in it. It is titled Global Temperature Update Through 2012. Here is the money quote, which pretty much ends the caterwauling … Continue reading

Posted in James Hansen, NASA GISS | Tagged , , , , , , , | 215 Comments

NOAA Mixing Their Niños

Guest post by Paul Homewood In their attempts to disguise the fact that 2012 will likely turn out to be one of the colder years this century, NOAA have made the ludicrous, and frankly dishonest, claim that this year will … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 86 Comments

A link between climate, ice melt, and volcanic eruptions is found

When the ice melts, the Earth spews fire GEOMAR researchers discover a link between climate and volcanic eruptions It has long been known that volcanic activity can cause short-term variations in climate. Now, researchers at the GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for … Continue reading

Posted in Curious things, Volcanoes, Vulcanism | Tagged , , , , , , , | 109 Comments

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 3: ENSO Has No Trend and Cannot Contribute to Long-Term Warming

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the 3rd part of a series of posts that present myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves during El Niño and La Niña events. In the posts, I’m simply … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , , | 86 Comments

Once again, reality trumps models – Pacific SST’s are flat

Model-Data Comparison: Pacific Ocean Satellite-Era Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Guest post by Bob Tisdale I’ll be adding the Pacific Ocean (60S-65N, 120E-80W) sea surface temperature anomalies to my monthly updates. See Figure 1 for the area covered by those coordinates. Why … Continue reading

Posted in Modeling, Sea Surface Temperature | Tagged , , , , , , | 77 Comments