Monday Mirthiness – Follow The #COVID19 Science You Like

These days, these very weird days, pick up any newspaper or read any news website and you are bombarded with conflicting “science” information. Usually these are prefaced with “a new study says” to give credence to even the thinnest of claims, which often conflict with other “studies”. Early on we were told COVID-19 was highly contagious, based on inflated model numbers that later proved to be wrong, off by at least a factor of ten, and now reality has set in and it’s not so bad after all.

A perfect example is the science-study-as-propaganda-tool where Hydrochloroquinine (HCQ) was trashed as being ineffective, and even dangerous has now proven to be utterly false, based on bad data, was retracted, and was likely politically motivated due to President Trump endorsing HCQ treatments. Now we find it actually works.

Like climate science, it seems medical science, at least related to COVID-19, has become a bad joke of “science by press release”.

I can’t say we here at WUWT are any better, just look at the dizzying amount of conflicting information we’ve reported on here.

Our resident cartoonist Josh sums it up nicely:

Like his work? Buy him a pint.

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Bro. Steve
August 10, 2020 4:16 am

Your dose of wisdom for today: Following the science is not at all the same thing as following the scientists.

Doug Huffman
Reply to  Bro. Steve
August 10, 2020 4:25 am

Scientist is but an epithet, and we know about epithets.

Pariah Dog
Reply to  Doug Huffman
August 10, 2020 6:13 am

It’s what they write on tombstones, innit?

Reply to  Bro. Steve
August 10, 2020 4:46 am

Not intended as a swipe at you Bro. Steve, but I get sick and tired of hearing: “Follow the Science”. I prefer to read the conclusions from an experiment conducted using the Scientific Method. (Observe, Question, Research, Hypothesize, Experiment, Test Hypothesis, Draw Conclusions, Report, Repeat). “Science” is not a destination, it’s a process which the history of the Sciences shows that works well. That is, until the neo-Luddites and those without the capacity for critical thinking took control.

icisil
Reply to  Buckeyebob
August 10, 2020 5:16 am

… until the trough feeders who place expediency and preservation of privilege above truth took control.

Global Cooling
Reply to  icisil
August 10, 2020 7:26 am

JB: “We have chosen truth over facts”.

Joe the non epidemiologist
Reply to  Bro. Steve
August 10, 2020 4:49 am

Like mandatory mask wearing
Wearing a motorcycle helmet reduces brain damage in the event of a crash- therefore y are required to wear a helmet when walking the dog

Philo
Reply to  Joe the non epidemiologist
August 12, 2020 6:19 pm

Not really a joke Joe. The average adult is plenty tall to fall and fracture their skull on pavement. Hit the edge of curb and it’s probably all over.

Fortunately not too many people do this so it hasn’t gotten the attention it doesn’t need.

Chris Wright
Reply to  Bro. Steve
August 11, 2020 2:36 am

Very true. This is how I put it:
Don’t listen to the scientists. Listen to the science.
Chris

Doug Huffman
August 10, 2020 4:24 am

https://canadafreepress.com/article/tin-foil-hats-amulets-rule-americas-response-to-wuflu

The conspiracy of ignorance masquerades as common sense.

On an office door we had a clock-face with TESTING in the noon position and RESTING in the 6 o’clock position. While RESTING, bosses would come in and demand to know what we testers were doing to fix the problem. So we make Ju-ju Sticks out of bright flashy tinkly office trash, and we’d wave the Ju-ju Stick and chant incantations. After the responsible parties had fixed the problem, perhaps at the next pre-test briefing, we testers would claim credit for having waved our Ju-ju Stick – post hoc ergo propter hoc.

kim
August 10, 2020 4:39 am

Missing an ‘oxy’ and adding an ‘ine’,
Otherwise OK with what you opine.
=============

Patrick
August 10, 2020 4:57 am

– The evidence is that HCQ does help, though a few steroidal medications are more effective. Convalescent plasma is also really good.

