h/t Dr. Willie Soon; According to Professor “Lockdown” Neil Ferguson, the unusual concentration of Omicron cases in Scotland suggests the outbreak may have been seeded by the COP26 Climate Conference in Glasgow.
Professor Neil Ferguson warns a full lockdown might be needed to stop Omicron overwhelming NHS as he says super-variant may have been seeded at COP26 summit in Glasgow
- Ferguson – who was dubbed Prof Lockdown – said return of stay-at-home orders ‘certainly might be possible’
- Growing concerns about UK Christmas freedoms after number of British Omicron cases rose to 437 yesterday
- No10 is already drawing up new plans for Britons to work from home and offices to shut, according to reports
By CONNOR BOYD DEPUTY HEALTH EDITOR FOR MAILONLINE
PUBLISHED: 19:49 AEDT, 8 December 2021 | UPDATED: 04:27 AEDT, 9 December 2021
‘Professor Lockdown‘ Neil Ferguson today admitted that another nationwide shutdown could be on the cards to tackle Omicron as he warned the super variant will be dominant before Christmas.
The Government scientist, whose modelling bounced No10 into the original lockdown last spring, said the return of stay-at-home orders ‘certainly might be possible’ if the mutant strain threatens to overwhelm the NHS.
…
Omicron cases are concentrated in London and in Scotland. As Britain’s major transport hub, London has often been the UK’s epicentre for new variants. But Professor Ferguson claimed Omicron might have been seeded in Glasgow at the Cop26 climate summit at the start of November in Glasgow.
…
Personally I’m surprised the virus wasn’t killed off by all the COP26 private jet diesel exhaust fumes, but clearly if COP events are going to spread new Covid variants, all future COP events should be cancelled.
Update (EW): Professor Neil Ferguson resigned in 2020 after being caught breaking his own lockdown rules, sneaking his married lover Antonia Staats into his home for some naughties, but for some reason he still gets a lot of airtime. Antonia Staats at the time worked for the global activism group Avaaz. Several senior Canadian Conservatives accused Avaaz of being connected to George Soros, but the allegations were withdrawn after legal action.
Clearly COP26 caused my grandmother’s gout, and she has been dead for 22 years. Those bastiches!
Who could possibly have imagined that flying in people from all over the world to indoor mass gatherings in late fall could yield a super spreader event?
Well all the CoPs have always been super spreader events –
super spreading bullshit.
That would be a ‘manure spreader event’.
Yep, it’s a mystery! Who could have foreseen such a thing?
No that was CO2
FLOP26 caused gout in 20,000 delegates and another 40,000 hangers on – no social distancing in their parties
Camilla wishes she had had more social distancing from Flatulent Joe.
The first time I read your comment I misread your snark as
No social distancing in their panties
Wow what a party
2H9 …. “bazstajas” 😉
Better Omicron than Delta.
Yes. As predicted by Evolution 101, pathogens tend to become more infectious but less lethal. Omicron appears less fatal, but it’s unclear how much more contagious, if at all, it is than Delta.
If hghly infectious but not very deadly, then COVID could soon be endemic, like the four CoVs responsible for most adult human colds. But first Omicron needs to outcompete Delta.
The biggest problem is that, after a while, we’ll have so many dinky little virus strains floating around that we’ll all have “colds” 24/7/365.
Adding a fifth cold-causing CoV shouldn’t greatly increase incidence of cases, unless it’s more contagious than the other four.
Labs are working on universal CoV vaccines, following some promising leads. The problems are as much financial as technical. Big Pharma has little interest in such a product, when selling boosters vs. COVID is so much more profitable.
I never get colds or flu. Maybe people should just get more healthy, and stop living in homes at 25 deg C all year round.
Dress warm in winter and adapt to the seasons. Eat proper food.
Word to the wise: Vitamin D. Nuff said.
Get as much sunshine as you can in winter, although above Lat 35, there isn’t enough UV to produce sufficient V-D (!) in your skin.
Everyone in winter and melanin-rich people in spring and fall as well need supplements. Bundling up reduces V-D production, as of course also does life indoors.
Or tanning booths, but that raises your skin cancer risk.
Oily seafood and egg yolks are main food sources.
Besides bones, immune systems need V-D.
