average energy advection

Putting It On The Line

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Thanks to an alert commenter, half of my last post was shown to be in error. Like most folks, I really, really hate to be publicly wrong, and of course I do my utmost to avoid it. But sometimes I overlook something, or my logical staircase is missing some steps,…

toa olr vs sst ceres

Pre- and Post-Feedback Sensitivity

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [UPDATE TWO: Rather than trying to cooper up the errors, I have simply removed the incorrect sections and left the calculation of the Planck feedback intact. I think that it is right … however, as events remind me too frequently … I could be wrong … ] [UPDATE: As Jan Kjetil Andersen…

climate-x-factor

Introducing the global-warming exaggeration factor X

Guest essay by Christopher Monckton of Brenchley Recently I provided – based on a characteristically interesting email from Roger Taguchi – a demonstration that IPCC has at least doubled true climate sensitivity. In this follow-up piece, will you please welcome the global-warming exaggeration factor X. First, a breathless recap on my summary of Roger’s argument.…

climate-sensitivity-crystal-ball

Claim: GHG’s have us committed to greater than 1.5°C

High chance that current atmospheric GHGs commit to warmings greater than 1.5C over land From the CENTRE FOR ECOLOGY & HYDROLOGY Current levels of atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations already commit the planet to air temperatures over many land regions being eventually warmed by greater than 1.5°C, according to new research published today (27 July 2016) in…

monthly TOA solar vs ocean temp

Hemispheric Ocean Temperature Sensitivity

Guest Post By Willis Eschenbach Often I start off by looking at one thing, and I wind up getting side-tractored merrily down some indistinct overgrown jungle path. I was thinking about the difference in the strength of the sunshine between the apogee aphelion, which is when the Earth is furthest from the sun in July, and…