– Remdesivir does not save any lives, but for those that would pull through, the hospitalization time is halved.

– N95 masks (when properly used) do prevent catching Covid, while regular exam masks and cloth masks tend to prevent spreading. If you don’t want a workplace shutdown, minimize
the risk.

– The respiratory mayhem of Covid is only part of the story. There’s some really weird stuff going on with clotting issues.

– Symptoms and severity are incredibly random. A ninty six year old in a nursing home can be asymptomatic, while a forty five year old is sick as a dog, and a thirty year old is fine until stroking out. It’s a roll of the dice.

Scissor
Reply to  Patrick
August 10, 2020 5:11 am

And it’s primarily an old folks disease. The likelihood of a 30 year old dying from it is very slight.

icisil
Reply to  Scissor
August 10, 2020 5:35 am

… until they get put on ventilators.

Crispin in Waterloo
Reply to  icisil
August 10, 2020 5:38 pm

Hey, the hospital needs the $40k. Put 1000 patients on ventilators, you’ve earned a cool $40m. If HCQ and Invermectin keep people out of hospital, what’s in it for Big Med? Never let a crisis go to waste. Sell drugs.

Joel Snider
Reply to  Scissor
August 10, 2020 9:50 am

Actually, if it really was a designer virus, it sounds like one of those greenie human-culling designs – weeding out the sick and the old, since modern human society won’t do it for them.

ozspeaksup
Reply to  Scissor
August 11, 2020 4:29 am

well we lost 2 30yr olds in Victoria Aus this last week co morbidities non mentioned male, majority are 70 and up to 90
but theres a few kids and others as well.
nursing home patients and nursing staff are about equal apparently.
if youre stressed sick or vit D low etc which would cover most of the above..oops

icisil
Reply to  Patrick
August 10, 2020 5:28 am

“– Symptoms and severity are incredibly random. A ninty six year old in a nursing home can be asymptomatic, while a forty five year old is sick as a dog, and a thirty year old is fine until stroking out. It’s a roll of the dice.”

More like loaded dice and a pile of crap. What we’re witnessing realtime is how a virus with superpowers gets added to the pantheon of virus mythology.

icisil
Reply to  icisil
August 10, 2020 8:13 am

LOL now covid causes hair loss. This is starting to sound like climate science where they blame CO2 for everything.

https://twitter.com/Alyssa_Milano/status/1292540903047852034

icisil
Reply to  icisil
August 10, 2020 9:11 am
Richard Patton
Reply to  icisil
August 10, 2020 10:17 am

Remember Babylon Bee is a satire site. The Washington Post hasn’t figured that out yet.

n.n
Reply to  icisil
August 10, 2020 11:02 am

Ah, Babylon Bee… Babylon.

Reply to  icisil
August 10, 2020 3:57 pm

It appears that Milano has more problems than her hair falling out.

This progressive thing appears, more and more, to really be a mental condition.

RichDo
Reply to  Patrick
August 10, 2020 5:35 am

And Patrick steps up to prove the Monday mirthiness: Follow the science-u-like.

BCBill
Reply to  RichDo
August 10, 2020 9:26 am

Exactly. The first rule of charlatans everywhere– speak with authority.

kwinterkorn
Reply to  Patrick
August 10, 2020 2:56 pm

To understand Covid-19, IMHO, one needs to understand a few things:

1. Weak, but contagious. Covid-19 is a coronavirus that is highly contagious (spreads easily) but fairly weak at killing cells or tissue.
2. Second phase is inflammation that kills. However, in a subset of patients, mostly with weak immune systems, the virus initiates an out of control inflammatory reaction that does destroy tissue, especially lungs. This inflammation starts after several days of infection.
3. T cells key. As with other viruses, cellular immunity, so-called T cells (thymus-derived cells) is likely more important than antibody or B-cell immunity. T-cell immunity diminishes in our old age.
4. Usually a respiratory virus. Inhaled, the virus affects the upper airways (the common cold, which is often caused by coronavirus as well as rhinovirus, adenovirus, and others) first…..but if it reaches down into the lungs, bronchitis and/or pneumonia arise.
5. But also a blood vessel virus. This coronavirus virus surprised by infecting blood vessel lining cells, endothelial cells. If these lining cells are inflamed, by whatever cause, blood clots may form, leading to strokes, heart attacks, or pulmonary embolism depending where the clots arise or travel to. Much of the covid deaths are from clots.
6. Treat ASAP. Treatment must affect all these elements. Antivirals often work well only if given early. This is true for Tamiflu for influenza and also acyclovir for herpesvirus infections from herpes cold sores, shingles, or herpes brain infections. It is not surprising that early studies of remdesivir and hydroxychloroquine showed minImal benefit—-they usually were not started until patients were already severely ill.
7. Fight clotting! Anti-clotting medicine is important, again to be given early.
8. Steroids, even late. Anti-inflammatory steroids, especially dexamethasone, help even fairly late, because it is inflammation, not the virus, that is killing the patient towards the end.
9. Antivirals might reduce contagion. A reason to give antivirals is to improve the epidemic. Soon after antivirals are started the virus counts in the patient improve. This should make the patient less contagious for others.

Professor x
Reply to  kwinterkorn
August 10, 2020 7:57 pm

Also Statins

Bill T
Reply to  kwinterkorn
August 11, 2020 3:49 am

Great summary. Add that many already have T cell immunity from previous Covid infections, not 19 but one of the many other Covid virus variants. Blood samples were taken from blood stored well before Covid 19 and about half or more were positive for Covid 19 T cell immunity. Medcram’ latest you tube video (101) has the breakdown and a good one, as usual for that site.

As an aside, my son in LA and two of his neighbors came down with a very bad cold that went right to the lungs with fever in November/December of last year. His friends were recently tested and they were positive for antibodies so he is looking to be tested. This thing has been with us a lot longer than we think.

Farmer Ch E retired
Reply to  Patrick
August 10, 2020 7:01 pm

The FDA has even confirmed that HCQ works. They can stop the test any time now and save lives.
https://youtu.be/QDHMNC9pzNg

August 10, 2020 5:19 am

The corrupt use of science and the label “science” was pioneered large-scale by CAGW, now employed to just about everything.

Doug Huffman
Reply to  beng135
August 10, 2020 6:02 am

No, the corruption predated AGW. It began when the ignorant first became aware of the effects of things not-visible. There is vast demotic ignorance published on radiation and radioactivity.

Reply to  Doug Huffman
August 10, 2020 6:49 am

Of course the corruption was already there, but it hadn’t been put in such an open, massive, country-wide effort as now.

Lark
Reply to  beng135
August 10, 2020 12:58 pm

I’m pretty sure we’ve had a few eruptions of Scientific Socialism before CAGW.

Reply to  Lark
August 11, 2020 6:26 am

Not like this.

Another Ian
Reply to  Doug Huffman
August 10, 2020 2:55 pm

“There is vast demotic ignorance published on radiation and radioactivity.”

In one case that was useful. We were losing sheep from a trial to the “wild mutton” market.

So we put up a series of “radiation warning” signs around the trial area. The design was right, though the colours weren’t. Nor was the lack of security fence.

The losses stopped.

Seemed there was enough “knowledge” to know that you can’t see it and that it sends you sterile

Mike Bryant
August 10, 2020 5:28 am

And now, out of Australia, a cure. An old scabies medicine, Invermectin is 100% effective:
https://www.newsmax.com/health/health-news/australia-ivermectin-coronavirus-covid/2020/08/08/id/981220/

Reply to  Mike Bryant
August 10, 2020 10:15 am

Was first published in April, when I remember well, also from Australia, iin vitro

commieBob
August 10, 2020 5:33 am

From the cartoon …

Is there a randomised control trial …

The problem with science is small effect sizes. In the case with small effect sizes, you have to control for absolutely everything. So, you can claim that a drug has a 10% chance of making you better. Even then, controlling for absolutely everything, we find that most published research findings are wrong.