No thank you, I had V-D all too often in my younger days. 🙂
And I thought you were a cautious person.
More so now than when I was much younger. I momentarily snagged my clothes a couple of times while caving when in my late-30s. It resulted in a rush of adrenaline with a feeling of claustrophobia. It had never happened before. I decided it was time to give up cave exploring in tight tunnels — of all manner.
More power to you. Spelunking is fun to watch on Youtube, but my god I couldn’t do it. I got my first sense of claustrophobia reading The Incredible Hulk # 261, Bruce was escaping from an underground lair only to have the tiny tunnel start to collapse. Whoo boy for an 8yo, that was…
Yes. I have absolutely no doubt that our Beloved Leaders have been well aware of the benefits of Vitamin D for about 20 months, when I started taking it.
But Vitamin D producers are pretty shabby when it comes to brown envelopes.
Vaccine producers, on the other hand….
And you can’t apparently get permission to jab people with untested vaccines if there are conventional pharmaceutical products that are effective. Like Vitamin D.
Turns out now that Astra Zenica, Pfizer and the rest are NOT effective at preventing transmission, not safe (especially for young people) and still not properly tested.
No wonder the producers insisted getting liability waivers.
Me, I’ve had three shots. So don’t be calling me an Anti-Vaxxer. As one on People’s Leader Xi Jinping’s target list (male, past sell-by date, diabetic), I thought it was the least I could do to discourage prolonging Lockdowns for ever and more cruelty to children.
Well, that didn’t work out…
I don’t know about Internationally, but in the US there is an over the counter product called Cold-EEZE. Taken at the first possible symptom of a cold, and if you were about to get one, it goes away almost immediately. Wait until you are sure you have a cold, and keep taking the C-E, and the cold will be gone in a couple of days. Wait to start until the cold is in full force, and it will last the full week or so, but by taking C-E every 3 or 4 hours, the symptoms will be mostly suppressed.
And yes, unlike most of the herbal remedies you will see in the store, there are double blind lab results that prove Cold-Eze actually works.
Three high-dose (>75 mg/day) zinc acetate trials found a 42% reduction in the duration of colds, whereas five high-dose zinc gluconate Cold-Eze trials found just a 20% reduction in cold duration. Recently an analysis of several studies showed that zinc lozenges or syrup reduced the length of a cold by one day, especially when taken within 24 hours of the first signs and symptoms of a cold. Not particularly impressive results!
well seeing as Tamiflu at 300 or so a course..reduces symptoms by “maybe” a day or LESS…with FDA approval etc etc I know what I would prefer(and tamiflu has side effects)
Robert.
Cold-EZZE is Zinc gluconate.
Not all zinc compounds have the same solubility.
My doctor told me that with proper treatment you’ll get over a cold in 14 days. Without treatment it could last 2 weeks. 🙂
Phew, I thought it might be a fortnight !!
I have had better results from the soluble zinc lozenges than even massive doses of Vitamin C. I take the zinc lozenges at the first sign of a sore throat or unusual sniffles and the symptoms are usually gone within 48 hours. That was not the case even when I was younger, and presumably had a stronger immune system, but did not have access to zinc gluconate and had to rely on other things such as Vitamin C.
I didnt believe it but tried it..gargling with bicarb at first scratchy throat signs works as does saline nasal sprays used frequently asap. and of course betadine nasal spray or gargle would be as good i guess
No kidding if you can get governments to buy them then you have struck gold.
No need to get government to buy them, where you strike gold is when you get government to mandate that anyone needs to take your product if they want to be allowed to work.
True dat
yeah. I don’t wanna wear my pants to go to work. Infringement on my tights. Er rights.
Or my seatbelt.And if I smoke 60 a day in your house, that’s my right, Nothing to do with you.
If you think you have a right to do whatever you want in my house, then you have a very strange notion of rights.
Ditto, your right to work depends on someone’s desire to hire you.
If you think the government has a right to mandate anything that might improve safety, even if only by an immeasurable amount, then you don’t believe in personal rights.
There is so much money in patent “cold medicine” and “congested chest”doctor visits that even big pharma doesn’t want to find a vaccine that would destroy a trillion$ industry, for mild symptoms that go away in a few days….unless they could make even bigger bucks off booster shots every 6 months or so…..hmmmm…..
