El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 2: A New Myth – ENSO Balances Out to Zero over the Long Term

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the second part in a series of posts about El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). They address many of the myths and misunderstandings about the…

Once again, reality trumps models – Pacific SST's are flat

Model-Data Comparison: Pacific Ocean Satellite-Era Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Guest post by Bob Tisdale I’ll be adding the Pacific Ocean (60S-65N, 120E-80W) sea surface temperature anomalies to my monthly updates. See…

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 1: El Niño and La Niña Events are Cyclical

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the first of a series of posts that address many of the myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves…

An Inconvenient Truth: Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies along Sandy’s Track Haven’t Warmed in 70+ Years

Guest post by Bob Tisdale I was visiting family in the Northeast U.S. when Sandy came ashore, so I was without power for most of last week. Since my return…

Another model failure – seeing a sea of red where there is none

Seeing red just took on a whole new meaning – Anthony Model-Data Comparison – Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies – November 1981 through September 2012 Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is…

Resolving the biases in century-scale sea surface temperature measurements reveals some interesting patterns

This new paper in GRL takes on the well-known buckets-vs-inlets issue (Steve McIntyre also visited the issue several times) related to ship based sea surface temperature measurements and as a…

Tisdale asks: Hey, Where’d The El Niño Go?

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This post will serve as the mid-September 2012 sea surface temperature anomaly update. Sea surface temperature anomalies for the NINO3.4 region of the eastern equatorial…

Tisdales' Blog Memo to Kevin Trenberth at NCAR

Guest post by Bob Tisdale Date:  September 20, 2012 Subject:  Trenberth and Fasullo (2012) paper “Climate extremes and climate change: The Russian heat wave and other climate extremes of 2010”…

Tisdale: The Warming of the Global Oceans – Are Manmade Greenhouse Gases Important or Impotent?

Note: this post was two weeks in the making, and well worth your time to read – Anthony Guest post by Bob Tisdale Global sea surface temperatures have warmed over…

New easy to use reference book for El Niño and global warming

I think readers will appreciate the point by point style that this book is written in. It enables you to zero in on argument rebuttals with graphs and data. Highly…

Tisdale on the problems with ENSO models

Guilyardi et al (2009) “Understanding El Niño in Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Models: progress and challenges” Guest post by Bob Tisdale The preliminary Reynolds OI.v2 sea surface temperature data for July 2012…

Tisdale: How Does the Evolution of the 2012/13 El Niño Stack Up Against the Others since 1982?

Guest post by Bob Tisdale In addition to the title discussion, this post will serve as the Mid-July 2012 Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Update. It also includes a status update…

Texas Tall Tales and Global Warming

“…extreme heat events were roughly 20 times more likely in 2008 than in other La Niña years in the 1960s” It is this statement that has made headlines across the…

NOAA cites La Niña as severe weather factor in the 2011 State of the Climate report

Back-to-back La Niñas cooled globe and influenced extreme weather in 2011 New NOAA-led report examines climate conditions experienced around the world Worldwide, 2011 was the coolest year on record since…

Why the U.S East Coast heatwave was not unusual nor the number of record temperatures unprecedented.

This is a combination of two posts elsewhere that illustrate just how much hype and how little substance the MSM and blogs like Grist, Climate Progress. and Capital Weather Gang…

Tisdale on the Curious Northern Hemisphere Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Patterns

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This post will serve as the Preliminary Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Update for June 2012, since we’ll be using preliminary June 2012 data in it.…

An interesting graph showing solar cycle, El Niño, and surface temperature correlation in Australia

Ian H. Bryce writes at Jo Nova’s website: The thing that intrigued me about the maximum temperatures is the high peaks, which occur at the peak of the odd solar…

Keeping track of NOAA's ENSO data changes

The NOAA Weekly ENSO Sea Surface Temperature Indices Webpage Has Changed Location By Bob Tisdale There has been concern expressed recently around the blogosphere that NOAA hasn’t updated their weekly El…

Sea Surface Temperature Approaching the Threshold of El Niño

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This post will serve as the sea surface temperature update for mid-June. The post also provides an update on the progress I’m making with my…

Spring warmth: weather, not climate

While alarmists bloviate about three months of warm weather citing it as cock-sure proof that global warming is at fault (like they always do), we have this from the University…

ENSO has gone slightly positive

After holding on zero for a couple of weeks, the WUWT ENSO meter has gone slightly positive: As you can see, La Niña is fading:

Nature, record heat, tipping points, Hansen's opinion on weather noise, and all that

From NCDC’s spring report here More record warmth as scientists warn of global tipping point – CNN.com — It’s hot out there. But this time, it’s more than idle watercooler…

Tisdale: NOAA Issues El Niño Watch for Second Half of 2012, Joe Romm Issues “Rapid Warming” Alert for 2013

The WUWT ENSO meter – at zero, or neutral at the moment: Guest post by Bob Tisdale NOAA issued an El Niño watch yesterday morning. The watch seems a bit premature.…

More data fiddling – this time in NOAA's ENSO data

Plot below showing ONI -vs- Aqua Channel 5 Temperature from lukewarmplanet (not Tisdale) to illustrate what he is talking about in his upcoming book. – Anthony Comments on NOAA’s Recent…