With large effect sizes the problem goes away. The problem then is that most researchers will go their entire careers without doing an experiment that exhibits a large effect size.

If the effect is large enough, you don’t actually need a randomised control trial. If the effect is small enough, the randomised control trial probably won’t guarantee its validity.

John Finn
August 10, 2020 5:33 am

The BBC seem to be be shifting their stance a little

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-53679498

Reply to  John Finn
August 10, 2020 6:00 am

Faint praise from BBC, indeed. They have averted their eyes for too long. What about Switzerland doing fine with HCQ, stopped its use after Lancet fake news, saw their death rates soar, went back to HCQ and death rates dropped back down.

https://rclutz.wordpress.com/2020/08/05/the-real-hcq-story-what-we-now-know/

Sasha
Reply to  Ron Clutz
August 10, 2020 10:10 am

Thanks for the link. That’s a really good explanation and timeline about the successful use of, and then the politically-motivated attempt to demonize HCQ.

Independent George
Reply to  Ron Clutz
August 11, 2020 12:46 am

Nice work. Cheers for the link.

Ed Zuiderwijk
Reply to  John Finn
August 10, 2020 6:05 am

That’s a shift by the tiniest of possible shifts.

Reply to  John Finn
August 10, 2020 10:19 am

Countries that use Hydroxychloroquine may have 80% lower Covid death rates

The scandal from the Swamp: Too rich to get a cheap drug?

Poor countries all over the world are using Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) and it appears to be very useful.

The new HCQTrial suggests that despite the billion dollar budgets and expert staff, people in wealthier countries are dying from Coronavirus at far higher rates than people are in lands where HCQ is being used. And the effect of HCQ apparently holds even after researchers correct for patients being older, heavier, with higher blood pressure, living in high density apartment towers, or with getting tested more.

AWM
August 10, 2020 5:36 am

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

All those nations with sub 100 deaths per million are the ones that allowed HCQ.
For instance, USA 500, India 32

rbabcock
August 10, 2020 5:45 am

The real problem from a data standpoint in the US is hospitals are given large sums of money if they treat a CV-19 patient. So everyone that comes through the door becomes one. Also ventilated people give them bonuses so you are likely to go on one if given the opportunity. From the health care perspective, it’s all about the money… period.

Stevek
Reply to  rbabcock
August 10, 2020 7:04 am

Yes. And the FDA has far too cozy a relationship with Pharmaceutical companies. They have no interest in seeing a cheap drug be successful. I noticed former head of FDA Margaret Hamburg sits on board of Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. If you approve cheap drug for treatment of Covid19 then good luck getting cushy seat on a board of directors.

Richard Patton
Reply to  rbabcock
August 10, 2020 10:50 am

I don’t blame the hospitals too much. They are between a rock and a hard place. Because of the lockdowns, most of their non-emergency procedures are ‘banned,’ while their expenses remain the same. If the government says you get an extra $15,000 even if the deceased is only suspected of having COVID (but not tested positive), you are going to make sure that as many deceased “died” of COVID as you can get away with. For some hospitals, especially in smaller cities, it means the difference between financial life and financial death. (Hospitals in smaller towns have been teetering on the edge of financial ruin for quite some time now.)

Oh yeah, I do know someone who they did that to (her name was Markey). She was in her 90’s and had pretty much gotten over COVID-19 when she fell, hit her head, and suffered a massive cerebral hemorrhage. “Offical” cause of death COVID-19.