That is the genius of the free market, while it might make no sense for the industry as a whole, it makes excellent sense for a single company within the industry as a whole.
It makes even more sense for a company that is outside the pharmaceutical industry come up with such a product.
For a company in the industry, they will make a killing on the product while the losses will be distributed over the entire industry.
If a new company, that has few or no cold relief products, it would be all profit with no losses.
yeah like a lifetime of misery using zantac etc for “ulcers” sure kept pharmas happy(and kept patients unwell and side effects etc) when it was found to be “cured” with one course of antibiotics instead they hated that
I take the zinc lozenges at first sign of a scratchy throat for past about 2 years. I think it works but my “database” is still small.
24/7/365. This year has 365 weeks.
“This year has 365 weeks”
Is that on the Aztec calendar? 🙂
“Is that on the Aztec calendar? ”
What a heartless thing to say! 😉
That’s not what the phrase means.
Companies that are open 24/7 can still be closed on the major holidays.
By adding 365 they are telling consumers that they are open every day throughout the year.
While saying 24/365 might make more sense, most consumers would look at such a sign and have no idea what it means, while everybody understands immediately what 24/7/365 means.
By conventions in UK/Australian/NZ and presumably a few other countries 24/7/365 [24th July 365 ] is a few days after an earhquake devasted Crete, a couple of months before Procopius proclaimed himself emperor and about 4 months before the Alammani crossed the Rhine and invaded Gaul. As an aside it didn’t end well for Procopius. Defeated by Emperor Valens he was tied to two bent trees and dismemebered when the trees were released. Ouch…
I think you have issues … it’s an abbreviation and I am not sure there is an abbreviation authority who runs around to officially approve them. Perhaps we should submit all abbreviations to you for approval in future.
“we’ll all have “colds” 24/7/365”
And we, as a species, will adapt. That’s how nature works.
Tell that to the Carib indians.
They weren’t able to adjust to colds?
Tell that to the Carib indians.
a) Have they been completely wiped out?
b) Are they the “species”?
Has anyone at all died from this strain ? At this point seasonal flu is the greater threat
None confirmed, but Fauci says, “Do not panic.”
Are you sure?
Fauci is one big panicked 💩
Everyone should be aware of the Prevention and Treatment Protocols which have been tested and peer reviewed. Early treatment greatly removes the need for hospitalization and let alone vaccination.
Everyone should be aware of the Prevention and Treatment Protocols which have been tested and peer reviewed. Early treatment greatly removes the need for hospitalization, let alone vaccination.
Early treatment has been discouraged because the EUA (Emergency Use Authorization) vaccine status which requires no other treatment options being available. So Ivermectin and HCQ are off the table, even though they have have been proven to work.
The obvious course is to isolate those who are most susceptible (elderly and comorbidities) and use early treatment with the infected (see Epidemiologic Analyses on COVID-19 and Ivermectin).
Excuse me, yirgach, but the talking heads on TV have issued repeated warnings that the “obvious course”, going forward, is to lock up and isolate those “unvaccinated’ who continue to refuse to take the Fauci ouchies.
Trouble is, the sands are shifting: totally unanticipated by FDA, NIH, CDC, NIAID, etc, one year ago, the original COVID-19 vaccines are not as “effective” as first claimed. Hence, it is not clear if the term “unvaccinated” now applies to those that have not yet been “boosted”.
In the old days a vaccine would stop you getting the disease. Now it seems that despite receiving 2 full doses followed up by a booster, it will only be 70% effective.
Polio vaccine requires 4 doses , MMR 2 doses, Hepatitis B 3 doses. Tetanus vaccinations every ten years is recommended because of waning immunity
At no time was there ever a claim that vaccines could completely prevent you from getting a disease.
Polio vaccines seem to do quite well at preventing contracting polio post-vaccination.
Smallpox vaccines did so well at preventing contracting smallpox post-vaccination that that particular virus was essentially wiped off the face of the Earth, and now only exists at a few virus research institutions.
