Corrected RCP Scenario Removal Fractions

Reposted from Dr. Roy Spencer’s blog February 6th, 2020 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. Well, as I suspected (and warned everyone) in my blog post yesterday, a portion of my calculations were in error regarding how much CO2 is taken out of the atmosphere in the global carbon cycle models used for the RCP…

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Oreskes Vs. Oreskes

By Rud Istvan, edited by Charles Rotter WUWT reader Max alerted us to a 1994 Naomi Oreskes et. al. paper published in the prestigious journal Science. Her paper was a critical analysis of Earth Science numerical models. I asked Rud to take a look, since he had previously written on climate models both here and…

Why Roy Spencer’s Criticism is Wrong

12 October 2019 Pat Frank A bit over a month ago, I posted an essay on WUWT here about my paper assessing the reliability of GCM global air temperature projections in light of error propagation and uncertainty analysis, freely available here. Four days later, Roy Spencer posted a critique of my analysis at WUWT, here…

Northern Hemisphere snow cover trends (1967-2018): A comparison between climate models and observations

According to the climate models, snow cover should have steadily decreased for all four seasons. However, the observations show that only spring and summer demonstrates a long-term decrease. Ronan Connolly, Michael Connolly, Willie Soon, David R. Legates, Rodolfo Gustavo Cionco , and V. M. Velasco Herrera Abstract: Observed changes in Northern Hemisphere snow cover from…

Allowable 'carbon budget' most likely overestimated

From Eurekalert and the it’s worse than we thought department. Public Release: 24-Jul-2017 Penn State While most climate scientists, including the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, implicitly define “pre-industrial” to be in the late 1800’s, a true non-industrially influenced baseline is probably further in the past, according to an international team of researchers who are…