JohnWho
August 10, 2020 5:51 am

Actually, it is not “follow the science you like” it is “follow the “science” you like”, since some of what is promoted as science, is not.

goracle
August 10, 2020 5:59 am

Patrick, masks as being used by general public don’t work (loose fitting, being touched regularly, on/off face regularly, reused for weeks, get wet but still used). If they worked, Phillipines and Hong Kong were praised in the media for their mask use lockdowns. With their very high mask usage rates by the general public, both indoors and out, why are they locking down again?

Joe - the non epidemiologist
Reply to  goracle
August 10, 2020 8:32 am

the mask mandate – based on bad understanding science and the misapplication/misinterprestation of good science.

A) the mode of transmission is primarily via aerosols, not droplets. Did you notice your glasses fogging up when wearing a mask – that is the aerosols escaping. Can someone give a coherent explanation as to why masks are effective. I will agree that mask can reduce transmission in the 10% – 20% range.

B) Space and time each separately reduce the risk of transmission by 80-90% each. Combined those two factors reduce the risk of transmission by 95%+. Seriously if masks are only reducing the risk of transmission by 10% – 20%, how much additional reduction is there if space and time have already reduced the risk by 95+%? maybe %.5% at best.

Tom Abbott
August 10, 2020 6:53 am

A lot of people wouldn’t know Science if it walked up and bit them.

That would include all the Alarmists since a real scientist would see the holes in the Human-Caused Climate Change narrative in pretty short order. Therefore, Alarmists are not real scientists.

Reply to  Tom Abbott
August 10, 2020 8:11 am

This made me think of Oliver Goldsmith’s poem An Elegy on the Death of a Mad Dog

But soon a wonder came to light,
That showed the rogues they lied;
The man recovered of the bite,
The dog it was that died.

Perhaps there is a lesson here somewhere?

Bruce Cobb
August 10, 2020 7:19 am

The bottom line is that the medical establishment doesn’t appear to have the best interests of patients in mind, but rather are driven by (what else) money and politics. If I were to contract CV-19, I would want to be treated with either the HCQ cocktail, or the inhaled budesonide, which, like the HCQ approach also uses arithromycin and zinc.
So when the medical establishment or their lackeys piss on my leg and tell me it’s raining, I don’t believe them. Sorry. The CDC and NIH can go to hell.

Curious George
August 10, 2020 7:26 am

Would elites rather let me die from COVID-19 than admit that Trump was right even once?

John C
Reply to  Curious George
August 10, 2020 7:43 am

Yes.

Raymond Bélanger
August 10, 2020 7:31 am

This is a drug that is showing 100% success so far in the clinical tests

Ivermectin

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0166354220302011

richard
Reply to  Raymond Bélanger
August 10, 2020 8:00 am

“During his organization’s latest briefing in Geneva, WHO Director-General Dr. Tedros Adhanom admitted publicly that Wuhan coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccines will not work, and that a “cure” may never be found because there is supposedly “no silver bullet” for the plandemic”

https://www.naturalnews.com/2020-08-06-who-admits-coronavirus-vaccines-wont-work.html

It’s on its way out anyway .

Tom Abbott
Reply to  richard
August 10, 2020 9:26 am

“During his organization’s latest briefing in Geneva, WHO Director-General Dr. Tedros Adhanom admitted publicly that Wuhan coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccines will not work”

The All-Seeing, All-Knowing Dr. Tedros has spoken!

I bet the $400 million Trump is withholding from the WHO is not coming out of Tedros’ salary.

Tedros is the guy that couldn’t recognize a colera outbreak in his native country on two different occasions. Some claim he deliberately ignored the epidemic. Then the Chicom’s put him in as the head of the WHO.

So we have a guy that can’t recognize an epidemic, and can’t tell the truth, running the WHO.

I’m not going to put any faith in anything Tedros says. You shouldn’t, either.

Coach Springer
August 10, 2020 7:37 am

Whadda ya mean “these days”? We’ve been doing human sacrifice based on expert opinion since we’ve been organizing in larger groups. But yeah, it does seem to be spiking again.

richard
August 10, 2020 7:57 am

Median age of deaths between 80-86 .