PROVED MEDICAL FRAUD CAUSES DEATHS OF MILLIONS FROM TOXIC COVID-19 “VACCINES” / SUPPRESSION OF IVERMECTIN / DO NOT INJECT CHILDREN
Covid-19 was NOT a highly dangerous global pandemic. The Covid-19 virus was only dangerous to the very elderly and infirm, as I correctly published on March 21, 2020, based on publicly available data. The world’s top physicians and researchers published the same conclusion six months later in October 2020, in the Great Barrington Declaration.
Highly effective, inexpensive early treatments like Ivermectin were officially suppressed, resulting in millions of needless, preventable Covid-19 deaths.
By far the greatest harm to society from Covid-19 was caused by excessive government-mandated lockdowns, costly and inappropriate treatment protocols and the toxic Covid-19 “vaccines”.
There is ample evidence of fraud and criminal activity in the governments’ illegal over-reactions to the relatively mild Covid-19 flu.
The following important evidence supports criminal prosecutions of those responsible for the fraudulent mismanagement of Covid-19.
FDA APPROVED EMERGENCY USE AUTHORIZATION FOR VACCINES DESPITE MASS CASUALTIES IN FIRST 90 DAYS
SMOKING GUN CONFIDENTIAL PFIZER DOCUMENT EXPOSES FDA CRIMINAL COVER-UP OF VACCINE DEATHS… THEY KNEW THE JAB WAS KILLING PEOPLE IN EARLY 2021… THREE TIMES MORE WOMEN THAN MEN
RESEARCHER ANDREW HILL’S CONFLICT: A $40 MILLION GATES FOUNDATION GRANT VS A HALF MILLION HUMAN LIVES
The “less lethal” evolution is because dead hosts quit travelling around, and unfortunately COVid isn’t deadly enough to stop people from travelling, so the usual logic might not hold.
According to research out of RSA, Omicron is less lethal. Funny though, despite the less sophisticated medicine in Africa, covid has not delivered the great extermination first predicted.
According to my simple research national poverty is a great way to prevent covid. No vaccine required.
https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/9WwxR/2/
Let’s just see what zeta brings.
I fear what will happen when they run out of Greek letters. Will they start combining them like sororities?
That’s why they reserved Xi. It will be the first letter of the combinations.
So far Omicron seem to provide low cost immunity to SARS viruses, sort of like cow pox did for small pox…..but wait for the studies….
Is the Omicron variant still infectious before symptoms start showing?
Like any good virus.
or youve NO symptoms like all the 2xvaxxed travellers bringing it into aus and elsewhere
Maybe those studies will show that everyone now needs to be inoculated WITH the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2.
Wouldn’t that be an interesting twist!
Id be quite happy to catch this version
college football games should be a great way to seed covid variants, but, it didnt happen.
Outdoors.
Still, tens of thousands of screaming people crammed side by side for 3-4 hours can’t be good. Plus many NFL and college games played in domed stadia.
It’s perfect for creating herd immunity
“thousands of screaming people”
all chanting Lets Go Brandon 🙂
10s of 1000s of people in close proximity shouting loudly and high fiving? No chance of spread there.
It could be that the types of people that go to football games have already been exposed and are immune or resistant now?
It could be the types of people that go to COP might be the ones who hide away from others and were able to work at home, etc. i.e. non productive members of society, therefore not previously exposed and resistant or immune?
Just speculating.
Immune or soon will be, with asymptomatic or mild cases.
Domed stadia are still vast, well ventilated air spaces, unlike an office or meeting room.
Drake, you might well be on to something with that speculation. I’ve been thinking much the same.
I had all of those same thoughts. I got to thinking then that either the virus needs alot of airborne exposure (masks) or it is more a droplet oral route. Everything aboit covid is baffling except the motives of the Left.
As the coronavirus is smaller than the wavelength of visible light, anything you can see is orders of magnitude bigger than the virus. If you have seen someone blow vape through a mask, the virus can pass through that same mask much easier than that vape. A mask might stop spittle, but smaller particles can then break free and be emitted, and enter the deepest recesses of the victims lungs. A chain-link fence is not much use for hiding behind in a snowball fight – especially if each snowflake is considered infectious.
“But, but, but….. We’re Saving the Planet!“
Wondering if it’s worth it
This could be correct, in that they may become recipients of Darwin awards.
Given Ferguson’s track record, his continued air of authority is as remarkable as Michael Mann’s.
