The Skeptics Case

Who Are You Going To Believe – The Government Climate Scientists or The Data? By Dr David M.W. Evans (republished here with permission, PDF link below) We check the main…

Microbes and their impact within Climate Models

From the American Society for Microbiology, a comprehensive report that suggests the need to integrate microbial processes into climate modeling. As they say: “The sum total of microbial activity is…

Friday Funny – modeling double feature

Josh of cartoonsbyjosh.com writes: There is a wonderful George Monbiot article here… http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/georgemonbiot/2012/jan/26/weather-forecasters-daily-mail …on how the Daily Mail hired ‘Positive Weather Solutions’, a bunch of models,  to do their weather…

October to December 2011 NODC Ocean Heat Content Anomalies (0-700Meters) Update and Comments

Guest post by Bob Tisdale SAME INTRODUCTION AS ALWAYS The National Oceanographic Data Center’s (NODC) Ocean Heat Content (OHC) anomaly data for the depths of 0-700 meters are available through…

Scafetta on his latest paper: Harmonic climate model versus the IPCC general circulation climate models

Guest Post by Dr. Nicola Scafetta Herein, I would like to briefly present my latest publication that continues my research about the meaning of natural climatic cycles and their implication…

On The IPCC’s Undue Confidence In Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Climate Models – A Summary Of Recent Posts

I’ve placed Bob’s Figure 21 at the top of this post, because it shows something quite interesting, note to caption in red, upper left. – Anthony Guest post by Bob…

Tisdale on Climate Models Confirming Or Contradicting AGW

Part 2 – Do Observations and Climate Models Confirm Or Contradict The Hypothesis of Anthropogenic Global Warming? Guest Post by Bob Tisdale OVERVIEW This is the second part of a two-part…

UCAR on Blocking Highs, heat waves, and modeling limits

Dr. Roger Pielke Sr. writes: Candid Admission By UCAR – “Blocking The Way – Predicting The Atmospheric Detours That Lead To Weather Troubles” There was an interesting article in the Fall…

Pheesiks? We don't need no steenkin' pheesiks!

With apologies to The Treasure of the Sierra Madre, here’s a a comment worth repeating from the Hit and Misses thread. Dennis Ray Wingo says: November 26, 2011 at 10:44…

Santer's "17 years needed for a sign of climate change" compared against the IPCC models

I recently covered a press release from Dr. Ben Santer where it was claimed that: In order to separate human-caused global warming from the “noise” of purely natural climate fluctuations,…

Tisdale on model initialization in wake of the leaked IPCC draft

Should Climate Models Be Initialized To Replicate The Multidecadal Variability Of The Instrument Temperature Record During The 20th Century? Guest post by Bob Tisdale The coupled climate models used to hindcast…

The Texas ENSO Bassmaster Classic

A bit of a tiff developed over at Dr. Roger Pielke’s place over disagreements on the recent Texas heatwave being attributed to AGW or to ENSO. Bob Tisdale has something…

An Initial Look At The Hindcasts Of The NCAR CCSM4 Coupled Climate Model

Guest post by Bob Tisdale OVERVIEW This post compares the instrument observations of three global temperature anomaly datasets (NINO3, Global, and North Atlantic “Plus”) to the hindcasts of the NCAR…

IPCC, models, HadCRUT, and cherrymandering

The Rest of the Cherries: 140 decades of Climate Models vs. Observations by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. Since one of the criticisms of our recent Remote Sensing paper was…

Global Ocean Heat Content Is Still Flat

While there’s news of ocean heat content in the Atlantic being pumped up by “leakage” from the Indian Ocean, and NOAA proclaims that La Niña is back, Bob Tisdale finds…

Rationalizing Trenberth's missing heat

By Dr. Roger Pielke Sr. Additional Information On The “Ocean’s Missing Heat” By Katsman and van Oldenborgh 2011 I discussed the papers C. A. Katsman and G. J. van Oldenborgh, 2011:…

Pielke Sr. on new Spencer and Braswell paper

Reposted from Dr. Roger Pielke Sr’s blog New Paper “On the Misdiagnosis Of Surface Temperature Feedbacks From Variations In Earth’s Radiant Energy Balance” By Spencer and Braswell 2011 There is a…

Earth's Climate System Is Ridiculously Complex – With Draft Link Tutorial

By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” I am often amused by claims that we understand Earth’s climate system, are able to accurately measure its behavior, eliminate all potential variables except…

But it Worked in the Simulation!

Perils of computer simulation of complex systems Story submitted by Ricky Seltzer John F. McGowan, Ph.D., writing on math-blog, describes the various ways in which breakthrough science can be misunderstood…

Climate Modeling: "not always clear"

The previous story suggested that climate models predict with certainty “permanently hotter summers”. OK then, but in the same Eurekalert stream today, we have this release, where it seems they…