NOAA predicts near-normal 2019 Atlantic hurricane season

El Nino and warmer-than-average Atlantic help shape this season’s intensity From NOAA press release: NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is predicting that a near-normal Atlantic hurricane season is most likely this year. This outlook forecasts a 40% chance of a near-normal season, a 30% chance of an above-normal season and a 30% chance of a below-normal…

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Paper suggests a decrease of tropical cyclones ahead

More inconvenient results for Al Gore and the mouthpiece of “Forecast the Facts” Brad Johnson who like to claim that tropical storms will increase due to global warming. A paper published last week in the Journal of Climate projects a 3-15% decrease of tropical cyclones throughout the 21st century, which seems to be inline with…

Tropical Storm Andrea Tracking

TS Andrea, the first named Atlantic storm of the season continues to organize, but so far has only maximum sustained winds of ~60mph. Florida will get quite a bit of rain in addition to winds. The real issue will be what happens after it crosses the Florida peninsula and re-emerges in the Atlantic. Right now…