It’s remarkable as these buffons still have clout and some veneer of expertise after months and years of lack of intelligence and competence.
Heck, some people actually still respect that lying incompetent fraud Fauci.
Private jet diesel exhaust ??
That gives new meaning to “Turbo-diesel”.
Jets of course burn kerosene, however:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aircraft_diesel_engine#Teos/Austro_Engine_AE440
Why Airplanes Use Kerosene Rather Than Plain Gasoline for Fuel | Blog- Monroe Aerospace
Reciprocating prop planes use avgas, ie high octane gasoline. Turboprops and jets use kerosene. Diesel aeroengines were a thing between the wars, and may be making a comeback, thanks to woke Green Meanies.
I haven’t verified this, but IMO the aluminum block T-34 tank engine started out as an aerodiesel design backed by Stalin. Yet its Greek origin designer, Chelpan, was executed in 1938, aged 38. Rehabilitated after death, but the honor wasn’t of much use to him.
Diesel engines in General Aviation are making a comeback with one of the driving factors being lack of availability of 100LL avgas in a lot of the world. These run on Jet-A, not diesel but close to the same thing. Jet A and other variants have additives that keep it fluid at lower temperatures. I’ve flown the Diamond twin diesel (DA-62) and it is as they say.. “sweet”. It competes against the Cirrus SR22T.
Kerosene and diesel have a higher energy content per volume and weight than gasoline. Diesel engines have a higher efficiency than most turbines and gasoline engines because they operate higher in the left top corner in the Carnot cycle.
Diesel engines were still a small thing in WW2, mainly in Germany and for those lesser known aircraft only the true fans are aware of (Ju86, some of the big B&V flying boats).
Not that common and with the coming of the turbo prop post war they sort of became a bit of a development curiosity.
As for the Khakiv V-2 tank donk? I would say it was never really considered as an aircraft engine. 500hp in the late 30s was not very impressive for a new development aircraft engine. So if I was forced to guess I would say it was designed from scratch as a tank engine.
How the Vatican perfected signaling a new Pope is the simplest model for how variants of CoVid shall henceforth be announced; like so:
Habemus variantes!
Keep a close eye out in March, when they will announce the PI variant on the 14th.
The Ides of March variant.
The worrisome variant is the Omega variant.
Or when they exhaust the Greek alphabet and start with something like galaxies — Andromeda Galaxy.
Would that then be the “Andromeda Strain?”
aka “Andromeda Variant.”
Test and thou shall find.
Shalt.
Eric states at the end :
“… all future COP events should be cancelled.” and I couldn’t agree more.
But, what about all the 1,000s of ‘green jobs’ that will be lost … Sex workers, limousine drivers, sound & light technicians, heating & air con engineers, private jet companies, catering staff, food & drink suppliers, standby generator suppliers, drug dealers, the list goes on & on.
Just like the coal miners – they learn to code. 😉
If the physician reports out of South Africa continue to hold up, omicron variant is the end of the pandemic AND the need for vaccines. Only 1/4 of SA is vaccinated, yet there have been few hospitalizations from omicron. The symptoms are cold like and treated at home.
with “cases” spiking almost as high that the last peak in June, deaths are still at an all time low.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-africa/
High cases, low deaths is the Rx for herd immunity.
High cases, low deaths is the Rx for herd immunity.
Or less severity in the omicron strain?
Now that they’ve gotten people convinced that it’s a de@th sentence, all they NEED to report is cases to create the next panic.
Yes, like in Portugal.
But we break records: 200 000 test in one day (population close to 10 million). Lots of “cases”, school work disrupted, etc., but few deaths (almost all of old age people or with severe previous comorbidities).
Lockdowns phooey:
From:
“How Omicron Variant Rattled the World in One Week: Speedy discovery, announcement and global response shows new phase in fight against Covid-19, as health officials hunt for variants that could evade vaccines” by Gabriele Steinhauser, Drew Hinshaw, and Daniela Hernandez | November 28, 2021
https://www.wsj.com/articles/omicron-variant-coronavirus-south-africa-11638144873
=======================================
“Middlebury College goes remote, cancels in-person events due to rise in COVID-19 cases”
By Andrew Brinker and Associated Press | December 10, 2021
https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/12/10/nation/middlebury-college-goes-remote-cancels-in-person-events-due-rise-covid-19-cases/
You know there will be trouble ahead when you see the phrase “government scientist”.
