scatterplot electricity cost vs installed renewable capacity

Obama May Finally Succeed!

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach For this post I’ve taken as my departure point a couple of very interesting graphs from over at Not A Lot Of People Know That. I’ll repeat them here: Interesting, no? But I’m a numbers guy, I wanted to actually analyze the results. Using the data from those posts and…

Available Solar Energy Anomaly NH pinatubo

Why Volcanoes Don’t Matter Much

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach The word “forcing” is what is called a “term of art” in climate science. A term of art means a word that is used in a special or unusual sense in a particular field of science or other activity. This unusual meaning for the word may or may not be…

stacked eruptions and all years

Volcanic Legends Keep Erupting

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Once again, Anthony has highlighted a paper claiming that volcanoes have great power over the global temperature. Indeed, they go so far as to say:  From the reconstruction it can be seen that large eruptions, such as Mount Tambora in 1815, or clusters of eruptions, may result in a hiatus of…

modi manhattan energy use

Cooking In New York

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve been thinking about the idea of the urban heat island (UHI) as a result of my post on the bogus temperature “record” at Heathrow. The “urban heat island” refers to the fact that cities generally run warmer than the surrounding countryside. This is from some combination of the direct heat…

heathrow temp vs radiation

Heathrow Hijinks

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Once again the Week In Review-Science Edition over at Dr. Judith Curry’s website brings up interesting news. It appears that the first of July was hot in the UK, and among others the airport at Heathrow set a record high temperature for the date.. This led to a bit of…

taleb error paper

Nassim Taleb Strikes Again

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Following up on his brilliant earlier work “The Black Swan”, Taleb has written a paper called Error, Dimensionality, and Predictability (draft version). I could not even begin to do justice to this tour-de-force, so let me just quote the abstract and encourage you to read the paper.   Abstract—Common intuitions are…