Daily Averages? Not So Fast…

Guest Essay by Kip Hansen (with graphic data supplied by William Ward)   One of the advantages of publishing essays here at WUWT is that one’s essays get read by an enormous number of people — many of them professionals in science and engineering. In the comment section of my most recent essay concerning GAST…

Advertisements

The Laws of Averages: Part 3, The Average Average

  Guest Essay by Kip Hansen   This essay is the third and last in a series of essays about Averages — their use and misuse.  My interest is in the logical and scientific errors, the informational errors, that can result from what I have playfully coined “The Laws of Averages”. Averages As both the…

The Laws of Averages: Part 2, A Beam of Darkness

Guest Essay by Kip Hansen   This essay is second in a series of essays about Averages — their use and misuse.  My interest is in the logical and scientific errors, the informational errors, that can result from what I have playfully coined “The Laws of Averages”. Averages As both the word and the concept…

The Laws of Averages: Part 1, Fruit Salad

Guest Essay by Kip Hansen This essay is long-ish — and is best saved for a time when you have time to read it in its entirety.  It will be worth the wait and the eventual effort.  It comes in three sections:  a Primer on Averages, a general discussion of Fruit Salad metrics, and a…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #374

The Week That Was: 2019-08-31 (August 31, 2019) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project Quote of the Week: What I cannot create, I do not understand. – Richard Feynman Number of the Week: 6,000 times more accuracy needed! THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project…

Mad Dogs and Americans

News Brief by Kip Hansen   The U.S. CDC has issued one of its Vital Signs press releases that readers in the United States should be aware of, especially those living in more rural areas. In the classic of modern American literature, To Kill a Mockingbird, the father of  Scout, the narrator, Atticus Finch, a…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #349

The Week That Was: 2019-02-23 (February 23, 2019) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project Quote of the Week: “Don’t pay attention to ‘authorities,’ think for yourself.’” – Richard Feynman, “The Quotable Feynman” Number of the Week: Not €1.57 billion, but closer to €7 billion THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala,…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #329

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President McKitrick-Christy Hypothesis Test: Last week’s TWTW discussed a test on the ability of climate models (a mean of the models used) to describe a 60 year-warming of slivers a layer of the atmosphere as measured by instruments…

Errorless Global Mean Sea Level Rise

Brief Comment by Kip Hansen   Have you ever noticed that whenever NASA or NOAA presents a graph of satellite-era Global Mean Sea Level rise, there are no error bars?  There are no Confidence Intervals?  There is no Uncertainty Range?   In a previous essay on SLR, I annotated the graph at the left to show…

Durable Original Measurement Uncertainty

Guest Essay by Kip Hansen   Introduction: Temperature and Water Level (MSL) are two hot topic measurements being widely bandied about and vast sums of money are being invested in research to determine whether, on a global scale, these physical quantities — Global Average Temperature and Global Mean Sea Level — are changing, and if…