Deaths and hospitalisations have steadily declining since 1st Nov in UK. Despite rising +ve test results.
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/deaths
Give them time Greg they will find another way to scare us.
Test results and cases are the wrong metric. Hospitalizations versus cases and deaths versus hospitalizations are the only accurate indicators.
(side note – I feel disturbed that I only had to type ‘tests cases Australia’ to get EXACTLY the website I had in mind)
Here in Oz we have over 50 million tests for a hit/miss of under 0.5%. This is targeted testing in areas where the ‘experts’ believe there to be a realistic chance you have the dreaded Fauci.
Then based on current figures even if you are a case there is only a 1 in 300 need to be hospitalised.
So yeah… let’s quote Case Numbers.
“Then based on current figures even if you are a case there is only a 1 in 300 need to be hospitalised”
A survey a couple months ago showed that almost half of people surveyed in the US thought you had a 50% chance of hospitalization if you caught covid. How’s THAT for “misinformation”?
Greg, the number of cases is completely misleading. What matters is the proportion of tests that are positive. In the UK the number of cases has been modestly rising over the last few weeks. But so has the number of tests. In fact the proportion of positive tests (around 4%) has been remarkably constant since the summer. Even now, with the government back in full fear mode because of Omicron, there is still no upward trend in the proportion of positive tests. And Covid deaths are still slowly falling as you mentioned.
The results from South Africa look extremely encouraging. All the signs are that Omicron is extremely mild and may indeed be similar to the common cold. For example, in all of SA, the average stay in hospital is around 2.5 days, which is extremely small. The number of patients is also very small (compared to the population of about 60 million). Also, the majority were hospitalised for other reasons and Covid was detected only by routine testing.
It’s ironic – and infinitely sad – that the government are panicking over a development that may herald the end of the pandemic. If the OMG virus really is as mild as SA suggests then it’s very good news because, as it’s highly transmissable, it will quickly replace the earlier variants with something that is far more benign.
Governments stoking fears about something that is actually benign – does that sound familiar? I am of course talking about climate change!
Chris
This suggests that a Blah without a mask Trumps a Blah-Blah with a mask as my little truant poster girl Pippi Longstocking points out. Sorry about using the T word
Truant never done me no harm an I can still speak proper english just like what you do. Or did you mean the other one, well I still say truant trumps attending art class 🤪
These international parties seem like a good way to seed the world with Omicron and any other infection. The quick distribution seems to have advantages over the slow-burn approach. This promotes action rather than angst.
Professor Lockdown‘ Neil Ferguson has a verifiable bad reputation when it comes to predicting the future. He could also be called Neil “far from the mark” Ferguson.
He is however extremely competent in exercising hypocritical social behaviour during a pandemic.
…and yet the media seek his opinion… why?
He has the Woke Good Control-Keeping Seal of Approval, like FauXisto.
Rumor is that his flat has wall to wall shag carpet.
Made in the UK.
Ferguson was also the moron behind the needless slaughter of millions of livestock during the last UK Foot & Mouth outbreak, so he has form.
We really are on the cusp of doing something so monumentally dumb – Ferguson is one of the ringleaders yet should be The Very Guy to realise what’s happening
It’s more obvious, by now, than a really obvious thing that the haha vaccines are creating the new strains..
With that in mind and loads of background -an hour or so of your time. pretty please
(Don’t go off (immediately) raving & ranting – Just Absorb It. ok)
Absorb it then keep your eyes and ears open for corroborating evidence
Warning, it is simultaneously spine-chilling and blood-boiling stuff – warming really is cooling.
That was you cue, if and as you watch it, note the parallels with climate science
An intro of sorts: https://twitter.com/rwmalonemd/status/1445466851891236869?lang=en
The video: https://rumble.com/vnbv86-winning-the-war-against-therapeutic-nihilism-and-trusted-treatments-vs-unte.html
‘Ferguson – who was dubbed Prof Lockdown’
In point of fact, the regularly upstanding priapic professor in question appears to enjoy a sobriquet of an entirely different nature:
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/chatty-meets-professor-pantsdown/
Obviously this is a matter of government control. If they lock the UK down over this weak sister to seasonal flu , and the people do not fully ignore the mandate , I will lose what ever respect I have for this generation of Brits …Certainly they couldn’t hold the coats of their grandfathers. A nation of wimps is what they will prove to be .
