Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach (Image above shows the Cray Ecoplex NOAA GAEA supercomputer, which can generate improbable future climate scenarios far faster than we simple humans …) Someone on…
Author: Willis Eschenbach
Now You Sea Ice, Now You Don’t
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I got to thinking about sea ice and the climate models. Here’s what we know about polar sea ice extent, showing data that starts with…
Cloudy With A Chance Of Stability
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I got to thinking about the clouds again. They’re easily the least understood part of the climate. So let me start with what we do…
Living Outside The Niche
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I stumbled across a paper called “Future of the human climate niche“, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. The abstract says…
Arctic Sea Icecapades
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I see that the usual gloomy hype about arctic sea ice continues unabated. This has been going on for a while. Here’s the dean of…
Another Canary? Not.
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In my meand’ring peregrinations of the multiverse, I came across the following about a bay up near the northernwest corner of California. Lost Coast Outpost…
A Curious Paleo Puzzle
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I was wandering through the fabled land of X yesterday and came across the following post: Figure 1. Post on X showing a shortened version…
Tipping Is Optional
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I was greeted this morning by a CNN headline saying “Critical Atlantic Ocean current system is showing early signs of collapse, prompting warning from scientists“.…
More About Artificial Ignorance
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach My previous post, Artificial Alarmism, has gotten some comments from folks who think I’m wrong, and that Large-Language Models can indeed automate the fact-checking of…
Artificial Alarmism
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Well, I was notified by my long-standing “Google Alert” that my name had appeared in a paper on the web. It was in a study…
Surfing The Sixth Wave
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I keep reading about how we’re already well into the “Sixth Wave Of Extinctions”. Now, I’ve studied this question extensively. I started back in 2010…
Maine Sea Level Panic
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach So I open my electronic window onto the world this morning, and I find lots of wailing and gnashing of teeth about a projected sea…
Big Claims About Tiny Numbers
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [UPDATE: An alert commenter, Izaak Walton, notes below that I’d used 10e21 instead of 1e21. This means all my results were too large by a…
E pur si muove
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach A few years back, some scientists got together and invented something they call the Living Planet Index, or LPI. It’s supposed to measure how well…
Energy In The Air
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach. TL;DR: Ramanathan proposed that the “greenhouse effect” could be measured as surface upwelling longwave minus top-of-atmosphere (TOA) upwelling longwave. However, this ignores the contributions to…
DLR Curiosities
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach. [See Update at end] The CERES dataset continues to yield new insights. My joy is to graph different relationships and then see what I can…
Dr. Jim Advises Panic
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I see that my favorite serially failed climate doomcaster, Dr. James Hansen, is at it again. Accompanied by his usual Greek chorus of co-sycophants, he’s…
Light Shaking Water
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [See update at end] From the Ministry of Settled Climate Science, I came across a most fascinating press report entitled Surprise Discovery Reveals a Whole…
As Above, So Below
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I have the world’s best science gig. I can research whatever I want, whenever I want, for as long as I want, and I don’t…
Testing A Constructal Climate Model
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach ABSTRACT A simple constructal model of the operation of the climate system was created by Dr. Adrian Bejan and several others. It posits that the…
Expensive Cheap Energy
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Well, our beloved US Gummint, in the form of the Energy Information Administration, just released the latest data on the horrendously large taxpayer subsidies for…
An Unsettling Insight
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I got to thinking about the classical way to measure the very poorly-named “greenhouse effect”, which has nothing to do with greenhouses. To my knowledge,…
Extremely Common Rarities
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach. With all the recent interest in rare or extreme weather events, I got to wondering … what makes a weather event rare or extreme? With…
Observational and theoretical evidence that cloud feedback decreases global warming
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Well, I decided to take a shot at publishing my views on the cloud feedback response to increases in surface warming. I wrote it up…