With a heavy viral load, deaths on the Princess Diamond with a ships compliment of 3,800 – 13. All already ill and over 70.

Some pandemic!

In the meantime 7,916,965 Communicable disease deaths since January and not a word about them.

mathman
August 10, 2020 7:59 am

Where are the deaths? When a 7 year old boy in Georgia has a brain seizure and dies, this is counted as COVID-19. There should be a lot more deaths which are actually due to COVID-19. I am tired of inflated numbers, inflated because of the incessant demands for something to damage Pres Trump. The Dems cannot and will not govern. And they work tirelessly to make sure our Nation is not governed. Providing for the common defense and promoting the general welfare take a back seat to Orange Man Bad.

August 10, 2020 7:59 am

A sharp court jester could often say what a royal advisor could not. He was able to communicate effectively by getting people to laugh rather than to have them involved in a brawl.

We badly underestimate the value the right kind of cartoons can have in the whole climate discussion as a way to discredit the ridiculous statements of grossly overrated experts. As they resort to invective and personal attacks, it is far better to respond by getting people to laugh at them. The people, who are not used to careful analysis of the arguments or to logical reasoning, can by laughing at them demolish their ludicrous claims.

I wish Josh every success in producing many cartoons to defang these vicious critics.

Justin Burch
August 10, 2020 8:08 am

We don’t have science anymore. We have political expediency and censoring and lock down of any contrary opinions no matter what the science says. I think this started with climate change but maybe I’m wrong. maybe it started sooner. In any case I fear science is dead. If it isn’t dead it’s certainly on a ventilator.

TomBR
Reply to  Justin Burch
August 10, 2020 8:02 pm

The Dark Ages, 2.0.

Created by the failure of Big Education to teach critical thinking and logical analysis.

In doing so, they purposely created “The Dumbest Generation”.

Miso Alkalaj
August 10, 2020 8:55 am

Sorry to burst your bubble, but IJID has the Impact Factor of 3.202.

On the other hand, NEJM with IF 70.670 says
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/nejmoa2012410
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2019014
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2016638
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2020388
etc.

So which one is more likely to publish politically motivated results?

Reply to  Miso Alkalaj
August 10, 2020 12:43 pm

Miso,
Thanks.
I hadn’t realised the Ickenham Journal of Intense Dewatering was so impactless.
Your help is appreciated.

Auto

I guess NEJM is some New Epstein Journal
– Medicine?
– Mendacity?
– Microdentistry?

n.n
August 10, 2020 9:10 am

HCQ is the border guard. Zn is the day after pill. AZ controls inflammatory response and safe sanctuaries for opportunistic pathogens.

n.n
August 10, 2020 9:14 am

The old-fashioned standard is multiple, independent scientists, in order to increase signal diversity and improve detection in a noisy or corrupt environment.

Tom Abbott
August 10, 2020 9:35 am

Here’s something that is confusing me.

We are told that kids in the EU are going back to school and this is causing no problems.

We are told that some U.S. schools that have opened classes are experiencing new infections among the kids and this is a big problem.

It is my understanding that when kids go back to school, they *will* get infected with the Wuhan virus. The difference being that kids will supposedly not experience severe effects from the virus, and can just go about their business.

Why are the Americans freaking out over infections showing up in American school children when they gather in large groups? Wasn’t this to be expected? I was expecting it.

So why are these new infections among school kids seen as a problem?

Why aren’t the Europeans freaking out over their schools kids?

I don’t get it.

paul courtney
Reply to  Tom Abbott
August 10, 2020 10:45 am

Tom Abbott: Why, indeed? Maybe because, in Europe, the press doesn’t have, as its primary mission, the need to destroy Trump (the need to destroy schools and economy are secondary goals that dovetail into the primary mission for the progressive press in the USA).