Neil Ferguson: serial failure (all his predictions have been shown to be garbage) and lockdown breaker (to shag his mistress)
Hence, as noted above, the name Professor Pantsdown. Another failed modeller.
Is professor “Lockdown” Neil Ferguson is this generation’s ‘Wrong-Way’ Corrigan?
I’m surprised that Neil Ferguson isn’t still canceled. Can’t think who might lend him any credibility at all, considering his record on this.
Supposin’ that COP 26 did spread the Omigosh variant, wouldn’t there be a “spike” in the Delta as well? How are the actual attendees doing?
CoVID-19 Omicron turned me into a newt!
I got better…
Omicron is about as deadly as the common cold
This is political
C’mon man
Ferguso. The Bonking Prof of Imperial. Serially wrong througout his entire 30 year career.
This is way out OT but could be of imminent importance.
Today, Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki unsuccessfully asked the new German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in Warsaw to prevent gas blackmail and price dictation by Russia because of Ukraine and for Germany not to allow the opening of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline at the bottom of the Baltic.
The new Chancellor Olaf Scholz said:
“Germany has decided to be climate neutral in 25 years. We will find ourselves in a world where gas transit will have a different role than now. We feel responsible to that transit of gas through Ukraine is guaranteed.
We are doing the same with other possibilities. We will have to help make Ukraine a source of renewable energy”
Reading between lines it sounds that Germans will use Nord 2 gas pipeline, regardless of anyone else may think about it, and good luck to Ukraine becoming source of renewable energy.
The above is translation from a east European news agency, while the Reuters’ report is sketchy on detail, and can be seen here:
https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/russian-gas-eu-law-high-agenda-scholz-visits-poland-2021-12-11/
I think the reason Germany and Europe are allowing this absurd dependency on Russia is they genuinely believe the arrangement will be temporary. Just as soon as those clever engineer chaps figure out how to get the solar panels to work in winter, when they are covered with snow, Europe will inform Russia they are no longer required, and turn off the gas from their end.
Either that or they hate the US alliance and would prefer that Europe were dominated by Russia.
Merkel sure seems to long for the good old days, when her country was dominated by Russia.
It is simply reality of facts, Russia gas feeds large part of the extensive network of European gas pipelines reaching as far as the UK. Gasprom has capacity to supply energy to a far greater extent that USA would be able by shipping LNG. If coal and nuclear power plants were there it would be a different story.
Map created by ETH Zurich
The map above shows existing European natural gas pipelines in blue and planned pipelines in red.
Excellent – have ETH a map around Caspian?
When the US gas suppliers realised that they could get more money shipping to the Asian markets rather than European markets, Europe was out of luck. That’s what you get for relying on spot pricing rather than agreed contracts.
The Foreign Minister said European Law is the problem
https://www.rt.com/russia/542998-nord-stream-germany-certification/
The crooked EU got a memo from D.C.
Whenever the EU does something you don’t like, it’s because the US actually runs the EU.
With the USA set to scoop up trillions in global tax in the form of the Pfizer vaccine, following their mafia-lynching of AstraZeneca (siding with Europe in the post-Brexit brits-are-the-new-juze pogrom) who are the US to blame another country of using exports to “dominate”? But hypocrisy is ok if we’re talking about the untermenschen, the eternal racial enemy to the east.
It is not “omicron” then!
It should be gretatunbergon!
It would be interesting to see if there are Omicron outbreaks in the areas where COP26 participants live. If participants managed to pass the virus to locals, it’s very likely that they passed it to each other as well.
Did anyone ever manage to audit the original code for Ferguson’s model? back in 2020 I saw a spate of posts about issues with the “cleaned up by Micosoft” version, but at the time the original code was kept out of sight.
Multi-trillion dollar decisions should not be made based on unverified models and any model where the source code is not open for anyone to inspect is unverified.
