AR6 and Sea Level, Part 3, A Statistically Valid Forecast

Lots of pressure to publish this post early and it is raining this morning here in The Woodlands, so no golf. I checked it over and think it is OK.…

AR6 and Sea Level, Part 2: The complexity of measuring GMSL

By Andy May Thomas Frederikse and colleagues published a study of sea level data, considering both tide gauges and satellite data in 2020 (Frederikse, et al., 2020). This paper is…

AR6 and Sea Level Rise, Part 1

By Andy May This is the first of a three-part series on the IPCC’s discussion of sea level rise in their latest report, AR6 (IPCC, 2021). The report claims that…

Northern and Southern Hemisphere Warming

By Andy May It is common for the news media and consensus scientists to report global average surface temperatures without mentioning that both the warming rate and average temperatures vary…

Satellite and Surface Temperatures

By Andy May In the Great Climate Change Debate between Professor David Karoly and Professor Will Happer, Glenn Tamblyn was called upon to finish the consensus side of the debate…

Comparing AR5 to AR6

By Andy May The IPCC AR5 report was published in 2013 and the CMIP5 climate models they used, have been shown to predict faster warming than observed in the tropical…

Climate Model Democracy

By Andy May In my last post, I explained how the IPCC attempts to use climate models to show humans have caused the recent global warming. Models are useful for…

Attributing global warming to humans

The featured cartoon is by Josh, who graciously gave me permission to use it, his website is here. This cartoon is in Josh’s 2022 calendar, I think he still has…

Fracking in Poland

By Andy May So, what happened to European efforts to develop a shale gas and oil industry like we have in the United States? Recent shortages, Putin’s invasion of Ukraine,…

ExxonMobil Strikes Back!

By Andy May Update: Unfortunately, the Texas Supreme Court declined to review the court of appeals decision that the California governments do not have sufficient minimum contacts with Texas. This…

Should Government Control Scientific Research?

By Andy May This is the transcript of a talk I gave to the ASME (The American Society of Mechanical Engineers) South Texas Section January 20, 2022 Federal money allows…

IEA: Global Coal Power Generation to Reach a New High in 2022

By Andy May It’s official, the IEA believes that coal-powered electricity generation will rise 9% in 2021 to an all-time high, once the final numbers are in. For the details…

Viral, A Review

By Andy May Alina Chan is a molecular biologist specializing in gene therapy and cell engineering at the Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard. She partnered with the famous science…

Total Energy Used and petrochemicals

By Andy May It came up in conversation: How much oil and gas goes into plastics and fertilizer production? It turns out the IEA has a 2018 report on this…

Autocorrelation in CO2 and Temperature Time Series

By Andy May In my last post I plotted the NASA CO2 and the HadCRUT5 records from 1850 to 2020 and compared them. This was in response to a plot…

CO2 and Temperature

By Andy May I had a very interesting online discussion about CO2 and temperature with Tinus Pulles, a retired Dutch environmental scientist. To read the whole discussion, go to the…

The Old Farmer’s Almanac Seasonal Forecasts

By Andy May The Old Farmer’s Almanac has been making yearly long-term weather forecasts for 230 years. We pay attention to them because they are normally 80% accurate. They did…

The Greenhouse Effect, A Summary of Wijngaarden and Happer

By Andy May This post was updated 9/24/2021 to reflect reader comments. The phrase “greenhouse effect,” often abbreviated as “GHE,” is very ambiguous. It applies to Earth’s surface temperature, and…

European Energy Prices set Records

By Andy May According to the Wall Street Journal yesterday, due to a rare lack of North Sea wind, already high European energy prices are climbing higher. “Gas and coal-fired…

False and misleading “fact check” about Connolly, et al., 2021

By Andy May Dr. Ronan Connolly and his co-authors respond to obvious false claims, in a supposed “fact check” about their latest paper on how solar variability may be affecting…

Nature promotes frivolous lawsuits

By Andy May A Dutch joke*: “The Judge asks an attorney pleading his case: ‘Am I ever to hear the truth?’ The attorney responds: ‘No, my Lord, only the evidence.’”…

AR6 and The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum

By Andy May The PETM or Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum was a warm period that began between 56.3 and 55.9 Ma (million years ago). The IPCC AR6 report (actually a draft,…

Can we predict long-term solar variability?

This post is a result of an online conversation with Dr. Leif Svalgaard, a research physicist at Stanford University. Leif knows a great deal about the Sun and solar variability…

Sea Level Model Fail

From a post by Arnout Jaspers at clintel.org. In 2016, a headline grabbing study said that the Antarctic ice sheet is much more unstable than [previously] estimated.  As a consequence,…