Chaos and Weather

The pioneering study of Lorenz in 1963 and a follow-up presentation in 1972 changed our view on the predictability of weather by revealing the so-called butterfly effect, also known as…

Chaos & Climate – Part 4: An Attractive Idea

Guest Essay by Kip Hansen “The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”  – IPCC TAR WG1,…

Chaos & Climate – Part 3: Chaos & Models

Guest Essay by Kip Hansen   “The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”  – IPCC TAR…

A simple demonstration of chaos and unreliability of computer models

Guest essay by  Anthony R. E. Recently, I read a posting by Kip Hansen on Chaos and Climate. (Part 1 and Part 2) I thought it will be easier for…

Chaos & Climate – Part 2: Chaos = Stability

Guest Essay by Kip Hansen     “…we should recognise that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states…

Chaos & Climate – Part 1: Linearity

Guest Essay by Kip Hansen “…we should recognise that we are dealing with a coupled nonlinear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #591

“My interest in science was always essentially limited to the study of principles … That I have published so little is due to this same circumstance, as the great need…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #591

“The cavemen had the same natural resources at their disposal as we have today, and the difference between their standard of living and ours is a difference between the knowledge…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #587

Without Freedom of Thought there can be no such thing as Wisdom; and no such thing as Public Liberty, without Freedom of Speech.” — Benjamin Franklin (1722)

Modern Scientific Controversies 2024: The Monarch Wars — Part 2

It takes a lot of nerve to do research and publish findings that are contrary to long-standing shared viewpoints in any field.  Kudos to those mentioned above who have done…

Modeling the Universe

“In cosmology, a plausible explanation of the history of the universe has formed by making simple assumptions about stuff we know nothing about — dark matter and dark energy —…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #565

In plain words, Chaos was the law of nature; Order was the dream of man.”

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #564

Mathematics may be defined as the subject where we never know what we are talking about, nor whether what we are saying is true

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #555

The opinions that are held with passion are always those for which no good ground exists; indeed the passion is the measure of the holders lack of rational conviction. Opinions…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #543

The Week That Was: 2023-03-11 (March 11, 2023Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)The Science and Environmental Policy Project Quote of the Week: “So I hope you can accept Nature as…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #541

“It is not the most intellectual of the species that survives; it is not the strongest that survives; but the species that survives is the one that is able best…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #537

“If there is something very slightly wrong in our definition of the theories, then the full mathematical rigor may convert these errors into ridiculous conclusions.” —Richard Feynman, Lectures on Gravitation.

Do Gas Cook Stoves Cause Asthma?

Gas cooking stoves are blamed for children’s respiratory illnesses, like asthma, widely in the literature.  Almost none of the studies actually measure the exposure of the child to the putative…

Daisy-Chained Uncertainties

What are daisy-chained probabilities? This type of scenario can be stated: “If this, and then this, and then if this then that.” The events have to take place in a…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #531

“Any fool can know. The point is to understand.”― Albert Einstein

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #525

And it is of paramount importance, in order to make progress, that we recognize this ignorance and this doubt. Because we have doubt, we then propose looking in new ideas.…

Will a Small Change in Average Temperature Lead to a Large Change in Extremes?

A general mantra that has emerged in this area of climate science: “A small change in the average means a large change in extremes.”

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #513

“The only source of knowledge is experience.” – Albert Einstein

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #511

Experience keeps a dear [expensive] school, yet Fools will learn in no other.” — Benjamin Franklin, Poor Richard’s Almanac, 1743 [H/t Zero Hedge]