I wonder what the diplomatic mission was that the visit was so short, and timed to end just before COP26 was supposed to. No hint as to nationality is offered unfortunately.
Shocked that Ferguson still has a job, any job ?
How deadly is omicron? If the real case fatality ratio is CFR, then then probability of surviving is 1-CFR. If there are N cases cumulatively with enough elapsed time for death to be a likely outcome (say at least 3 weeks previously), and provided they are a reasonably balanced sample, then the probability of zero deaths is (1-CFR)^N. If we want to be 95% certain that the true CFR is less than a given figure, then this should be no higher than 0.05. So we have that
log(0.05)/N>log(1-CFR)
log(0.05) = -1.30103. So with zero deaths recorded after 1,000 3 week+ old cases we have the CFR below 0.3% and by 10,000 cases it is below 0.03%. Given the relative lack of testing in South Africa and the mildness of symptoms in so many cases, it seems plausible that we already have reached the 10,000+ historic cases level (and if not, it is only a day or two away). The 50/50 level would be 0.007% CFR at 10,000 cases. That’s about the probability I was quoted the last time I went under the surgeon’s knife.
COVID Greta strikes !
People “saving the planet” spreading COVID instead. Now that’s hilarious.😆
Duh
Caution:
Vitamin D3 is often sold in capsules also containing Calcium for bone health.
Too much Ca in tablet intake can cause hypercalcemia, which can have dangerous consequences like delirium, dizziness (falls), fever and assorted others like permanent brain damage. A close friend is just out of a week in hospital that was near fatal and hard to diagnose. Geoff S
I have been guided by the original study from Spain (pre jabs) that showed all patients with a titre of over 50μmol survived covid. Normal level is anything above 30μmol, where most except a very small number of elderly survived. Unless you start from a position of severe deficiency, where a temporary course at a higher dose may be required, a maintenance dose should be sufficient to maintain covid safe levels.
I have genetically low vitamin D, so I take loads of pills every day, and get some tropical sunshine. Makes a big difference with the common cold coronavirus, so I take it as a near certainty it would help with Covid.
Thanks for the warning. I have seen mention of avoiding calcium while taking high levels of D3. In the UK, the minimal dose to prevent rickets/osteoporosis is all the NHS seems focused on. As far as I know, it is mainly the tablets that tend to add the calcium (often as a bulking agent), so higher dose tablets are likely to have less total calcium than multiple small dose tablets for the same overall dose of vit D. Vit K is recommended if taking high doses of vit D, and it’s function appears to be related to regulating the calcium within the body. The (oil containing) gel capsules I have do not list calcium in the ingredients, and I suspect the sprays will be similar. A daily dose seems to be recommended where seasonally we get effectively none from sunlight. In some countries, the standard form for D3 supplements is monthly or weekly bolus dose vials which I presume is just the vit D carried in oil.
As the Real Big Lie crumbles there is this article at World Tribune
https://www.worldtribune.com/researcher-andrew-hills-conflict-a-40-million-gates-foundation-grant-vs-a-half-million-human-lives/
fergusons never been right and is now in the advisory SAGE mob his “modelling: was proved to be utter crap. hes the monrgel sod who was responsible for hundreds of thousands of animals being killed in the foot n mouth debacle rare breeds pets etc and lives/generations of breeding stock murdered for ZERO reason. against vet advice
Delta was no where near as bad as last winters wave, and Omicron is even weaker judging by SA data, so no, he is completely wrong.
Completely? Given the panic response of governments (UK and elsewhere) to omicron, there would still be a certain irony if he’s right about COP26 having been a seed event of it. The UK government explicitly included exemptions in its Covid regulations to allow COP26 delegates to come and go (similar exemptions were also given for G7 and some other international shindig).
Getting Omicrom would have a benign pathology for most people, and would be on top, the occasion to get a really efficient immunizazion wrt. the leaky vaccines.
Ferguson’s still employed, just another group like Sage. This is a man whose record of modelling of pandemics makes those of the climate nutters look good. Should have been sacked in 2009 after the Swine Flu debacle
Here’s something for them to think about. How lots of the actions to protect us break international law.
https://rightsfreedoms.wordpress.com/2021/12/13/uk-team-file-complaint-of-crimes-against-humanity-with-the-international-criminal-court/
James Bull