Cold event setups in atmospheric circulation patterns are aligning. Two days ago I brought to your attention that there was a strong downspike in the Arctic Oscillation Index and that…
Category: Forecasting
CRU's forecast: UK winter snowfall will become "a very rare and exciting event"
Richard North from the EU Referendum writes of a curious juxtaposition of forecasts, then and now. I thought it worth sharing here since it highlights the chutzpah with which CRU…
Our current weather: A test for forecast models – December shaping up to be one of the coldest on record in the USA
It has often been said that “Weather is not climate”, but ultimately it provides the only meaningful way to verify climate models. Did the climate models predict the cold, snowy…
Deja Vu from the Met Office?
While England basks in a winter wonderland, with more on the way, and bookmakers are now slashing odds on a white Christmas (The Times reports “The odds on a White…
CRU's Phil Jones: "Maybe because I'm in my 50s, but the language used in the forecasts seems a bit over the top re the cold."
The Powerline blog has done an excellent job of summarizing the issues surrounding the Climatgate/CRUtape Letters in the past couple of days. Since they reference WUWT in the most recent…
NASA grant to create Mars weather forecasts
From a Texas A&M Press Release Is there such a thing as “weather” on Mars? There are some doubts, considering the planet’s atmosphere is only 1 percent as dense as…
A little known 20 40 year old climate change prediction by Dr. James Hansen – that failed will likely fail badly
UPDATE: Thanks to a tip from Willis Eschenbach, there’s some developing news in that story from Dr. James Hansen. The Salon interviewee and book author, Rob Reiss that I quoted,…
Weak El Niño could lead to U.S. Northeast Coldest Winter in a Decade
Bloomberg: U.S. Northeast May Have Coldest Winter in a Decade By Todd Zeranski and Erik Schatzker Sept. 28 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. Northeast may have the coldest winter in a…
JPL's Patzert: "It's actually eroding the credibility of long-range forecasters and climatologists"
The 2009 “super El Nino” predicted by some may be a “fizzle” according reports attributed to NASA JPL’s Climatologist Bill Patzert. I wonder who he might be referring to when…
Chinese Climate Wisdom
The Chinese civilization has existed survived intact far longer than any other in human history, and they have records of that civilization that span 2-3 thousand years BC. They’ve seen…
Tornado Threat Increases as Gulf Hurricanes Get Larger
There have been lots of claims about hurricanes since Katrina, many of them linking “global warming” to hurricane frequency, which is of course flat wrong. This study however is in…
Forecasting the Earth’s Temperature
Forecasting the Earth’s Temperature by David Whitehouse via Benny Peiser’s CCnet The recent spate of scientific papers that are attempting to predict what the earth’s temperature might be in the…
Met Office supercomputer: A megawatt, here, a megawatt there, and pretty soon we're talking real carbon pollution
Weather supercomputer used to predict climate change is one of Britain’s worst polluters Excerpts from the story by the Daily Mail See WUWT’s original story on this The Met Office…
Atmospheric Temperature and Carbon Dioxide: Feedback or Equilibrium?
R. Taylor writes in to Tips and Notes to WUWT with this. Anthony: If you shift Vostok temperatures by reasonable time lags, and use reasonable parameters for an equilibrium between…
NOAA Lowers Hurricane Season Outlook
While NOAA is lowering forecasts, the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) from FSU COAPS is also quite low. Ryan Maue’s Tropical web page at Florida State University has this graph that…
A simple analogy on climate modeling – looking for the red spot
This simple visual analogy that Ron House has designed can help readers not familiar with a contentious atmospheric modeling issue get a primer on the it. While not a perfect…
Met Office forecasting ability questioned by the Beeb.
Not only does the Met Office/Hadley Climate Center have trouble with pesky “moles” this week, they are now finding a staunch ally, the BBC, is questioning their forecasting ability. One…
UK's Met Office loses 25% of its funding
It appears that all is not well with the idea of “climate forecasting” as the Ministry of Defence pulls the financial rug out from under the Met Office climate program.…
The Met Office brings doom to a place near you
The Met Office brings doom to a place near you Guest post By Tony Newbery, Harmless Sky On Thursday, the Met Office launched its new report on global warming, UK…
Common Sense and The Perils of Predictions
Guest essay by Michael R. Smith, C.C.M. Forbes, “Absolute Return” column, April 21, 2008, page 246: Here’s another name you should own, Freddie Mac ($29 per share)…Freddie is cheap at…
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